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iggymcfly

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Posts posted by iggymcfly


  1. You're making it sound more like GT gave it away than VT just simply routing them, which they did. An onside kick hardly matters in a 24-3 game, although that was a hell of a gutsy move, especially on the road against a decent team. VT caused six turnovers, and they're playing a lot better after a rocky start. Virginia-VT at the end of the season is going to be pretty awesome.

     

    Georgia Tech's not the kind of team that can play from behind. They win games by running the ball, controlling field position, and playing good defense, but if you force them to throw the ball to try to catch up, they're fucked. That's what happened against VT. They had about 3 or 4 big breaks go against them early, they got down 2 scores, and then they abandoned the run and it was all over. It's not even like it was the wrong decision either as they're just not capable of coming back with their normal offense. Their two big wins this year were 13-3 over Clemson and 17-14 over Miami.

     

    FWIW, I agree that Virginia's playing very well, and I'd actually expect them to win the Coastal division over the Hokies.


  2. Georgia Tech was a 2.5 point favorite at just about every sportsbook you could find. Basically because they were at home and most computer rankings had them about equal to Virginia Tech. When you turn the ball over 6 times and let the other team recover an onside kick, you're going to have a pretty hard time beating anybody though.


  3. Yeah, Rashaun Grant's out and he's technically second-string, but Jonathan Dwyer's actually got more carries this year than Grant does and he's averaging 5.9 YPC with 7 TDs. There's a little concern that a lot of his yards came against Samford, but I still think he's a really solid back and the dropoff won't be all that great.


  4. Nah, I wasn't saying Virginia has to lose out. Basically, the key events are:

    1) Georgia Tech wins out

    2) Virginia Tech beats Virginia

    3) Virginia Tech loses to either Miami or Florida State

     

    If all those things happen, Georgia Tech's > 80% to get the division as they'd have the tiebreaker in either a 3-way tie with UVA and VT or a 4-way tie with UVA, VT, and Miami. If the listed events happen, the only ways GT fails are if Miami wins out (unlikely, they have to play at BC in addition to the UVA and VT games) or if Virginia beats both Wake and Miami. (Also unlikely, especially with one on the road.) Also, Georgia Tech should definitely win out if they beat the Hokies on Thursday as their last two conference games are against Duke and North Carolina.

     

    And really, I don't think Virginia Tech needs to be in "free-fall" to lose to Georgia Tech. The Jackets hammered them last year in Blacksburg and according to the Sagarin ratings are the slightly better team on a neutral field. Add in a big home advantage for a Thursday night game against a team incapable of exploiting GT's biggest weakness (pass defense) and I see no reason GT shouldn't win, even without Tashard Choice. FWIW, the oddsmakers agree with me, listing Georgia Tech as a 2.5 point favorite on Thursday night.


  5. Except the fanbase is so broken down that unless they're on the internet, those 2 marks won't even be able to find anyone else who still watches wrestling. If Jericho's potential return was getting people to tune in and they still pulled one of their worst ratings ever, I'd hate to see what would have happened without him. Vince has alienated his fans so many times that I think most of them have just given up. I certainly won't be watching again any time soon.


  6. Just wanted to say the Georgia Tech's absolutely beating the Hokies this week and with Virginia having another very losable game this week, the Jackets still have a great shot to win the Coastal division. If they win out, all they really need is for Virginia Tech to split with FSU and Miami and then beat Virginia. Virginia and Miami would both have to pick up another loss somewhere too, but given the schedules, I think those events are very likely and VT is the key.


  7. I'm a huge Angle mark so that's a big factor in me finding Impact watchable. I'll admit that the Cornette/Tenay/random hicks stuff keeps me from taking it seriously, but it's at least something diverting and I manage to stay entertained either because it's good (Angle segments, Tomko/Christian/Styles) or because it's so bad that it's funny.

     

    WWE's just a bunch of boring filler. It's continually bad, but never quite dips into "so bad it's good" territory. During the whole two hour Raw, the only things I found remotely interesting were the HBK/Vince promo and Santino's promo where he did Stone Cold with the French accent. The whole rest of the show, you might as well have been watching commercials it was so pointless and boring.

     

    I mean, I'm not a big fan of Impact or anything, but if I were going to watch one show a month for a couple hours, it would definitely get the nod over Raw right now.


  8. Your question was to Iggy's list, and I was pointing out the logic that I believe he is using (he said something to the effect in a previous weeks addition, or I might be making that up).

