Craig Th 0 Report post Posted May 25, 2008 I know this is a few weeks late, but the "summer box office season" has technically just begun. Yes, I know they call early May movies summer movies, but the summer season is Memorial Day thru Labor Day. But I am going to include early May movies in this. Here are the "big" movies coming out this summer (including ones that already came out): May IronMan Speed Racer What Happens in Vegas The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull Sex and the City June Kung Fu Panda You Don't Mess With The Zohan The Incredible Hulk The Happening Get Smart The Love Guru Wanted Wall-E July Hancock Journey to the Center of the Earth 3D Hell Boy II: The Golden Army The Dark Knight Mamma Mia! X-Files: I Want to Believe Step Brothers August The Rocker The Mummy: The Tomb of the Dragon Emperor Pineapple Express The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants 2 Tropic Thunder Star Wars: The Clone Wars House Bunny Vicky Cristina Barcelona Now there could be a lot of them I missed, but I was just going through Entertainment Weekly's Summer Preview issue. If you think something should be added, just let me know. Top 10 Predictions 1. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - $350 2. Hancock - $325 3. Wall-E - $300 4. Ironman - $280 5. The Dark Knight - $250 6. Kung Fu Panda - $240 7. The Incredible Hulk - $220 8. Sex and the City - $200 9. The Mummy: The Tomb of the Dragon Emperor - $175 10. X-Files: I Want to Believe - $170 Other: Get Smart - $150 The Love Guru - $140 (though it could do much more if it's any good) The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian - $ 140 (I would have had this going $200+ before hand, but I can't say that now) Pineapple Express - $125 You Don't Mess With The Zohan - $120 I'm crossed on Wanted. I could see it doing very well, around $180, but I can also see it flopping. Journey to the Center of the Earth will flop. Sisterhood 2 will get about $75. Tropic Thunder might get $100. And if the Happening is more like Sixth Sense and less like Lady in the Water, it will do over $190. I think these numbers are a little high, but I have a feeling people will be looking for some entertainment after this past years strike. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
foleyfanforever88 0 Report post Posted May 25, 2008 Hancock at #2?? I would've said Dark Knight for sure. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Craig Th 0 Report post Posted May 26, 2008 Then say it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Craig Th 0 Report post Posted May 26, 2008 No one? Not even Bob? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted May 26, 2008 You started the thread five hours ago, mole Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cabbageboy 0 Report post Posted May 26, 2008 I don't see Hancock doing anything like that sort of business. It might do about what I Am Legend did with Smith but is a movie about a drunken ne'er do well superhero going to draw more money than movies about actual superheroes? Wall-E might do Ratatouille type business but I can't see it hitting 300 million. It looks like an animated Short Circuit, haha. I actually think that Mummy movie might surprise some people, the trailer was pretty good and increased my interest. As far as a potential bomb or flop, gotta say Sex in the City. It's getting lukewarm initial reviews and I don't think it was as popular as some magazines like Ent. Weekly seem to think it is (EW had a whole issue about the movie). Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Atticus Chaos 0 Report post Posted May 26, 2008 Death race got moved up to August from September as well because the test audiences went crazy for it, which is a good sign, but Statham's box office record is very hit or miss and there seems to be a backlash against remakes nowadays. I've heard The Happening is really crap. And the trailer doesn't make me that desperate to see it either. I'd be surprised if it managed to make $100 million. I can't see the love guru doing that well, since, despite what many seem to think, Jessica Alba isn't a box office draw. Neither is Mike Myers, apart from when he's doing Austin powers or voice overs for Shrek (and shrek would have been successful without him). I have to agree with the people saying sex and the city won't be a huge hit either. I don't remember that television show being as huge as people act like it was. And I know the x files actually was quite big for a while, but a lot of people went off it in the last few years it was on. I can see tropic thunder doing very well although it looks like it cost a lot, so it might have to do amazing business to just break even. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MarvinisaLunatic 0 Report post Posted May 26, 2008 Hancock will end up #1 Will Smith + July 4th Weekend + Super Hero Movie + Big Promotion Budget = $$$$$. It has 16 days to itself basically (Meet Dave? Hellboy 2? Journey to the Center of the Earth 3d?) before Dark Knight opens but it will do huge enough business over the holiday weekend to make it #1. Those are basically the 2 biggest movies opening in July as well. No way X Files: I Want to Believe ends up at $170 million. I figure around $100 million because it will probably open at about 40-50 and drop off like a rock off a cliff. I'll give you the big bomb as well: The Incredible Hulk (People remember the last one whether or not its at all even close to this one at all and its up vs an M Night movie that will get more casual interest than the die hard comic book crowd that will still (?) go to see Hulk) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted May 26, 2008 Marvin, you're the one who said Indy wouldn't hit 200 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites