Oscar Nod Predictions and Reactions

[Guest MDH257]

The Oscar nods are announced tomorrow morning so I figured I'd toss these out. After they're announced anyone who cares can post their thoughts in this thread.

 

These are predictions, not who I actually think deserves to be nominated.

 

 

Best Picture

Chicago

Gangs of New York

The Hours

LOTR: The Two Towers

The Pianist

 

Best Director

Stephen Daldry, The Hours

Peter Jackson, LOTR: TT

Rob Marshall, Chicago

Roman Polanski, The Pianist

Martin Scorsese, Gangs of New York

 

Best Actor

Adrien Brody, The Pianist

Michael Caine, The Quiet American

Daniel Day-Lewis, Gangs of New York

Richard Gere, Chicago

Jack Nicholson, About Schmidt

 

Best Actress

Salma Hayek, Frida

Nicole Kidman, The Hours

Juianne Moore, Far From Heaven

Meryl Streep, The Hours

Rene Zellwegger, Chicago

 

Best Supporting Actor

Chris Cooper, Adaptation

Ed Harris, The Hours

Paul Newman, Road to Perdition

Dennis Quaid, Far From Heaven

John C. Reilly, Chicago

 

Best Supporting Actress

Kathy Bates, About Schmidt

Julianne Moore, The Hours

Queen Latifah, Chicago

Meryl Streep, Adaptation

Caterine Zeta-Jones, Chicago

 

Best Original Screenplay

Antwone Fisher

Far From Heaven

Gangs of New York

My Big Fat Greek Wedding

Punch Drunk Love

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

About Schmidt

Adaptation

Chicago

The Hours

The Pianist

 

 

I'm know I'm gonna git bit for predicting the Best Picture and Director to match up. I wouldn't be suprised if Adaptation or About Schmidt take LOTR's spot and Peter Jackson ends up being the Best Director Nomminee who's movie isn't nominated (there's one every year).

 

Two More Predictions:

 

Chicago gets at least 12 nods

Bowling for Columbine will not get nominated for Best Documentary.

[Guest Violent Mahatma]

I'm hoping against hope that Igby Goes Down gets nominated in at least one major category, preferably Kieran Culkin for Best Leading Actor. That movie was overlooked bigtime by the Globes, IMO.

[Guest Ravenbomb]

were there any good animated movies out this year? The only one I can think of off the top of my head is Powerpuff Girls.

Gangs of New York should at least get Director and Actor.

[Guest Downhome]

were there any good animated movies out this year? The only one I can think of off the top of my head is Powerpuff Girls.

The Nick film, about the girl and her family that goes to Africa or something was very much liked by many critics that I heard review it. I didn't see it though, so I can't say.

[Guest Kahran Ramsus]

were there any good animated movies out this year? The only one I can think of off the top of my head is Powerpuff Girls.

Gangs of New York should at least get Director and Actor.

Spirited Away

[Guest El Satanico]

were there any good animated movies out this year? The only one I can think of off the top of my head is Powerpuff Girls.

The Nick film, about the girl and her family that goes to Africa or something was very much liked by many critics that I heard review it. I didn't see it though, so I can't say.

Some critics liked The Wild Thornberries? ye god...that is such a horrible show I can't imagine that it would make for a good movie. It would be like Hey Arnold having a good movie.

[Guest Vern Gagne]

What was the name of the Japanese Animated Movie, that Ebert and Roeper say is hands down the the best of the year?

[Guest Lord of The Curry]

were there any good animated movies out this year? The only one I can think of off the top of my head is Powerpuff Girls.

Gangs of New York should at least get Director and Actor.

Spirited Away

Add Lilo and Stitch to that list. That movie was the bomb-diggity.

[Guest MDH257]

Because there were more films this year there's going to be 5 nominees for Best Animated Feature, not 3 like last year. Had there been only 3 spots up for grabs I might have been worried that Spirited Away would get snubbed.

[Guest Mole]

Bowling for Columbine will not get nominated for Best Documentary.

 

Nope, it defiently will.

[Guest Downhome]

Bowling for Columbine will not get nominated for Best Documentary.

 

Nope, it defiently will.

I don't see how it can't not only get nominated, but even win. It must, I just don't see how it can not. It's the single most greatest documentary I have ever seen in my life. Hell, it opened even MY eyes to many things.

[Guest MDH257]

If You know anything about the history of the Best Documentary catagory then you will know that these factors always work against a film getting a nod:

 

1.) Actually having played in theaters nationwide.

 

2.) Mainstream recognition/critical acclaim.

 

3.) Box Office success

 

4.) Actually being an entertaining film

 

Roger & Me, Hearts of Darkness, and Hoop Dreams are just three examples (off the top of my head) of great films that not only didn't win Best Documentary, they weren't even nominated.

 

I want Bowling for Columbine to get nominated and win as much as anyone. But knowing the history of this catagory, I'll believe it when I see it.

 

You don't know how happy I'll be if I'm wrong.

[Guest Dmann2000]

I just want to say Yeah to Adaptation!

 

And Gollum, we was robbeds we was!

