Rob E Dangerously

Neifi Perez isn't going to hit 40 home runs this year You know one reason why I can say that? Because statistics show us that he hasn't done that Here's my thoughts on the draft: #1 - High School Pitchers are too risky for the early rounds. Many of them have went though high workloads. Paying high school pitchers lots of money didn't work when they did it in the 1950s, and it doesn't work now. You can draft them later and see if they'd go for less money. You're not losing money that way. #2 - High School Hitters are safer to draft. The minimum amount of time you can hold one before free agency allows you enough time to see their peak years (25 though 29). #3 - College Pitchers are good bets to draft. They don't take long to go though the system. #4 - College Hitters aren't loved enough. College hitters are likely to stay in your organization though their peak years before they get to free agency. Therefore you can dump them without guilt if you have to. #5 - Clubs waste too many draft picks on players who won't sign. They should use some of their later picks on dark horse college seniors. They could be old for their leagues, but it's probably cheaper to draft and sign them than to sign some minor league free agents to fill spots in the upper teams. #6 - The Five Tool label is overused. The five tools are base-stealing ability, a strong throwing arm, an ability to hit with power, good fielding ability, and high batting average. These five tools are not equal. If these are the five abilities one can have, I'd split them as follows. base-stealing ability - 8% a strong throwing arm - 10% ability to hit for power - 35% good fielding ability - 18% high batting average - 29% Stealing bases is fairly meaningless in the realm of a game. Numerous studies have shown that stealing bases really doesn't change much in the probability of scoring. A strong throwing arm is good for shortstop, second base, third base, catcher and right field. Although it's not equal to the value of a powerhitter. Power to me includes doubles and home runs. There's some good measures out to show you how good a player is at power. good fielding ability is hard to define. Why do you think Jeter got a gold glove? But since most balls are put in play, it's helpful to have some good or competant defensive players in the middle and left side of the infield. Batting average by itself is overrated. The sixth tool is the ability to patient and getting on-base. That includes players who can draw walks, people who get hit by pitches and all that. OBP is vital. I'd think there is data out to show how many innings go 1-2-3 and all that. but your opinion may vary. #7 - Your eyes decieve you. Basing such decisions as drafting purely on opinion is foolish. The statistical performance of a player should be considered. Giving the sample size of a few games is foolish as well.

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?...2043EST0795.DTL

Yeah.. bring back the Powder Blue!

I'd certainly hope that McAuliffe decides to not go for another term.

If Blyleven were on better teams, he would have 300 wins. It's a shame that too few people measure the amount of run support given to a pitcher. Blyleven got really screwed in 1973. He had 7 complete game losses, and he gave up 3 runs or less in 6 of those losses.

Time to gear up the campaign for Blyleven. Ya know, one idea is 'write a short book, send it to the voters'

Rice wasn't as good as his numbers. He was a right handed hitter in Fenway. And here's some of the "bolded numbers" for Gossage and Sutter from the 7th edition of Total Baseball Gossage Lead the league in saves 3 times (1975, 1978, 1980) Lead the league in "pitching runs" and "Adjusted Pitching Runs" (sabermetric stats) 3 times (1975, 1977, 1978) Lead the league in "Total Pitching Index" (1977) Sutter Lead the league in saves 5 times (1979 though 1982, 1984) Lead the league in pitching runs once (1984) Lead the league in "Adjusted Pitching Runs" twice (1979 and 1984) Lead the league in "Total pitching index" (1984) And when it comes to those numbers, Gossage tops Sutter, and Quisenberry tops Sutter

Willie McGee survives but one thing I have to say about Sutter.. it's still bizarre to me that he's about to go to the Hall, but Dan Quisenberry was bounced after one year.

http://www.amazon.com/gp/cdp/member-review...2233159-7195249? it's just odd

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=1954691 "It's not my fault!" but yeah.. Turley is something alright

Sammy Sosa must love the thought of more opportunities to face Milton

Lima didn't pitch more than 10 innings in any park other than Dodger Stadium so it's hard to say what skewed his totals. In fact, bad days in Chicago and Montreal hurt as well. And with over 100 innings on the home and road, May gave up 19 at home and 12 on the road. percentages (HRs given up / innings) Home 2003 - 17.6% 2004 - 21.6% Away 2003 - 11.7% 2004 - 19.5% Then again, May's shorting at Kauffman Stadium is probably one reason why he was shipped out. It wasn't a hitter's park and May still sucked there. San Diego could find out the extent of May's talent in 2005. And Anderson with 93 innings gave up 14 HRs at home, and 19 HRs in 73 road innings. Slightly lower than Lima's road count. True. it's more accurate to compare numbers between Royals Stadium and the current Kauffman stadium. Same fence length, but Royals Stadium had turf. http://www.stathead.com/bbeng/fontaine/parkfactors/pfkca.htm 1981 though 1994, Kauffman Stadium had the same fence length as they had in 2004. In those years, look at the HR factor. Kauffman Stadium could be good for the gap hitters, but the HR guys will not be big fans of 385 to the alleys and 410 to center.

Darrell May and Brian Anderson were more prone to giving up home runs in 2004, if that means much. Lima gave up 33 home runs in 170.3 IP, while Anderson allowed 33 in 166 IP. May allowed 38 in 186 IP. Both played in a park much more prone than home runs than Dodger Stadium. Both allowed a higher than usual rate of home runs. Lima has a track record. The only two years Lima was good were the two years he pitched in the Astrodome, one of the most pitcher friendly parks in baseball. Even then, he rated high on the list of league leaders for giving up home runs. Lima not only gives up home runs, he gives them up consistantly, year after year. http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=HRFactor HR Factors - Dodger Stadium - #16 (1.016) Kauffman Stadium - #29 (.706) My early checking on this indicates the following. If Lima played the same and was in Kansas City (ignoring some defensive stuff, which is much deeper.. and maybe the AL is more hitter friendly too) Lima's ERA wouldn't have been any higher in Kauffman Stadium than in Dodger Stadium Lima would have given up 5 less home runs. HR stats from 2004 Lima Home: 16 Away: 17 Darrell May Home: 18 Away: 20 Brian Anderson Home: 14 Away: 19 Zack Greinke Home: 10 Away: 16 Unless there's some continuity error, Kauffman Stadium was mysteriously pitcher friendly (then again, the Royals pitching still sucked)

Domi arigato, Mr. Ugueto Darrell May and Brian Anderson were more prone to giving up home runs in 2004, if that means much.

Jose Lima is on his way to Kansas City I'm back bitches!

The Essential Johnny Cash

So, part of Ricky's holistic training involves recieving massages from two women? How much is this college?

Mike Wallace declaring "That's Bullshit" is quality television

Yeah.. what if the Warrior was a judge.. imagine what his robes would be like

Our laws are based on the punishment of people for idol worship.. We're coming for you calf-worshippers!

Maybe it's all an act

I'd be in favor of putting the screws to MLB over this (as opposed to McCain's steroid-related push)

http://www.abqtrib.com/archives/news04/120..._rumsfeld.shtml Simmah down nuh!

Mohammad Hassan's theme song rules

http://www.websurfnicaragua.com/sandy.wmv oh.. my