Bored
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Amazingly every match-up that had an impact on the conference title games has already been decided so might as well announce the schedule for the next two weeks: Big 8 Championship Nebraska (Mecca) vs. Oklahoma (Secret Agent) Big MAC Championship Rutgers (the pinjockey) vs. Miami of Ohio (Hawk 34) Pac-8 Championship UCLA (phoenxrising) vs. Stanford (Bored) Southeastern Seven Championship South Carolina (Cuban Linx) vs. UTEP (Angel Grace Blue) Western Atlantic Championship Boise State (Vitamin X) vs. Virginia (Edwin MacPhisto)
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It's over, Alabama loses to the #96 team in the BCS at home. This is quite the disastrous end to Nick Saban's first year. Vandy's loss doesn't lock up a bid for them either as if Mississippi State and South Carolina finish 7-5, the Tide would be the odd team out at 6-6 unless of course they upset Auburn. Notre Dame is going to beat Duke which I'm actually happy with as I was fearing that Stanford would hand the Irish their 2nd win next week. Now I just have to worry about giving them their 3rd win which would still suck.
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Vandy misses a 49 yard field goal in the final minute, Tennessee will hang on 25-24. That's it for their bowl hopes, even if they become eligible next week there is no chance of them getting an invite over an Alabama or South Carolina.
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Also of interest in the SEC right now when it comes to the last few bowl bids, Alabama is losing to UL Monroe 21-14 entering the 4th. If Vandy and Mississippi State can get to 7-5 both Alabama and South Carolina could be sitting at home this bowl season if they finish 6-6.
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Still nothing from Urban Warfare. He doesn't show up, Nate's picks will be used for Florida.
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The only logical, true playoff that could work is eight teams with the six BCS conference champs and any non-BCS conference unbeaten gets an automatic bid. Use the BCS formula (under some other name) to pick the at large team(s) and seed them using the formula. First round are played at the higher seeded teams stadiums, semi-finals and finals are played at neutral sites. Four team playoff will never happen as the BCS conferences would never agree to a playoff that could leave their champion out of it and a 16 team playoff would be awesome, but overkill and have many logistical issues. I'll give you two words as to why their isn't a playoff already: Rose Bowl. They want nothing to do with it.
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Texans - 23 points Cincinnati Green Bay Cleveland Indianapolis Philadelphia New England New Orleans Minnesota Pittsburgh Jacksonville Tampa Bay Dallas N.Y. Giants St. Louis Seattle Tennessee
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Ya, I don't see a three loss Pac-10 team getting a BCS bid either. The most likely conference champ to finish below Hawaii or Boise State is Michigan if they win tommorrow. I still say that Hawaii gets the Top 14 automatic bid if they finish 12-0.
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USC doesn't need to move up is the point. If they run the table the Fiesta Bowl will jump all over them. Of course if Oregon loses another game then USC would win the Pac-10 in that scenario and go to the Rose Bowl. I'll run through the Pac-10 most likely scenarios at this point. If USC and Oregon run the table: Oregon goes to the Rose, USC to the Fiesta. If Oregon and Arizona State run the table: ASU goes to the Rose, Oregon to the Fiesta. If USC runs the table and Oregon loses another game: USC goes to the Rose, ASU goes to the Fiesta (if they are still ranked in the Top 14)
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If Hawaii wins out they are a lock to end up the Top 14 which will give them an automatic bid. Boise State still has a realistic chance as well if they win out.
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For a program that hasn't been to a bowl game since 1998, storming the field after beating the #2 team in the country is acceptable. And they are already starting.
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Game over. Oregon can still win the Pac-10 if USC beats Arizona State and forces a three-way tie which obviously the Ducks win by beating them both. That's assuming they take care of UCLA and Oregon State which I wouldn't assume at this point. You have to wonder how excited U of A fans can really be about this as this will save Mike Stoops' job.
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Even if Oregon pulls this game out they will be dropped in the human polls especially if it is determined that Dixon is done for the year. They'd have no chance against LSU with Leaf at quarterback so it'd be better to put the Big XII champ in there. This is really unfortunate.
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Spoke to soon.
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His team made the World Series, so there ya go. He might have gotten a four year deal if the Rockies won it all. Quite the accomplishment by the Mets to get rid of Paul Lo Duca and actually get worse at the catcher position.
