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Steve J. Rogers

Steve J. Rogers MLB Predictions for 2005

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The numbers listed are the Vegas Over/Unders as of this weekend. And away we go.

 

AL EAST

 

Yankees 101

A bit on the high side, but its still the Yanks. I’d go slight under because there is still the age question about the staff and the bullpen, and that includes Gordon and Rivera, 100 is where I’ll top off and yet another divisional title.

 

Red Sox 95

The two superpowers of the AL East will continue to dominate. Sox have some of the same questions about the staff that the Yanks do with age and health. I’ll go with that number on the nose and say they’ll fall short of the division yet again, but still capture the Wild Card.

 

Orioles 81

Maz’s second season at the helm, the lineup should be solid and young arms definitely will keep the Birds at or around .500 all year. Even

 

Blue Jays 70

Young team, losing Delgado hurts. I’ll take the over and give the Jays 73 wins

 

Devil Rays 70

Go under here. Is 70 the win total or how many breakdowns Lou Piniella will have this year? 65 max.

 

AL CENTRAL

 

Twins 87

Eh, take the over I’ll say they get 90 wins and a fourth straight AL Central crown

 

Indians 83

Young team still growing. I’ll go over here as well with 85

 

White Sox 81

Also a young team. I’ll pull even here.

 

Tigers 78

A bit high. I think they will improve this year, look for Jeremy Bonderman to break out, I’ll pick under with 75

 

Royals 64

Just plain pitiful, I’ll take the over out of principle but not by much. 67

 

AL WEST

 

A’s 83

I’m taking the over here and the A’s to recapture the division with 93 wins. Don’t discount the A’s young arms. Not saying they have Braves material here in terms of keep churning them out, but just because Hudson and Mulder are elsewhere doesn’t mean the A’s can’t reload.

 

Angels 91

The race is going to go down the way it did last year, just a different result. Give the Angels the over with 92

 

Rangers 81

Just about right. I’ll nudge that number up just a bit though with 84

 

Mariners 76

I’ll give the M’s a little more credit, take the over and the Mariners will finish with 81 wins.

 

In the playoffs: Yankees, Twins, A’s, Redsox

 

ALCS: Yankees get revenge over the Redsox in another wild series. Yankees in Seven

 

MVP: Alex Rodriguez

ARod will “earn his pinstripes” this year, while not enough to nudge over for the division, he will have a monster “MVP” season

 

CY: Barry Zito

Look for Zito to take to the lone guy role well and bounce back

 

ROY: Jeremy Reed

Just throwing darts at this one, Seattle Mariner CF looks like a decent prospect

 

NL EAST

 

Braves 89

Never count the champion out until they are finally defeated. Its hard not to like the Braves again for the division. Hudson joins a respectable staff, and John Smoltz returns to a starting role. Take the over, Braves win 92 and their 14th straight divisional title

 

Marlins 85

Things are still looking good in Miami, but not enough to topple the Braves. Go over with a soild 90

 

Phillies 83

I’m not sold on the Phillies as members of the media seem to be. New manager helps, but not enough. Eh, I’m going under with 82

 

Mets 85

A bit on the high side. I think the Mets will struggle to stay at .500 all year, but when all is said and done they should have about 81-82 wins, take the under.

 

Nationals 69

Under. 100+ losses this year for the Nats. Same city but the old refrain remains, just with a slight change: First in war, first in peace, and now, last in the National League.

 

NL CENTRAL

 

Cardinals 92

I like that number, I can see them going over. Give them a solid 95 and the division. A healthy Mark Mulder should do the trick

 

Astros 84

Losing Beltran and having Berkman out for a month or so hurt. Having Pettitte healthy for the season should stem the tide a bit. Take the over, they’ll get 90 but fall short

 

Cubs 90

This is before the Borowoski injury, and maybe before the news about Prior, so of course take the under. With a lot of questions in the pitching staff, and the departure of two key offensive components, the Friendly Confines will continue onward towards that Golden Jubilee celebration in two years. 84 wins, barely

 

Reds 77

Seems about right. Take a slight over and an 81-81 finish

 

Brewers 68

I’m going out on a limb here and going with an over. Young nucleus, good signs in both their offensive and pitching staff. I’ll give them 80 wins

 

Pirates 73

Its going to be horrendous this year in the Steel City. Its going to be a long wait until the Steelers opener this September. I’ll stick with the number 73

 

Giants 88

Despite his drama queen diva-like performance, Bonds will only be out for a short while. In the meantime, the Giants do have enough to sustain themselves and be in the hunt all year. Give this team an over and 94 wins

 

Dodgers 84

This is going to be another down-to-the wire run with these two century-old rivals. Take the over, Dodgers will lose the race down the stretch with 93 wins

 

Padres 85

Look for the Pads to continue to improve, I’m going to take a slight under with 81 wins

 

Diamondbacks 70

Offensively they have improved but pitching is still suspect. Take the over though, should be good enough to get 80 wins

 

Rockies 67

Ah the Rocky Mountain High. Or should it be depths, well the Rockies should have enough to win ballgames. Take the over, but not by much, 72

 

In the playoffs: Braves, Cardinals, Giants, Dodgers

 

NLCS: How is this for a vintage set of LCS, Redsox-Yankees and Giants-Dodgers with the Dodgers getting the job done in 6

 

MVP: Albet Pujols

Either Bonds will start to break down, or the BBWAA will throw some protest votes in someone else’s favor

 

CY: Tim Hudson

Look for the Braves to regain the Cy Young award for the first time since Tom Glavine in 1998

 

ROY: Jason Lane

Another dart toss with this one, RF with Houston should earn himself a spot on the roster full time when Berkman returns

 

World Series Prediction

Alex Rodriguez will pull a Reggie Jackson-esque performance, leading the Yankees to put the Dodgers away in 5 games.

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