[Guest Dmann2000]

These are predictions, not who I actually think deserves to be nominated.

 

 

Best Picture

Chicago

Gangs of New York

The Hours

LOTR: The Two Towers

The Pianist

You nailed it here

[Guest Dmann2000]

Looking at the list I see Eminem has made history getting the first rap song nominated for an Oscar (figures it'd be a white guy)

 

And shock of shock they actually nominated Bowling for Columbine (Now let's see it win)

[Guest El Satanico]

So Gollum didn't get a nomination after all? That sucks, but it figures seeing as how the Oscar voters have no balls.

 

Would've been nice to see them make history and cause some excitement by nominating a fully cgi character. Also it would've been good because it would encourage movie makers to take more care with cgi and not just make it a second thought.

[Guest MDH257]

Well I was 33 ot of 40 on my predictions. Which is 82.5%. I got 5 out of 5 on Best Picture and Best Supporting Actress. I was one off in prdicting how many nods for Chicago.

[Guest Downhome]

So, anyone care to make predictions? Here we go...

 

Best Picture

'Chicago'

'The Hours'

'Gangs of New York'

'The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers'

'The Pianist'

 

Best Actor

Adrien Brody, 'The Pianist'

Michael Caine, 'The Quiet American'

Nicolas Cage, 'Adaptation'

Daniel Day-Lewis, 'Gangs of New York'

Jack Nicholson, 'About Schmidt'

 

Best Actress

Salma Hayek, 'Frida'

Nicole Kidman, 'The Hours'

Diane Lane, 'Unfaithful'

Julianne Moore, 'Far From Heaven'

Renée Zellweger, 'Chicago'

 

Best Supporting Actor

Chris Cooper, 'Adaptation'

Ed Harris, 'The Hours'

Paul Newman, 'Road to Perdition'

John C. Reilly, 'Chicago'

Christopher Walken, 'Catch Me If You Can'

 

Best Supporting Actress

Kathy Bates, 'About Schmidt'

Julianne Moore, 'The Hours'

Queen Latifah, 'Chicago'

Meryl Streep, 'Adaptation'

Catherine Zeta-Jones, 'Chicago'

 

Best Director

Pedro Almodóvar, 'Talk to Her'

Stephen Daldry, 'The Hours'

Rob Marshall, 'Chicago'

Roman Polanski, 'The Pianist'

Martin Scorsese, 'Gangs of New York'

 

Best Original Screenplay

Pedro Almodóvar, 'Talk to Her'

Jay Cocks, Steven Zaillian, Kenneth Lonergan, 'Gangs of New York'

Alfonso and Carlos Cuarón, 'Y tu Mamá Tambien'

Todd Haynes, 'Far From Heaven'

Nia Vardalos, 'My Big Fat Greek Wedding'

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Bill Condon, 'Chicago'

David Hare, 'The Hours'

Peter Hedges, Chris Weitz and Paul Weitz, 'About a Boy'

Charlie and Donald Kaufman, 'Adaptation'

Ronald Harwood, 'The Pianist'

 

Best Animated Feature Film

'Ice Age'

'Lilo and Stitch'

'Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron'

'Spirited Away'

'Treasure Planet'

 

Best Foreign Language Film

'The Crime of Father Amaro' ('El Crimen del Padre Amaro'), Mexico

'Hero', People's Republic of China

'Nowhere in Africa', Germany

'The Man Without a Past', Finland

'Zus & Zo', the Netherlands

 

Art Direction

'Chicago'

'Frida'

'Gangs of New York'

'The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers'

'Road to Perdition'

 

Cinematography

'Chicago'

'Far From Heaven'

'Gangs of New York'

'The Pianist'

'Road to Perdition'

 

Costume Design

'Chicago'

'Frida'

'Gangs of New York'

'The Hours'

'The Pianist'

 

Documentary Feature

'Bowling For Columbine'

'Daughter From Danang'

'Prisoner of Paradise'

'Spellbound'

'Winged Migration'

 

Documentary Short Subject

'The Collector of Bedford Street'

'Mighty Times: The Legacy of Rosa Parks'

'Twin Towers'

'Why Can't We Be a Family Again?'

 

Film Editing

'Chicago'

'Gangs of New York'

'The Hours'

'The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers'

'The Pianist'

 

Makeup

'Frida'

'The Time Machine'

 

Music (Score)

'Catch Me If You Can'

'Far From Heaven'

'Frida'

'The Hours'

'Road to Perdition'

 

Music (Song)

'I Move On' from Chicago'

'Lose Yourself' from '8 Mile'

'Burn It Blue' from 'Frida'

'The Hands That Built America' from 'Gangs of New York'

'Father and Daughter' from 'The Wild Thornberrys Movie'

 

Short Film (Animated)

'The Cathedral'

'The Chubbchubbs!'

'Das Rad'

'Mike's New Car'

'Mt. Head'

 

Short Film (Live Action)

'Fair D'Hiver'

'I'll Wait for the Next One ...' ('J'attendrai le Suivant...')