     

    The voters consciously going, "Fuck BC" and voting them lower just to get ASU in the title game against Ohio State seems unlikely, but I could see a situation that arises of a team just squeaking by teams and another team around the same level getting solid wins and a team dropping naturally lower a few points keeping them out of the game.

     

    It's not about the voters saying "Fuck BC" and it's not about BC winning squeakers and ASU winning blowouts either. It's all about the remaining schedules. Arizona State has Oregon on the road (the "it" team in the national media at the moment), UCLA on the road, and then USC at home. If the Sun Devlis win all those games, the voters will have no choice but to be impressed. I'm guessing that just a win over Oregon this weekend would be enough to get ASU up to #3 and by the time they beat the other two teams, the voters would warm to putting them at #2. Even if they didn't, the schedule would be tough enough that ASU would almost certainly pass both BC and Ohio State to become a unanimous #1 in the computer ratings by the end of the season and by virtue of that, would get the #2 spot in the BCS anyway.


  9. If USC is still a longshot, shouldn't Michigan also be listed as one at this point? They obviously wouldn't get in over most 1-loss teams, and would need several teams to lose twice, but they are already reasonably high in the BCS and they do have a showcase game left against Ohio State. Now, I'd bet everything I own that neither of those teams makes the title game, but I don't really see one having a major advantage over the other.

     

    No. Michigan got blown out by Oregon at home. That means that if it comes down to the Wolverines vs. any two-loss Pac-10 team, the media will be screaming bloody murder if the Wolverines have the higher ranking. Definitely to the point that the voters would likely switch the teams during the conference championship games. Michigan has a 0.0000% chance of reaching the title game.

     

    USC on the other hand has plenty of room on the schedule. They've got Oregon State and Cal to get back on the national radar and then the ASU game on the road as their potential proving ground. If they blow out ASU there, all their past ills can be forgotten. The fact that Booty was injured in the losses is huge too, as the media will be saying things like "this isn't the same team that lost to Oregon and Stanford". "If Booty was healthy, they'd probably be 12-0." If Oregon beats ASU this weekend (which I expect them to), USC might just be screwed though. They need a splashy win to get back in the thick of the race, and I'm not sure if a one-loss borderline Top Ten Arizona State squad would cut it. To really have a decent chance, USC needs ASU to be undefeated and then they need to win big. At the very least, they still have a better shot than Hawaii.


  10. Jericho better frigging come back tonight. I ended up watching a few segments here and there and fast-forwarding through the rest, but if Jericho doesn't come back after all this, I'm going to be super-pissed. The problem is that it makes so much sense for HBK to be the one making the save tonight, that I'm not sure if I can see Y2J actually coming in. I mean, isn't he supposed to hate HHH anyway?


  11. The return of Jericho is huge, much more so because of the current state of wrestling. If they fuck around with it and piss off certain fans that could be it for them. This is one of those times where they must deliver, or else.

     

    Just wanted to say that I agree with this 100%. I haven't watched Raw in months and I'm recording it tonight because of the Jericho news. If he doesn't come back or he does and it's unsatisfying, I'm not turning on WWE again any time in the near future.


  12. I set the Impact replay to record and then watched it tonight and I enjoyed it quite a bit for the most part. It's a lot more fast-paced and engrossing then Raw and I'll never ever get sick of watching Kurt Angle win World titles. I really wasn't expecting there to be any legit chance of him winning at all so then when he did, I marked out big time. You'd never see a surprise title change right after a PPV title change in the WWE any more. TNA does a great job of staying unpredictable.

     

    I didn't really like the way they dragged out Cornette's decision throughout the show though. If they're going to do that finish, just do it in the regular main event slot and then have Cornette give his announcement next week. It would get more people to tune in to the following Impact and you wouldn't have the anti-climax of them main-eventing the show with an announcement of what we thought would happen all along.

     

    Oh, and is Robert Roode being from Wall Street supposed to be a parody on JBL or is that actually supposed to be his character straight-up. Because I don't think it's possible to dress him more like a typical redneck.


  13. OK, cabbageboy, I guess you were right about LSU. I've found a logic chain that gives definitive "proof" that they could get beat by a 2-6 Division II team.

     

    Western Washington > UC Davis > Northeastern > Central Arkansas > Nicholls State > Rice > Southern Miss > East Carolina > Central Florida > NC State > Virginia > UConn > USF > West Virginia > Mississippi State > Kentucky > LSU.

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