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Who You Should Root For #3 N.C. State* (AboveAverage484, 7-4) vs. Georgia Tech* (iggymcfly, 6-5) - GAME OF THE WEEK NCS: Hawaii, Ohio State, West Virginia GT: Nevada, Michigan, Cincinnati #1 South Carolina* (Cuban Linx, 9-2) vs. Washington* PM (Smues, 5-6) SC: Arkansas, Penn State, Utah WA: Mississippi State, Michigan State, New Mexico #2 LSU* PM (teke184, 9-2) vs. UTEP* (Angel Grace Blue, 6-5) LSU: Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, N.C. State, Clemson UTEP: Michigan, Michigan State, Indiana, Wake Forest, Boston College #4 Virginia (Edwin MacPhisto, 7-4) vs. Buffalo* PM (Carnival, 6-5) VA: Ohio State, Arkansas, Purdue, Cincinnati UB: Michigan, Mississippi State, Indiana, West Virginia Tiebreak: 45/52 #5 Boise State* PM (Vitamin X, 9-2) vs. Hawaii* (UZI Suicide*, 6-5) BS: Michigan, Maryland, Mississippi State, Duke, Purdue, N.C. State HI: Ohio State, Florida State, Arkansas, Notre Dame, Indiana, Wake Forest Tiebreaks: 38/40, 254/256 #6 Florida State* (King, 7-4) vs. Florida (Urban Warfare/Nate*, 5-6) FS: 1-0 lead, Ohio State, Georgia, Notre Dame, Michigan State, Purdue, N.C. State, Boston College, West Virginia FL: Michigan, Kentucky, Duke, Penn State, Indiana, Wake Forest, Clemson, Cincinnati King wins if there is a tie. #7 Nebraska* (Mecca, 8-3) vs. Oklahoma* PM (Secret Agent, 6-5) NE: Boston College OK: Clemson #8 Stanford* (Bored, 7-4) vs. Notre Dame* (KingPK, 4-7) SU: Ohio State, Georgia, Arkansas, Notre Dame, Indiana, Clemson ND: Michigan, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Duke, Purdue, Boston College Tiebreak: 47/50 #9 Rutgers* (the pinjockey, 6-5) vs. Ball State* PM (Vampiro69, 6-5) RU: Arkansas, Michigan State, Wake Forest, New Mexico BS: Mississippi State, Penn State, N.C. State, Utah Tiebreaks: 48/54, 235/234 #10 Syracuse* (CanadianChris, 7-4) vs. Texas* (UTBroward, 7-4) SU: Ohio State, Purdue, Clemson, Oklahoma TX: Michigan, Indiana, Boston College, Texas Tech Tiebreak: 62/63 UCLA* (phoenixrising, 6-5) vs. USC* (Cartman, 6-5) UCLA: Maryland, Arkansas, Boston College USC: Florida State, Mississippi State, Clemson Kent State* (JHawk, 7-4) vs. Temple* PM (Ortonsault, 5-6) KS: Hawaii, Ohio State, Florida State, Kentucky, Notre Dame, Penn State, Indiana, New Mexico, Boston College TU: Nevada, Michigan, Maryland, Georgia, Duke, Michigan State, Purdue, Utah, Clemson Miami of Ohio* PM (Hawk 34, 6-5) vs. Ohio* (Will Scarlet, 3-8) MOH: Hawaii, Arkansas, Indiana, Cincinnati OH: Nevada, Mississippi State, Purdue, West Virginia Tiebreaks: 44/48, 127/205 Michigan* (MFerXtreme87, 6-5) vs. Ohio State* (Gert T, 3-8) MI: Michigan, Florida State, Penn State, Indiana OS: Ohio State, Maryland, Michigan State, Purdue Tiebreaks: 49/51, 231/190 Penn State* PM (Smues*, 6-5) vs. Minnesota* (Vern Gagne, 4-7) PS: Hawaii, Mississippi State, Michigan State, Purdue, New Mexico MN: Nevada, Arkansas, Penn State, Indiana, Utah San Diego State (the walkin' dude, 5-6) vs. TCU* (Nate, 4-7) SDS: Georgia, Notre Dame, Purdue, Utah, West Virginia TCU: Kentucky, Duke, Indiana, New Mexico, Cincinnati Oregon (nogoodnick, 4-7) vs. Arizona* (UZI Suicide, 5-6) OR: Nevada, Michigan, Mississippi State, Duke, Clemson AZ: Hawaii, Ohio State, Arkansas, Notre Dame, Boston College Tennessee* PM (kkktookmybabyaway, 4-7) vs. Kentucky* (Danville Wrestling, 3-8) TN: Ohio State, Maryland, Georgia, Arkansas KY: Michigan, Florida State, Kentucky, Mississippi State Tiebreaks: 57/45, 156/235 Miami* (Spaceman Spiff, 3-8) vs. Boston College* (HarleyQuinn, 2-9) UM: Georgia, Arkansas, Michigan State, Utah, Clemson BC: Kentucky, Mississippi State, Penn State, New Mexico, Boston College Alabama* PM (AlwaysPissedOff, 3-8) vs. Auburn* (Tzar Lysergic, 2-9) AL: Florida State, Cincinnati AU: Maryland, West Virginia Tiebreak: 58/77
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Urban Warfare, the walkin' dude, and nogoodnick are late with their picks. PM'd Picks Boise State - Vitamin X THURSDAY Oregon FRIDAY Hawaii SATURDAY Michigan Maryland Georgia Mississippi State Duke Penn State Purdue N.C. State Utah Boston College West Virginia Oklahoma Tiebreak #1: How many total points will be scored in the Ohio State/Michigan game? 38 Tiebreak #2: How many passing yards will Boston College's Matt Ryan have against Clemson? 254 Buffalo - Carnival THURSDAY Oregon at Arizona FRIDAY Hawaii at Nevada SATURDAY Ohio State at Michigan Maryland at Florida State Kentucky at Georgia Mississippi State at Arkansas Duke at Notre Dame Penn State at Michigan State Purdue at Indiana N.C. State at Wake Forest New Mexico at Utah Boston College at Clemson West Virginia at Cincinnati Oklahoma at Texas Tech Tiebreak #1: How many total points will be scored in the Ohio State/Michigan game?52 Tiebreak #2: How many passing yards will Boston College's Matt Ryan have against Clemson?288 LSU - teke184 THURSDAY Oregon at Arizona FRIDAY Hawaii at Nevada SATURDAY Ohio State at Michigan Maryland at Florida State Kentucky at Georgia Mississippi State at Arkansas Duke at Notre Dame Penn State at Michigan State Purdue at Indiana N.C. State at Wake Forest New Mexico at Utah Boston College at Clemson West Virginia at Cincinnati Oklahoma at Texas Tech Tiebreak #1: How many total points will be scored in the Ohio State/Michigan game? 48 Tiebreak #2: How many passing yards will Boston College's Matt Ryan have against Clemson? 275 Washington - Smues Oregon Hawaii Ohio State Florida State Georgia Mississippi State Notre Dame Michigan State Purdue Wake Forest New Mexico Clemson West Virginia Oklahoma Tiebreak #1: How many total points will be scored in the Ohio State/Michigan game? 47 Tiebreak #2: How many passing yards will Boston College's Matt Ryan have against Clemson? 271 Ball State - Vampiro69 THURSDAY Oregon at Arizona FRIDAY Hawaii at Nevada SATURDAY Ohio State at Michigan Maryland at Florida State Kentucky at Georgia Mississippi State at Arkansas Duke at Notre Dame Penn State at Michigan State Purdue at Indiana N.C. State at Wake Forest New Mexico at Utah Boston College at Clemson West Virginia at Cincinnati Oklahoma at Texas Tech Tiebreak #1: How many total points will be scored in the Ohio State/Michigan game? 54 Tiebreak #2: How many passing yards will Boston College's Matt Ryan have against Clemson? 234 Temple - Ortonsault THURSDAY Oregon FRIDAY Nevada SATURDAY Michigan Maryland Georgia Mississippi State Duke Michigan State Purdue Wake Forest Utah Clemson West Virginia Oklahoma Tiebreak #1: How many total points will be scored in the Ohio State/Michigan game? 49 Tiebreak #2: How many passing yards will Boston College's Matt Ryan have against Clemson? -1 Oklahoma - Secret Agent THURSDAY Oregon at Arizona FRIDAY Hawaii at Nevada SATURDAY Ohio State at Michigan Maryland at Florida State Kentucky at Georgia Mississippi State at Arkansas Duke at Notre Dame Penn State at Michigan State Purdue at Indiana N.C. State at Wake Forest New Mexico at Utah Boston College at Clemson West Virginia at Cincinnati Oklahoma at Texas Tech Tiebreak #1: How many total points will be scored in the Ohio State/Michigan game? 56 Tiebreak #2: How many passing yards will Boston College's Matt Ryan have against Clemson? 242 Alabama - AlwaysPissedOff Oregon Hawaii Ohio State Florida State Georgia Arkansas Notre Dame Penn State Indiana Wake Forest Utah Boston College Cincinnati Oklahoma TB #1: 58 TB #2: 281 Miami of Ohio - Hawk 34 Oregon Hawaii Ohio State Florida State Georgia ARK ND Penn State Indiana Wake Utah Clemson The 'Nati OK 44 127
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My Picks Oregon Hawaii Ohio State Florida State Georgia Arkansas Notre Dame Penn State Indiana Wake Forest Utah Clemson West Virginia Oklahoma 47/244
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It was announced today that something called the College Basketball Invitational will start this year as the 3rd postseason Division I tournament. Basically it will pick up the scraps that the NIT didn't already pick up from the regular tournament. The odd thing about the tournament is the finals will be a best of three format.
