Let's predict 2009's won-lost records.

[garfieldsnose 0]

Obviously I wasn't trying to say that's the only reason they kept him around. Of course he still has something left or else he wouldn't have signed.

[MarvinisaLunatic 0]

Orioles - 160

No Sunday games scheduled this year?

76-86 is my official prediction, 4th place, better than the Blue Jays at least. If they manage to finish better than that I will be ecstatic.

[geniusMoment 0]

NL Central

 

Cubs--91 wins

Cards--87 wins (this is assuming Carp. and Pujols are healthy, if they both stay healthy all year they could beat out the cubs)

Brewers--82 wins

Reds--79 wins

Astros--78 wins

Pirates--62 wins (really, I think i'm being generous here, somehow they've gotten worse by losing Bay and Nady, just horrible, really horrible)

 

NL East

 

Phillies--93 wins (I like Raul, the contract may be bad, but he'll be a decent replacement for Pat)

Mets--88 wins (will win the wild card)

Marlins--84 wins

Braves--78 wins

Nationals--71 wins

 

NL West

 

Dodgers--89 with Manny, without I think Arizona wins the division, so I'm not really sure how to call this

Arizona--85

Giants--77, no offense

Colorado--73, lost Holiday, not much hope

Padres-- 62

 

 

Cubs win the NL this year and go to the World Series!

 

 

Don't really care about the AL, but I think Boston, NYY, Angels and Twins go to the playoffs

 

 

NYY and Cubs in one of the highest rated Postseason matchups in a very long time. Seriously, Fox will love this.

[Prophet of Mike Zagurski 0]

N.L. WEST

San Francisco: 85 (Randy Johnson will do better than expected)

Los Angeles: 82

Arizona: 74

Colorado: 68

San Diego: 50

 

N.L. CENTRAL

Chicago: 95

St. Louis: 85

Houston: 72

Milwaukee: 70

Cincinnati: 64

Pittsburgh: 60 (Poor Pittsburgh - The Rooneys should buy you.)

 

N.L. EAST

Philadelphia: 98

New York: 88

Florida: 80

Atlanta: 70 (Bobby Cox retires after this year.)

Washington: 59

 

A.L. WEST

Oakland: 85

Los Angeles: 81

Texas: 74

Seattle: 65

 

A.L. CENTRAL

Minnesota: 84

Chicago: 80

Detroit: 75

Cleveland: 70

Kansas City: 61

 

 

A.L. EAST

Tampa Bay: 96

Boston: 95

New York: 86 (Joe Girardi gets fired and replaced with Billy Martin again.)

Toronto: 75

Baltimore: 65

 

 

My totals probably don't add up.

 

[Cheech Tremendous 0]

New York: 86 (Joe Girardi gets fired and replaced with Billy Martin again.)

That would certainly be something. He'd probably look more alive than Tony LaRussa.

[CanadianGuitarist 0]

Orioles - 160

No Sunday games scheduled this year?

76-86 is my official prediction, 4th place, better than the Blue Jays at least. If they manage to finish better than that I will be ecstatic.

 

I was thinking the same thing,actually (though inversed).

[geniusMoment 0]

N.L. WEST

San Francisco: 85 (Randy Johnson will do better than expected)

Los Angeles: 82

Arizona: 74

Colorado: 68

San Diego: 50

 

N.L. CENTRAL

Chicago: 95

St. Louis: 85

Houston: 72

Milwaukee: 70

Cincinnati: 64

Pittsburgh: 60 (Poor Pittsburgh - The Rooneys should buy you.)

 

N.L. EAST

Philadelphia: 98

New York: 88

Florida: 80

Atlanta: 70 (Bobby Cox retires after this year.)

Washington: 59

 

A.L. WEST

Oakland: 85

Los Angeles: 81

Texas: 74

Seattle: 65

 

A.L. CENTRAL

Minnesota: 84

Chicago: 80

Detroit: 75

Cleveland: 70

Kansas City: 61

 

 

A.L. EAST

Tampa Bay: 96

Boston: 95

New York: 86 (Joe Girardi gets fired and replaced with Billy Martin again.)

Toronto: 75

Baltimore: 65

 

 

My totals probably don't add up.

Wow, nothing personal but your totals are way off, especially in the NL. That many teams can't lose that many games as in each game there is a winner and a loser, the totals have to add up, and those are way way way off. You have 4 teams in the NL central losing 90+ games, two losing about a 100 each, that alone is almost impossible considering how often teams play each other. Nothing personal but do you watch baseball?

[Guest Czech please!]

Oh I didn't bother checking to make sure wins added up. Too hard. I just took stabs in the dark at a lot of these. My only hope is that I do better than someone who picks 81 for every team.

[EVIL~! alkeiper 0]

I don't think adding up wins is important, it's the order of finish that really matters in this exercise. I won't even attempt it. KKKtookmybabyaway and I have a running over/under contest on team wins. I barely get over half of them correct.

[Guest Czech please!]

When I excavate this exercise in seven months or so, it'll be based on absolute value for each, golf-scoring. So predicting 85 or 89 for a team that wins 87 would be worth two points. If the Cubs win 96 like PECOTA says, I get hit with a 19.

[Cheech Tremendous 0]

American League

 

East

New York Yankees 97 65

Boston Red Sox 95 67

Tampa Bay Rays 95 67

Baltimore Orioles 78 84

Toronto Blue Jays 75 87

 

Central

Cleveland Indians 84 78

Minnesota Twins 82 80

Detroit Tigers 80 82

Chicago White Sox 76 86

Kansas City Royals 73 89

 

West

Los Angeles Angels 85 77

Oakland Athletics 81 81

Seattle Mariners 78 84

Texas Rangers 74 88

 

National League

 

East

New York Mets 90 72

Atlanta Braves 86 76

Philadelphia Phillies 86 76

Washington Nationals 75 87

Florida Marlins 70 92

 

Central

Chicago Cubs 90 72

Milwaukee Brewers 85 77

St. Louis Cardinals 83 79

Cincinnati Reds 80 82

Houston Astros 68 94

Pittsburgh Pirates 64 98

 

West

Los Angeles Dodgers 90 72

Arizona D'backs 85 77

San Francisco Giants 79 83

Colorado Rockies 75 87

San Diego Padres 71 91

 

[Czech please! 0]

After reading this year's Baseball Prospectus, I'm starting to feel like I underrated Cincinnati rather heavily. I don't know why.

 

Sloppy outing from them this year, by the way. There's no rhyme or reason to whether a moved player is listed with his new team or his old, and there's no index in the back of the book to help you out, even though they allude to one in the preface. Typos out the ass, too. I know it was a weird offseason, but for $22 I expect better.

[EVIL~! alkeiper 0]

The player should be listed with the team he finished '08 with. Do you have any exceptions?

 

The index thing was very disappointing. They put one on their website but still, come on. I enjoy the book but I rarely feel more enlightened nowadays for having read it.

[Cheech Tremendous 0]

Amazon sells it for $13. This is the first year that I didn't purcahse BP. Fangraphs offers a better and more comprehensive package for free. BP's commentary is still the best, but I can get that with my site subscription (which is absolutely necessary for anyone serious about fantasy baseball, by the way).

 

An index is available for free on their website, Czech.