teke184

Boise State vs. Hawaii went 69-3, so 72 is the first tiebreaker. *SMACK* Who's your daddy, Timmy Chang? *SMACK*

Falwell and company have already been investigated for a good part of a decade and had to pay some fines, but didn't lose their tax-exempt status.

In addition to the NAACP, the NEA (teacher's union) is being investigated for funding massive political efforts out of its general budget. Looks like a LOT of the usual players will be undergoing some changes by 2008.

Gotta look for Fund's book. An excellent read, discussing FL and MO in 2000, SD in 2002, TX whenever the hell LBJ won his first House seat, etc. -=Mike I think I'll pick that up and read it on Election Day which, coincidentally enough, is on the Day Of The Dead this year.

Haven't read that one yet... couldn't find it at Barnes And Noble, so I picked up "If It's Not Close, They Can't Cheat" by Hugh Hewitt instead.

Even funnier, Daschle has called Zogby a joke because he has him losing in SD. When Zogby has a Dem losing now, it's REAL bad. -=Mike Apparently Zogby doesn't account for the dead rising to vote Democrat or absentee ballot fraud, both of which were accused in the South Dakota race for the Senate two years ago that Thune lost by about 600 votes. The funny thing is that if the Dems hadn't (supposedly) fucked Thune two years ago, Daschle would probably be getting re-elected by a safe margin.

Even with massive voter fraud, Kerry would still probably be in trouble because current early-voting exit polls are showing Bush getting 15% more support than Kerry. Considering that Kerry's current numbers are showing that he has to carry the 10+ states he's expected to get plus Pennsylvania, Ohio and/or Florida, and some combination of Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Missouri, Nevada, New Mexico, etc., I'd say his chances are getting slimmer by the day. BTW, Electoral-Votes is a BIT skewed considering that they go with Zogby's polling info over everyone else, except when it would harm them. Didn't Zogby actually have Bush up in Ohio?

Let's see if we can look at track records as CinC between Bush and a so-called "great" president... Bush destroyed the Taliban in Afghanistan and the Iraqi army under Hussein in Iraq in record time. Since then, he's installed democratic governments in both countries, with Afghanistan already holding the first elections in its history and Iraq holding its first FAIR elections this January. John F. Kennedy, in contrast, supported a failed invasion of Cuba that lost more lives in a week than the war efforts in Afghanistan and Iraq have lost in three years. He also stepped up support for the corrupt government of South Vietnam, increasing the number of "military advisors" sent to the country significantly, leading his successor LBJ into fighting the bloodiest ground war for the country since World War II. Bush did a better job but Kennedy is seen as the Grand Poobah of 20th century presidents because the press has a hard-on for him.

Then it'll go somewhere within about 60 to 90 days. Ashcroft's pretty much out even if Bush gets re-elected because he's got health problems.

Tiebreaker #2 is 55 yards.

Link I'm skeptical that Arafat only has the flu as has been publically stated, although something as simple as that could be very dangerous at his age. You don't send out two large teams of doctors to diagnose someone with the flu. The best Israel can hope for is that Arafat has to leave Ramallah for treatment and that they can keep him from returning, if he actually recovers.

$5000, I think, with an MSRP of $7000.

As opposed to what's going on now? The only difference is that it will be Palestinians killing each other rather than them killing some Israelis then the IDF killing a lot of Palestinian "freedom fighters" in response.

Notice how they don't say that Democrats control the county election boards who were supposed to mail these ballots... I'm obviously not the most unbiased person but I'm far more likely to believe the local election board fucked up than the US Postal Service supposedly losing 58,000 pieces of mail.

Strangelove over Clockwork because one of the best satires of all time beats out over-the-top ultraviolence and Cockney slang.

I was delighted to hear anything that Michael Stipe, Warren Beatty, Barbara Streisand, and Robert Redford had to say about politics...

I thought Ann Coulter was further left of Hillary Clinton.

If you don't mind me asking, what would be the benefit of SMS Reearch and Honolulu Advertiser both rigging their polls on Bush's behalf? Hawaii's lonely and they want Bush or Kerry to visit ermm.. nah.. it's "shoddy work".. poll the largest and most Republican island, leave out the more Democratic islands. Get a draw. Considering the most Republican island is also the one that has 70% of the state's population, I'd say it's a somewhat fair sample.