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This used to be Rivalry Week but with the 12 game schedule more and more conferences have pushed back their schedules by a week so there are very few traditional rivalry games this week, in fact only teams from the Big Ten will be playing their final game of the season this week (Edit: And five other teams, but who's counting?). Even with last week's results the Ohio State/Michigan is still the biggest game of the week with a Rose Bowl bid on the line. Other big game of note is BC/Clemson with the winner advancing to the ACC Championship Game. The Top 3 all have a chance to get fat on some of the worst teams in their conferences. Oregon in particular with a national audience on Thursday night will probably try to run up the score if they have the opportunity to do so as they don't have the same control over their destiny as LSU and Kansas have at the moment. Network/Basic Cable Schedule TUESDAY Toledo at Ball State, 7:30/4:30 PM, ESPN2 WEDNESDAY Akron at Miami of Ohio, 7:30/4:30 PM, ESPN2 THURSDAY #2 Oregon at Arizona, 9:00/6:00 PM, ESPN FRIDAY #16 Hawaii at Nevada, 11:00/8:00 PM, ESPN2 SATURDAY #7 Ohio State at #21 Michigan, Noon/9:00 AM, ABC Northwestern at #19 Illinois, Noon/9:00 AM, ESPN Syracuse at #24 Connecticut, Noon/9:00 AM, ESPN2 #5 Missouri at Kansas State, 12:30 PM/9:30 AM, FSN Duke at Notre Dame, 2:30 PM/11:30 AM, NBC #1 LSU at Mississippi, 3:30/12:30 PM, CBS Penn State at Michigan State, 3:30/12:30 PM, ABC/ESPN* Miami at #10 Virginia Tech, 3:30/12:30 PM, ABC/ESPN* Iowa State at #3 Kansas, 3:30/12:30 PM, ABC* California at Washington, 3:30/12:30 PM, ABC* Oklahoma State at Baylor, 7:00/4:00 PM, FSN #6 West Virginia at #22 Cincinnati, 7:45/4:45 PM, ESPN #17 Boston College at #15 Clemson, 7:45/4:45 PM, ESPN2 #4 Oklahoma at Texas Tech, 8:00/5:00 PM, ABC Digital Cable/Satellite/Gameplan Schedule THURSDAY North Texas at Arkansas State, 7:00/4:00 PM, GP SATURDAY Tulsa at Army, Noon/9:00 AM, ESPN Classic Maryland at Florida State, Noon/9:00 AM, LFS*/GP North Carolina at Georgia Tech, Noon/9:00 AM, LFS*/GP Pittsburgh at Rutgers, Noon/9:00 AM, GP Florida Atlantic at #12 Florida, Noon/9:00 AM, GP #23 Kentucky at #9 Georgia, 12:30 PM/9:30 AM, LFS*/GP BYU at Wyoming, 2:00 PM/11:00 AM, Mtn. Vanderbilt at #20 Tennessee, 2:00 PM/11:00 AM, GP Idaho at #18 Boise State, 3:00 PM/Noon, GP Northern Illinois at Navy, 3:30/12:30 PM, CSTV #25 Wisconsin at Minnesota, 3:30/12:30 PM, BTN* Purdue at Indiana, 3:30/12:30 PM, BTN* Western Michigan at Iowa, 3:30/12:30 PM, BTN* N.C. State at Wake Forest, 4:00/1:00 PM, ESPNU New Mexico at Utah, 5:30/2:30 PM, Mtn. Southern Miss at UTEP, 7:30/4:30 PM, CSTV Louisville at South Florida, 8:00/5:00 PM, ESPNU All Other Div. I-A Games FRIDAY Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan SATURDAY Kent State at Temple Bowling Green at Buffalo Mississippi State at Arkansas Georgia Southern at Colorado State Utah State at New Mexico State San Diego State at Air Force Louisiana-Monroe at Alabama Tulane at Rice UCF at SMU UAB at Memphis Marshall at Houston Oregon State at Washington State Louisiana-Lafayette at FIU San Jose State at Louisiana Tech UNLV at TCU
