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Over/Under, 2008 Edition

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EVIL~! alkeiper

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Over/Under

 

I'm establishing a rule for myself. 15 overs and unders. Let's see where that leads.

 

Baltimore Orioles 66.0 66.0 UNDER

Florida Marlins 69.0 69.0 UNDER

Pittsburgh Pirates 70.0 70.0 OVER

Kansas City Royals 71.0 71.0 OVER

Washington Nationals 72.0 72.0 OVER

Tampa Bay Devil Rays 73.0 73.0 OVER

San Francisco Giants 73.0 73.0 UNDER

Oakland Athletics 74.0 74.0 OVER

Texas Rangers 75.5 75.5 OVER

Minnesota Twins 75.5 75.5 OVER

Houston Astros 76.0 76.0 OVER

Chicago White Sox 77.0 77.0 UNDER

Cincinnati Reds 79.0 79.0 OVER

St. Louis Cardinals 80.0 80.0 UNDER

Colorado Rockies 83.0 83.0 UNDER

San Diego Padres 84.5 84.5 OVER

Seattle Mariners 85.0 85.0 UNDER

Milwaukee Brewers 85.0 85.0 UNDER

Toronto Blue Jays 85.5 85.5 UNDER

Arizona Diamondbacks 86.0 86.0 OVER

Los Angeles Dodgers 86.5 86.5 OVER

Philadelphia Phillies 86.5 86.5 OVER

Atlanta Braves 87.0 87.0 UNDER

Chicago Cubs 89.0 89.0 UNDER

Cleveland Indians 89.5 89.5 OVER

Los Angeles Angels 92.5 92.5 UNDER

Detroit Tigers 93.0 93.0 UNDER

New York Yankees 93.5 93.5 UNDER

New York Mets 94.0 94.0 UNDER

Boston Red Sox 94.5 94.5 OVER

 

I noticed that I tended to go the over on mostly sub-.500 teams and under on mostly over-.500 teams. As a whole, I think most teams are ranked fairly on this list. For example, the Cubs are listed above the Brewers. I took the under on the Cubs and over on the Brewers. I still think the Cubs are favorites, I just think the win margin will end up 88-86.

 

I will be happy to answer questions about individual teams. The Astros replaced three awful players in their lineup (Ausmus, Biggio and Everett) with J.R. Towles, Kaz Matsui and Miguel Tejada. Their rotation sucks, but it sucked last year too, no loss. And it's a weak division.

 

The Pirates will no doubt finish below .500, but 92 losses? Not a sure thing in the NL Central. The Pirates are an odd team in that they are bad, but they lack truly bad players. They just do not have a truly standout player on their team. (Unless Jason Bay rebounds.)

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Sad to see the under on the Braves, but I truely have no idea what to expect out of this season from them. Glavine's back but he's old, Smoltz isn't getting any younger, and we got rid of Renteria and Jones. They keep talking about being a playoff team but I'm fearing right around the .500 mark this season. Thoughts?

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Sad to see the under on the Braves, but I truely have no idea what to expect out of this season from them. Glavine's back but he's old, Smoltz isn't getting any younger, and we got rid of Renteria and Jones. They keep talking about being a playoff team but I'm fearing right around the .500 mark this season. Thoughts?

I see around 83-86 wins from the Braves, which would keep them in contention right to the end. There's a lot to like. The hitting is there, with stars and solid regulars abound. Two very good pitchers in Tim Hudson and Smoltz, while Chuck James and Tom Glavine can keep them in game. The Braves are a real sleeper team, it would only take one or two breaks to make them division contenders.

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Dodgers...playoffs, or is the hitting bad enough that they'll be unable to get in?

The Dodgers had substandard production at SS, 3B and CF. They signed Andruw Jones for center, and have top 100 prospects ready at the other two positions. I'd say back end of the rotation is the only big question mark. Unless they make truly stupid personnel moves (namely, blocking productive prospects), they are as good as any pick to win the West.

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