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Phillies Pharm Report IV

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EVIL~! alkeiper

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I'm surprised the last one is six weeks old already. Damn.

 

The Phillies' minor league season is over, and I'm mulling over a list of the Phils' Top 20 prospects. Considering prospects from Triple A to Low A is a fairly simple matter. The stats can give you about 70-90% of what you need to know. In Short Season A and Rookie ball though, it's a crapshoot. You've got 18 year old kids in a league too far down to project, along with a sample size too small to trust. You really need good scouts to evaluate prospects at that level. I don't have that luxury. Baseball America though is printing their top 20 prospect lists from each league over the next few weeks. It's a useful guide for getting a start on the lower tier prospects. Five Phillies made the list from the Gulf Coast League.

 

7. Adrian Cardenas, SS

12. Kyle Drabek, RHP

14. Jesus Sanchez, C

17. D'Arby Myers, OF

19. Carlos Monasterios, RHP

 

Cardenas has hit but his defense is troubling and his future may lie at another position. Drabek's highly touted but his makeup is questionable. Sanchez and Monasterios I know little about besides the fact that neither has gone 20/20 in the majors or posted a .400 OBP. D'Arby Myers was one of the top hitters in the GCL, but his BB:K ratio is poor. I know little personally about their long term prospects, so I defer to Baseball America. I wouldn't switch these guys around unless I had overwhelming evidence to do so.

 

EDIT: The NY-Penn rankings are out, and no Phillies made the list. RHP Edgar Garcia is the only person on that club who really inspires immediate notice. The South Atlantic League rankings place Carlos Carrasco fifth (the top pitcher), Matt Maloney 19th and Josh Outman 20th.

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Non-minors question: Do you think keeping Abreu would have pushed the Phillies into the postseason?

It's quite possible. Everyone is quick to spin the "addition by subtraction" bs. What they miss is that the Phils are on pace to win 85 games, their lowest total since 2002. They're only in postseason contention because no one in the National League besides the Mets can exceed .500 by any decent margin. I think they needed to move him or Burrell though, because the outfield defense had become problematic. You can carry one subpar gloveman, but two is pushing it.

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