So I had an A's preview typed up...
...and when I went to preview it, it told me to log back in. No biggie it has happened before with previous entries and I've always been able to hit the back button, copy the text, and log back in. But nope not this time. So I really don't feel typing that up again although I'd be even more pissed if this happend with my original A's preview idea where I'd talk about the entire team. I started typing it in a word file a couple of weeks ago but got Bored after seven players so I decided to go with a condensed version (or actually a lazy version) where I talked about six players in particular (Chavez, Zito, Harden, Bradley, Loaiza, Thomas) and that is what I had typed out in the entry. Oh well, I should have known I was gonna be timed out. I do actually have what I said about Chavez already in the Word file so here's that:
Going into last year I felt legitimately that Chavez would emerge as a serious MVP candidate. He made great strides at the plate in 2004 as prior to that year he’d always been a bit of a hacker at the plate but he posted a .397 OBP and led the A.L. walks despite only playing in 125 games. His numbers went largely unnoticed and unappreciated as he spent a month on the disabled list due to a broken hand when he was hit by a pitch. His counting numbers looked low especially compared to his ex-teammate Miguel Tejada who posted 150 RBI in his first season in Baltimore. Some A’s fans unfairly slammed Chavez in ’04 and talked about what a mistake it was to keep him over Tejada but didn’t bother to notice that Chavez’s peripheral numbers were better. But 2005 would not be the year Chavez would finally get his due respect as he would get off to a horrific start, hitting under .200 as late as May 15th and not getting his OBP over .300 until June 7th. He’d have a monster month of June that would turn his season around but due to his bad start he’d end up with his worst numbers since his rookie year of 1999. The great strides he made in 2004 seemed to disappear as after a ratio of 95 walks to 99 strikeouts in ’04, he’d have a ratio of 58 walks to 129 strikeouts. Whatever he was doing differently in ’04 he needs to get back this season. One thing no one questions his Chavez’s defense at 3rd as he captured his fifth straight Gold Glove. An area of concern though when it comes to his defense is a shoulder problem he’s struggled with the last couple of years. He was scheduled to have offseason surgery but ended up deciding against it and it remains to be seen if that was a good decision or not. I’ve always been a big defender of Chavez and feel he is grossly scapegoated by some A’s fans just because he isn’t as demonstrative as Tejada was. I still feel that given the circumstances Billy Beane made the right choice as Chavez was younger, had better career numbers than Tejada, and throw in that they had Bobby Crosby on the horizon. But 2005 soured me on Chavez a bit. I always felt he would become the superstar that he was projected to be but now I’m not so sure. If he can’t take it to that next level in the next year or two it probably will never happen.
And this I had tacked on to the my original entry that I lost which was also in the world file, just stat lines for everyone on the 25 man roster, nothing special:
Jason Kendall
Age: 32
2005: 676 PA, .271/.345/.321, 79 RC, .249 EQA, 18.1 VORP, 14 Win Shares
2004: 658 PA, .319/.399/.390, 96 RC, .280 EQA, 47.5 VORP, 25 Win Shares (Pittsburgh)
Adam Melhuse
Age: 34
2005: 102 PA, .247/.284/.381, 12 RC, .234 EQA, 1.3 VORP, 2 Win Shares
2004: 231 PA, .257/.309/.463, 23 RC, .262 EQA, 9.4 VORP, 5 Win Shares
Mark Ellis
Age: 29
2005: 486 PA, .316/.384/.477, 78 RC, .301 EQA, 41.9 VORP, 21 Win Shares
2004: Injured
2003: 622 PA, .248/.313/.371, 63 RC, .246 EQA, 13.9 VORP, 18 Win Shares
Eric Chavez
Age: 28
