My prediction for this match sits somewhere in the realm of the match ending in a tie leading to a 5 minute overtime(the tie will be caused by Eugene giving the even fall to Benoit). Benoit wins the match via submission or however he wins it. HHH naturally complains and they have an iron rematch at SS, with HHH coming out on top.
The thought about commercials I had earlier was that they may very well lean on Viacom and Spike TV and have the match go commercial free. Barring that, a double commercial break about halfway through the match. Since it's live and a huge free TV match, I don't think they'll make the same mistakes they made with the SD! iron man by formatting the entire thing terribly for their commercial interruptions.
My greatest concern about this match is HHH blowing up. He's undoubtedly a big time player, but without the cage gimmick to allow him longer rests between spots, he might start to slow down a lot without that buffer. Hell it could happen to Benoit to but i don't want to think about that because Benoit is my hero and all that.
I think we can all agree that there will be some extended 'WWE ground work' involved in this match so we'll just have to see how well it plays out in the realm of the story they are telling and how on their game the two men are.
This match could flop or it could be MOTYC, depending on your personal tastes, but both men are gonna show up with their working hats on and they will undoubtedly give it their best. I'm predicting a 'good' match at worst.