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TV schedule for the week of 11/12 - 11/18 I'll prune out the ESPN games and the one national FSN game below. MONDAY New Mexico State at Duke, 7:00/4:00 PM, ESPN2 NIT: UW-Green Bay at Ohio State, 9:00/6:00 PM, ESPN2 CBE: Youngstown State at UCLA, 11:00/9:00 PM, ESPN2 TUESDAY NIT: Saint Joseph's at Syracuse, 7:00/4:00 PM, ESPN NIT: Columbia at Ohio State, 9:00/6:00 PM, ESPN CBE: CS San Bernardino at UCLA, 11:00/9:00 PM, ESPN WEDNESDAY North Carolina vs. Davidson, 7:00/4:00 PM, ESPN NIT: Utah at Washington, 10:30/7:30 PM, ESPN2 THURSDAY Coaches vs. Cancer: Gardner-Webb vs. Connecticut, 7:00/4:00 PM, ESPN2 Coaches vs. Cancer: Memphis vs. Oklahoma, 9:00/6:00 PM, ESPN2 FRIDAY Coaches vs. Cancer: Consolation Game, 6:30/3:30 PM, ESPN2 Coaches vs. Cancer: Championship Game, 8:30/3:30 PM, ESPN2 SATURDAY Virginia at Arizona, 10:30/7:30 PM, FSN SUNDAY Puerto Rico Tip Off: Consolation Game, 5:00/2:00 PM, ESPN2 Puerto Rico Tip Off: Championship Game, 7:00/4:00 PM, ESPN2
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This is the last week of the regular season and for those of you who have nothing play for I want to thank you for participating all season and if you submit picks for the final week you are reserved a spot for next season. For those of you who do still have something to play for, if you haven't already I suggest you check the Week 11 thread to see the conference tiebreaks and bowl picture. UZI Suicide's picks will be used for Hawaii and Smues' picks will be used for Penn State. Please note the later deadline for the Thursday game so you late pickers have 90 minutes more this week to pick up a possible free point. Week 12 Deadlines Deadline #1: Thursday, November 15th, 9:00 PM EST/6:00 PM PST -Lose out on Thursday game. Deadline #2: Friday, November 16th, 11:00 PM EST/8:00 PM PST -Lose out on Friday game. Deadline #3: Saturday, November 17th, Noon EST/9:00 AM PST -Replacement picks. Week 12 Match-ups #3 N.C. State* (AboveAverage484, 7-4) vs. Georgia Tech* (iggymcfly, 6-5) - GAME OF THE WEEK #1 South Carolina* (Cuban Linx, 9-2) vs. Washington* PM (Smues, 5-6) #2 LSU* PM (teke184, 9-2) vs. UTEP* (Angel Grace Blue, 6-5) #4 Virginia (Edwin MacPhisto, 7-4) vs. Buffalo* PM (Carnival, 6-5) #5 Boise State* PM (Vitamin X, 9-2) vs. Hawaii* PM (UZI Suicide*, 6-5) #6 Florida State (King, 7-4) vs. Florida (Urban Warfare, 5-6) #7 Nebraska* (Mecca, 8-3) vs. Oklahoma* PM (Secret Agent, 6-5) #8 Stanford* (Bored, 7-4) vs. Notre Dame* (KingPK, 4-7) #9 Rutgers* (the pinjockey, 6-5) vs. Ball State* PM (Vampiro69, 6-5) #10 Syracuse* (CanadianChris, 7-4) vs. Texas* (UTBroward, 7-4) UCLA* (phoenixrising, 6-5) vs. USC* (Cartman, 6-5) Kent State* (JHawk, 7-4) vs. Temple* PM (Ortonsault, 5-6) Miami of Ohio* PM (Hawk 34, 6-5) vs. Ohio* (Will Scarlet, 3-8) Michigan* (MFerXtreme87, 6-5) vs. Ohio State* (Gert T, 3-8) Penn State* PM (Smues*, 6-5) vs. Minnesota* (Vern Gagne, 4-7) San Diego State (the walkin' dude, 5-6) vs. TCU* (Nate, 4-7) Oregon (nogoodnick, 4-7) vs. Arizona* (UZI Suicide, 5-6) Tennessee* PM (kkktookmybabyaway, 4-7) vs. Kentucky* (Danville Wrestling, 3-8) Miami* (Spaceman Spiff, 3-8) vs. Boston College* (HarleyQuinn, 2-9) Alabama* PM (AlwaysPissedOff, 3-8) vs. Auburn* (Tzar Lysergic, 2-9) Week 12 Games to Make Picks For THURSDAY Oregon at Arizona FRIDAY Hawaii at Nevada SATURDAY Ohio State at Michigan Maryland at Florida State Kentucky at Georgia Mississippi State at Arkansas Duke at Notre Dame Penn State at Michigan State Purdue at Indiana N.C. State at Wake Forest New Mexico at Utah Boston College at Clemson West Virginia at Cincinnati Oklahoma at Texas Tech Tiebreak #1: How many total points will be scored in the Ohio State/Michigan game? Tiebreak #2: How many passing yards will Boston College's Matt Ryan have against Clemson?
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BCS Rankings 1. LSU 2. Oregon 3. Kansas 4. Oklahoma 5. Missouri 6. West Virginia 7. Ohio State 8. Arizona State 9. Georgia 10. Virginia Tech 11. USC 12. Florida 13. Texas 14. Virginia 15. Clemson 16. Hawaii 17. Boston College 18. Boise State 19. Illinois 20. Tennessee 21. Michigan 22. Cincinnati 23. Kentucky 24. Connecticut 25. Wisconsin