2005: 694 PA, .269/.329/.466, 96 RC, .280 EQA, 35.5 VORP, 20 Win Shares
2004: 577 PA, .276/.397/.501, 91 RC, .311 EQA, 45.5 VORP, 18 Win Shares
Bobby Crosby
Age: 26
2005: 371 PA, .276/.346/.456, 48 RC, .283 EQA, 25.4 VORP, 12 Win Shares
2004: 623 PA, .239/.319/.426, 66 RC, .262 EQA, 23.0 VORP, 14 Win Shares
Frank Thomas
Age: 38
2005: 124 PA, .219/.315/.590, 17 RC, .299 EQA, 9.2 VORP, 3 Win Shares (Chicago-AL)
2004: 311 PA, .271/.434/.563, 58 RC, .333 EQA, 34.2 VORP, 12 Win Shares (Chicago-AL)
Marco Scutaro
Age: 30
2005: 423 PA, .247/.310/.391, 45 RC, .251 EQA, 11.0 VORP, 11 Win Shares
2004: 477 PA, .273/.297/.393, 45 RC, .240 EQA, 9.3 VORP, 11 Win Shares
Antonio Perez
Age: 26
2005: 287 PA, .297/.360/.398, 43 RC, .274 EQA, 15.7 VORP, 10 Win Shares (Los Angeles)
2004: 476 AB, .296/.379/.511 (AAA Las Vegas)
Nick Swisher
Age: 25
2005: 522 PA, .236/.322/.446, 63 RC, .269 EQA, 14.2 VORP, 12 Win Shares
2004: 443 AB, .269/.406/.537 (AAA Sacramento)
Mark Kotsay
Age: 30
2005: 629 PA, .280/.325/.421, 86 RC, .263 EQA, 23.2 VORP, 18 Win Shares
2004: 673 PA, .314/.370/.459, 100 RC, .289 EQA, 45.3 VORP, 21 Win Shares
Milton Bradley
Age: 28
2005: 316 PA, .290/.350/.484, 43 RC, .290 EQA, 24.0 VORP, 10 Win Shares (Los Angeles)
2004: 597 PA, .267/.362/.424, 74 RC, .274 EQA, 25.2 VORP, 16 Win Shares (Los Angeles)
Jay Payton
Age: 33
2005: 435 PA, .267/.306/.444, 57 RC, .261 EQA, 12.1 VORP, 12 Win Shares (Boston/Oakland)
2004: 511 PA, .260/.326/.367, 63 RC, .251 EQA, 9.5 VORP, 15 Win Shares (San Diego)
Bobby Kielty
Age: 29
2005: 433 PA, .263/.350/.395, 53 RC, .270 EQA, 12.9 VORP, 10 Win Shares
2004: 278 PA, .214/.321/.370, 32 RC, .249 EQA, -1.2 VORP, 4 Win Shares
Rich Harden
Age: 24
2005: 128 IP, 177 ERA+, 2.81 K/BB, 1.06 WHIP, 40.8 VORP, 12 Win Shares
2004: 189.2 IP, 117 ERA+, 2.06 K/BB, 1.33 WHIP, 41.3 VORP, 14 Win Shares
Barry Zito
Age: 28
2005: 228.1 IP, 116 ERA+, 1.92 K/BB, 1.20 WHIP, 41.8 VORP, 13 Win Shares
2004: 213 IP, 105 ERA+, 2.01 K/BB, 1.39 WHIP, 31.5 VORP, 12 Win Shares
Danny Haren
Age: 25
2005: 217 IP, 120 ERA+, 3.08 K/BB, 1.22 WHIP, 39.5 VORP, 13 Win Shares
2004: 128 IP, 4.15 ERA, 4.55 K/BB, 1.32 WHIP (AAA Memphis)
Joe Blanton
Age: 25
2005: 201.1 IP, 127 ERA+, 1.73 K/BB, 1.22 WHIP, 44.3 VORP, 13 Win Shares
2004: 1761.1 IP, 4.19 ERA, 4.21 K/BB, 1.32 WHIP (AAA Sacramento)
Esteban Loaiza
Age: 34
2005: 217 IP, 105 ERA+, 3.15 K/BB, 1.30 WHIP, 42.1 VORP, 12 Win Shares
2004: 183 IP, 84 ERA+, 1.65 K/BB, 1.58 WHIP, 2.8 VORP, 7 Win Shares
Huston Street
Age: 22
2005: 78.1 IP, 261 ERA+, 2.77 K/BB, 1.01 WHIP, 33.3 VORP, 16 Win Shares
2004: 57 IP, 1.58 ERA, 4.54 K/BB, 0.86 WHIP (University of Texas)
Justin Duchscherer
Age: 28
2005: 85.2 IP, 204 ERA+, 4.47 K/BB, 1.00 WHIP, 30.0 VORP, 11 Win Shares
2004: 96.3 IP, 143 ERA+, 1.84 K/BB, 1.22 WHIP, 30.2 VORP, 9 Win Shares
Kiko Calero
Age: 31
2005: 55.2 IP, 139 ERA+, 2.89 K/BB, 1.13 WHIP, 15.7 VORP, 5 Win Shares
2004: 45.1 IP, 151 ERA+, 4.70 K/BB, 0.82 WHIP, 14.7 VORP, 6 Win Shares (St. Louis)
Jay Witasick
Age: 33
2005: 63.1 IP, 163 ERA+, 2.52 K/BB, 1.30 WHIP, 13.6 VORP, 6 Win Shares (Colorado/Oakland)
2004: 61.2 IP, 125 ERA+, 2.19 K/BB, 1.35 WHIP, 11.1 VORP, 3 Win Shares (San Diego)
Joe Kennedy
Age: 27
2005: 152.2 IP, 77 ERA+, 1.52 K/BB, 1.68 WHIP, -17.5 VORP, 3 Win Shares (Colorado/Oakland)
2004: 162.1 IP, 138 ERA+, 1.75 K/BB, 1.42 WHIP, 36.0 VORP, 13 Win Shares (Colorado)
Kirk Saarloos
Age: 27
2005: 159.2 IP, 108 ERA+, 0.98 K/BB, 1.40 WHIP, 28.3 VORP, 9 Win Shares
2004: Pitched insignificant number of innings in AAA New Orleans, AAA Sacramento, and Oakland
So that's that, this blog will probably turn into an A's blog by the time the season startsso I'm sure I'll touch on some of the subjects from the entry I intended to post.
Oh and my prediction: A's win 97 games, finish first in the A.L. West, and finally win an ALDS series. Anything after that is gravy.
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