'Inja' ('Dog')

'Johnny Flynton

'This Charming Man' ('Der er en Yndig Mand')

 

Sound

'Chicago'

'Gangs of New York'

'The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers'

'Road to Perdition'

'Spider-Man'

 

Sound Editing

'The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers'

'Minority Report'

'Road to Perdition'

 

Visual Effects

'The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers'

'Spider-Man'

'Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones'

 

...just thought I'd post them for anyone who hasn't see them yet. Anyhow...

 

...I knew that Bowling would be nominated, I just don't see a way that it COULDN'T be nominated. I'm very pleased with all of the nods that Chicago, Adaption, and The Pianist recieved, I really, really, am.

[Guest Mik at Cornell]

Is it just me, or did LotR get shit on? Peter Jackson NOT EVEN NOMINATED for best director? No nominations in Best original score, Cinematography or Costume Design? How can TT not get nominated for Costume Design?

[Guest WrestlingDeacon]

Maybe because the Lord of the Rings got all those nominations the first time around and it's all the same costumes and such. Most think that they'll wait until the third one and reward the trilogy as a whole with best picture and best director. I'll believe that when it happens.

 

It wouldn't shock me if Bowling for Columbine wins best documentary. Michael Moore is an established figure now and because of that, in away, less controversial or out there than he once was. He's now at a level where the Academy can give him an Oscar and then pat themselves on the back for being so cutting edge when he didn't even get nominated for Roger and Me.

 

The rest of the awards pretty much fell I thought and I'll make predictions on who I think will win later. Most likely we'll get a thread for that before too long.

[Guest Lord of The Curry]

All the same costumes? You quite obviously haven't seen The Two Towers.

 

Nice to see the acadamy slowly going back to their Lily White persona. One negro nominated in the best supporting actress category, one latino nominated for best director and one latina nominated for best actress. None of them will win, either.

 

Oh, and Peter Jackson will win next year. It's all but a fuckin guarantee now.

 

2004- Year of The Ring

 

Return of the King, Best Picture

Peter Jackson, Best Director

Viggo Mortennson, Best Actor

Ian McKellan or Elijah Wood, Best Supporting Actor

[Guest Choken One]

All the same costumes? You quite obviously haven't seen The Two Towers.

 

Nice to see the acadamy slowly going back to their Lily White persona. One negro nominated in the best supporting actress category, one latino nominated for best director and one latina nominated for best actress. None of them will win, either.

 

Oh, and Peter Jackson will win next year. It's all but a fuckin guarantee now.

 

2004- Year of The Ring

 

Return of the King, Best Picture

Peter Jackson, Best Director

Viggo Mortennson, Best Actor

Ian McKellan or Elijah Wood, Best Supporting Actor

I can't under ANY circumstances allow the star of NORTH win an academy award...

[Guest Kahran Ramsus]

I can't under ANY circumstances allow the star of NORTH win an academy award...

 

Why not? North had lots of talent involved, which made it even worse.

[Guest Ravenbomb]

even good actors can have bad movies. Just because North is the worst movie ever put to film doesn't mean everybody in it are bad actors or that Rob Reiner is a bad director.

[Guest MDH257]

Looking at the nominees I just noticed that Episode II got nominated for best visual effects, but Minority Report didn't. (Shakes head in disbelief)

[Guest MarvinisaLunatic]

Looking at the nominees I just noticed that Episode II got nominated for best visual effects, but Minority Report didn't.  (Shakes head in disbelief)

And out of that list of 3 movies for VE, I think LotR:TT wins by default.

 

I too hope that the entire LotR Series gets honored next year with a bunch of awards. And Since TT was the only movie of the 5 nominated for best Picture that I've seen, and looking at the other movies that are on the list, I could see it winning, but it won't.

 

And just a little side rant..The Academy Award is for best picture of the last YEAR..not LAST TWO 1/2 MONTHS. I surely thought Road to Perdition would have gotten some nods..but I guess being a movie that was released all the way back in the summer makes it to easily forgotten.

 

And Ice Age better win best Animated Film.

 

And, slim chance that Roman Polanski or anything/anyone associated with the Pianist wins...

[Guest Narcoleptic Jumper]

2004- Year of The Ring

 

Return of the King, Best Picture

Peter Jackson, Best Director

Viggo Mortennson, Best Actor

Ian McKellan or Elijah Wood, Best Supporting Actor

 

If that happened, I would cry like a little girl.

[Guest Lethargic]

2004- Year of The Ring

 

Return of the King, Best Picture

Peter Jackson, Best Director

Viggo Mortennson, Best Actor

Ian McKellan or Elijah Wood, Best Supporting Actor

 

If that happened, I would cry like a little girl.

So would I. That would be the biggest travesty I've ever seen. Viggo or Elijah just being nominated would make me never watch the Oscars again.

[Guest Lord of The Curry]

I'm pretty sure the Academy goofed up here. Look at the list of Directors Nominees. They are all nominated for Best Picture. Except for one. Peter Jackson. Am I the only one who sees something wrong with this here? Probably yes......

[Guest Choken One]

Why? It wasn't even that good anyways and really, How was it different from last year? They can just give it to him next as a thank you for jacking up the income for Hollywood.