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Here's a quick revision to the Bowl Bubble entry after yesterday's results. ACC Bowls: BCS/Orange, Chick-Fil-A, Gator, Champs Sports, Music City, Meineke Car Care, Emerald, Humanitarian Locks: Boston College, Clemson, Virginia, Virginia Tech Near Locks: Florida State, Georgia Tech, Wake Forest On the Bubble: Maryland, Miami, N.C. State Maryland's upset of Boston College has increased the chances of possibly ten bowl eligible teams in the conference which means getting win #7 is even more important now. I still don't see FSU getting passed over at 6-6 as at worst they'll get grabbed by the Humanitarian Bowl. Miami looks finished after last night's debacle against UVA as they show no signs that they can pull off a road upset of Virginia Tech or Boston College. Big XII Bowls: BCS/Fiesta, Cotton, Holiday, Gator or Sun, Alamo, Insight, Independence, Texas Locks: Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech Near Locks: None On the Bubble: Colorado, Kansas State, Nebraska Colorado gets bumped down to the bubble after their loss to Iowa State, who's suddenly become a bit of a pest in the conference. Their game against Nebraska in two weeks will now be for a bowl bid for the winner. Because of the Colorado and Kansas State losses, Oklahoma State and Texas A&M have locked up bids. The conference will definitely get two teams in BCS bowls which gives them nine potential bids and that will be the maximum number of bowl eligible teams the conference can get at this point. The Texas Bowl can become an open bid of K-State fails to become bowl eligible. Big East Bowls: BCS, Gator or Sun, Meineke Car Care, International, PapaJohns.com Locks: Cincinnati, Connecticut, South Florida, West Virginia Near Locks: Rutgers On the Bubble: Louisville, Pittsburgh Only change here is USF locking up a bid as expected. Rutgers locks up a bid if they take care of Pitt at home next week. Big Ten Bowls: BCS/Rose, Capital One, Outback, Alamo, Champs Sports, Insight, Motor City Locks: Illinois, Michigan, Ohio State, Penn State, Ohio State Near Locks: Iowa, Purdue On the Bubble: Indiana, Michigan State, Northwestern Big Ten is the one conference that wraps up it's season next week so we will probably have a pretty good idea of who is going where after Saturday. The losses of Ohio State and Michigan have crippled the odds that the conference gets two BCS bids although there is still a slim chance if Michigan wins their game as OSU still could end up in the Top 14 if enough things go their way the final two weeks. Michigan winning would also be great news for the WAC, which I'll get to. If they don't get two in the BCS that means as many as three teams from the conference could be eligible but end up staying home so win #7 is an absolute must. Iowa has the easiest game with Western Michigan at home while Northwestern has the longest odds with a trip to Illinois. Edit: I bumped Purdue down to near lock as if they lose to Indiana they drop to 7-5 and there might not be a bid available if enough of the six win teams get that seventh win. Conference USA Bowls: Liberty, GMAC, Texas, PapaJohns.com, Hawaii, New Orleans Locks: Houston, Tulsa, UCF Near Locks: East Carolina, Memphis, Southern Miss On the Bubble: UTEP Memphis' surprising win over Southern Miss almost assures the conference will get a very undeserving 6th bid as the Tigers finish with UAB and SMU at home. I