Kerry at 50% in Ohio but tied with Bush in Pennsylvania? Riiiiiiiight.

"if" -> "when" Given the way that the electoral votes are falling at the moment (not even going into rumors that Kerry is pulling out of Florida), Bush winning is becoming a greater possibility by the day. You sure about that? Based upon the polls and the fact that the Democrats are now hanging ALL of their hopes on how many people they can persuade to actually vote - yeah, I think he has reason to be sure. Looking at the polls AS THEY STAND right now: Bush has 176 EVs completely tied up. These include Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and Wyoming. (Tennessee is in this column based off the average polls, not the one outlying poll showing a close race) Bush has an additional 58 EVs leaning to him by more than the 3.5% Margin Of Error. These include Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, North Carolina, and West Virginia. That makes 234 EVs out of 269 that he needs (Bush will win if it goes to the House of Representatives) Of the 35 other votes he needs at the least: LIKELY: He could get 27 from Florida, which is trending towards him. He could get 10 from Wisconsin, which is trending towards him. He could get 5 from New Mexico, which is trending towards him. He could get 20 from Ohio, which is virtually tied but has trended Republican over time. LESS LIKELY: He could get 10 from Minnesota, but that would require a pretty strong turnout in a traditionally Democratic state. He could pick up 15 from New Jersey, but that would only happen IF the polls showing a dead heat are right and not just outlying polls. He could pick up 4 from Hawaii. That would probably be a moot point, though, as Hawaii is still voting well after all mainland US states have closed the polls and turned in their results. He could pick up 4 in New Hampshire, but that's in Kerry's backyard and many Mass. residents have moved to New Hampshire over the past few years. He could pick up Michigan, but that would require great turnout by the Republican parts of the state and either low turnout in minority areas like Detroit OR a decent percentage of crossover voting due to a lack of enthusiasm for Kerry. He could pick up Pennsylvania depending on the turnout. Considering the way things are trending, Bush will pick up Florida and Wisconsin, which will be enough to seal the victory. There are enough other states out there in play that he can make up for the loss of Florida as long as he gets Ohio. Kerry, OTOH, has 228 EVs right now, but that includes states in question such as Michigan, Hawaii, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. Kerry would have to get all of the above plus 42 more EVs to total 270 EVs (Kerry would lose if it went before Congress). Florida (27) Minnesota (10) New Hampshire (4) New Mexico (5) Ohio (20) Wisconsin (10) Kerry pretty much has to hold all of his states PLUS one of the following: 1. Ohio AND Florida 2. Florida, New Mexico, and either Minnesota or Wisconsin 3. Ohio, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and either New Hampshire or New Mexico If Kerry doesn't take Florida or Ohio, he's done. If he only takes one of them, he's still way behind because he has to dig up between 15 and 22 more Electoral Votes. Considering that the average of all the current polls has Bush up by 1.2% in Florida (up as much as 8 or behind as few as 3), Florida's definitely trending against Kerry. Ohio is about dead even, but is a traditional Republican stronghold. Wisconsin's average poll has Bush up by 1% (up as much as 6 or down by as few as 1) Minnesota's average poll has Bush up by 0.7% (Two of them up by 2, one down by 2) New Mexico has Bush up by 3% (Up by as much as 5 or down by as few as 2) It pretty much means that Kerry has to buck the trend in quite a few states that he's behind in. I don't see that happening barring a major change in momentum over the next 6 days.

What do you think that Al-Jazeera is?

According to Yahoo and other sources, there is a steady stream of doctors and Arab dignitaries heading in and out of Arafat's compound in Ramallah. There are also rumors that he's lost consciousness, which are being denied by the Palestinians. http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=stor...fat_s_health_14 Everything is sketchy right now, but I'm sure we'll hear something more concrete within 24 hours. If Arafat is conscious, I think they'll put a TV camera in front of him just to prove he's still alive. Otherwise, they'll make a play for time and hope he recovers.

I wouldn't discount the possibility of the ghosts of Dizzy Dean and Ducky Medwick kicking the living shit out of the Red Sox.

Ruth is SO pissed. He'll get a hotdog and a hummer then get over it.

If Boston wins the WS, does that mean they can start chanting "2000" to the Yankees? No, they'll start chanting "Who's Your Daddy" instead...