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HOF Profile: Bret Saberhagen

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Bret Saberhagen - Starting Pitcher

 

Kansas City Royals 1984-1991

New York Mets 1992-1995

Colorado Rockies 1995

Boston Red Sox 1997-1999, 2001

 

Awards

1985 AL Cy Young

1985 Sporting News AL Pitcher of the Year

1985 World Series MVP

1989 AL Cy Young

1989 Sporting News AL Pitcher of the Year

1989 AL Gold Glove - P

 

All-Star Selections: 3 (1987, 1990, 1994)

 

League Leader

1985: WHIP, BB/9, K/BB Ratio

1989: Wins, ERA, Win %, WHIP, Innings, Complete Games, K/BB Ratio, ERA+

1994: BB/9, K/BB Ratio

 

Career Ranks

WHIP: 47th

BB/9: 35th

K: 97th

K/BB: 10th

ERA+: 56th

 

Hall of Fame Stats

 

Black Ink: Pitching - 20 (88) (Average HOFer ≈ 40)

Gray Ink: Pitching - 124 (139) (Average HOFer ≈ 185)

HOF Standards: Pitching - 32.0 (123) (Average HOFer ≈ 50)

HOF Monitor: Pitching - 70.5 (158) (Likely HOFer > 100)

 

Similar Pitchers in the HOF: None

Top 10 Similar Pitchers: John Candelaria, Ron Guidry, Ed Lopat, Jimmy Key, Ed Morris, Scott Sanderson, Doug Drabek, Bill Gullickson, Dave McNally, Rick Rhoden

 

Year-by-Year Win Shares & Wins Above Replacment Level (WARP3)

 

1984: 10/4.1

1985: 24/10.2

1986: 8/4.4

1987: 23/10.1

1988: 15/6.6

1989: 28/11.7

1990: 7/5.0

1991: 16/7.6

1992: 5/2.5

1993: 9/4.5

1994: 16/8.7

1995: 8/3.3

1997: 0/0.1

1998: 12/5.5

1999: 12/6.3

2001: 0/0.2

 

Career Win Shares: 193

Career WARP3: 90.7

 

Would he get my vote?

 

No. At age 25 he had already had two Cy Young's and a World Series MVP but three straight years where he through over 250 innings took it's toll on his arm as he would only throw enough innings three more times in his career to qualify for the ERA title. Certainly a great "What If?" case if he could have stayed healthy. When he was healthy he pitched like a HOF but didn't pitch enough to warrant consideration.

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