I think for the Jays to do anything they're going to need to have everything go right for them and have everything go wrong for the Yankees and Red Sox. Halladay has to win at least 20 games again, the rest of the rotation has to perform to expectations, Delgado and Wells have to do what they did last year, Hinske has to bounce back, and Josh Phelps needs to keep improving. The bullpen worries me a bit and I wish they had signed Urbina before he went to Detroit.
I wish they played in the Central, but they still have a shot to contend in the East. Hopefully they at least improve on last year and show that even if they don't win anything this year, there's hope in the next year or 2.