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HOF Profile: Orel Hershiser

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Orel Hershiser - Starting Pitcher

 

Los Angeles Dodgers 1983-1994, 2000

Cleveland Indians 1995-1997

San Francisco Giants 1998

New York Mets 1999

 

2nd year on the ballot

 

Past HOF Ballot Results

2006: 11.2%

 

Awards

1988 NL Cy Young

1988 NL Sporting News Pitcher of the Year

1988 NL Gold Glove - P

1988 NLCS MVP

1988 World Series MVP

1995 ALCS MVP

 

All-Star Selections: 3 (1987, 1988, 1989)

 

League Leader

1984: Shutouts

1985: Winning %

1987: Innings Pitched

1988: Wins, Winning %, Innings Pitched, Complete Games, Shutouts

1989: Innings Pitched

 

Career Ranks

Wins: 100th

Strikeouts: 58th

 

Hall of Fame Stats

 

Black Ink: Pitching - 20 (88) (Average HOFer ≈ 40)

Gray Ink: Pitching - 129 (130) (Average HOFer ≈ 185)

HOF Standards: Pitching - 34.0 (101) (Average HOFer ≈ 50)

HOF Monitor: Pitching - 90.5 (115) (Likely HOFer > 100)

 

Similar Pitchers in HOF: 2 (Catfish Hunter, Dazzy Vance)

Other Similar Pitchers: Bob Welch, Milt Pappas, Kevin Brown, Vida Blue, Jim Perry, Dave Stieb, Silver King, Bob Shawkey

 

Year-by-Year Win Shares & Wins Above Replacement Level (WARP3)

 

1983: 0/0

1984: 18/6.8

1985: 23/7.7

1986: 12/5.1

1987: 21/9.1

1988: 25/10.3

1989: 21/9.7

1990: 1/0.2

1991: 8/3.1

1992: 8/4.5

1993: 13/5.6

1994: 7/3.2

1995: 13/6.4

1996: 14/5.9

1997: 11/4.5

1998: 7/2.9

1999: 8/3.0

2000: 0/-1.7

 

Career Win Shares: 210

Career WARP3: 86.2

 

Would he get my vote?

 

No. Looked like he was on his way to a Hall of Fame career at the conclusion of the 80's but a torn rotator cuff in April of 1990 cost him over a year and he was never the same pitcher after that. Like with Bret Saberhagen throwing over 250 innings three straight years did not end being a good idea. Hershiser was arguably a better pitcher than his HOF comp Catfish Hunter but Hunter was vastly overrated and a very dubious HOF inductee, while Hershiser was not at the level of Dazzy Vance.

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Like with Bret Saberhagen throwing over 250 innings three straight years did not end being a good idea.

 

I'm coming around on Jack Morris, and this is part of the reason why. While all these guys pitched and flamed out, Morris averaged 227 innings a year over a 12 year period. But here's my main consideration.

 

CAREER

 

WINNING PERCENTAGE >= .570

 

WINS W PCT

1 Cy Young 511 .618

2 Walter Johnson 417 .599

T3 Grover C Alexander 373 .642

T3 Christy Mathewson 373 .665

5 Warren Spahn 363 .597

6 Kid Nichols 361 .634

7 Roger Clemens 348 .662

8 Tim Keefe 341 .602

9 Greg Maddux 333 .621

10 Steve Carlton 329 .574

11 John Clarkson 328 .650

12 Eddie Plank 326 .627

13 Tom Seaver 311 .603

T14 Old Hoss Radbourn 309 .613

T14 Mickey Welch 309 .594

16 Lefty Grove 300 .680

17 Tom Glavine 290 .603

18 Randy Johnson 280 .656

19 Jim Palmer 268 .638

20 Bob Feller 266 .621

21 Jack Morris 254 .577

22 Carl Hubbell 253 .622

23 Bob Gibson 251 .591

24 Joe McGinnity 246 .634

25 Amos Rusie 245 .585

26 Juan Marichal 243 .631

27 Herb Pennock 240 .597

T28 Three Finger Brown 239 .649

T28 Mike Mussina 239 .641

30 Clark Griffith 237 .619

 

It is HIGHLY unusual for a player to match Morris's wins and win percentage and not make the Hall.

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I can't get past the ERA/ERA+ for Morris when it comes to his case but I'll get more into that when I do his entry which will be pretty soon.

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I'm not supporting a case here, just relaying statistics. Morris was hurt by a few bad years near the end, so I looked for peak values. Morris's lowest ERA was 3.55 after the 1987 season. His RSAA was 139 at one point. He retired with 78.

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