dropped ECU to near lock after their shocking loss to pitiful Marshall but they should beat Tulane at home to get win #7. MAC Bowls: Motor City, GMAC, International Locks: None Near Locks: Bowling Green, Central Michigan On the Bubble: Ball State, Buffalo, Miami of Ohio, Toledo Only change is Ohio's bubble bursting. Buffalo is 4-6 but I think they are still mathematically alive to win the East division and I'm too lazy to look up the MAC tiebreaks so I'll just leave them there. Mountain West Bowls: Las Vegas, Poinsettia, Armed Forces, New Mexico Locks: Air Force, BYU Near Locks: New Mexico, Utah On the Bubble: San Diego State, TCU, Wyoming Somebody should force Conference USA to give up one of their bids to the Mountain West. There's a potentially odd situation setting up in this conference which is why I'm not locking up Utah and New Mexico just yet. TCU still has a realistic chance at seven wins which means Utah or New Mexico need to get to eight wins to breathe easy. They play each other next week and for Utah it is much more important that they win because they finish at BYU. New Mexico on the other hand finishes with UNLV at home. Pac-10 Bowls: BCS/Rose, Holiday, Sun, Las Vegas, Emerald, Armed Forces Locks: Arizona State, California, Oregon, Oregon State, USC Near Locks: None On the Bubble: Arizona, UCLA, Washington State Oregon State locked up a bid while Stanford and Washington's slim hopes ended. Already went over UCLA's plight last week and they almost beat ASU but that might have been their last hope. If Wazzu upsets the Beavers at home next week then they still would have a shot in the Apple Cup and UW might have lost Jake Locker for the season last night to a neck injury. SEC Bowls: BCS/Sugar, Capital One, Cotton, Outback, Chick-Fil-A, Music City, Liberty, Independence Locks: Alabama, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Tennessee Near Locks: Mississippi State On the Bubble: Arkansas, South Carolina, Vanderbilt Kentucky locked up a bid while South Carolina might find itself in some serious trouble now due to Mississippi State's win over Alabama. Even with the loss the Tide will pick up win #7 against UL Monroe next week so they are still a lock. I've moved the Bulldogs up to a near lock as win #7 should be a given in two weeks against Ole Miss. Arkansas is now on the bubble as if they don't beat the Bulldogs at home next week they will have to upset LSU to lock up a bid. South Carolina's bowl hopes may now rest on beating red hot Clemson at home in two weeks. Vanderbilt will have to beat Tennessee and Wake Forest to have any hope as there is no chance they grab a bid at 6-6 over any of the other teams. Sun Belt Bowls: New Orleans Locks: None Near Locks: Troy On the Bubble: Florida Atlantic MTSU and Arkansas State were eliminated this week so the conference title will come down to the Troy/FAU game on December 1st. Troy is at seven wins now so they would have a shot at an open bid now if they were upset. WAC Bowls: BCS?, Humanitarian, Hawaii, New Mexico Locks: Boise State, Hawaii Near Locks: Fresno State On the Bubble: Louisiana Tech, Nevada, San Jose State Only change is New Mexico State's bubble bursting. As I alluded to in the Big Ten entry, everyone in the conference should be rooting for Michigan to beat Ohio State. If that happens it will all but guarantee a BCS bid for the winner of the Boise State/Hawaii game as there is a rule in the BCS that if a non-BCS conference champ finishes in the Top 16 and is ranked higher than any other BCS conference champ they get an automatic bid. Now of course either still has a shot at finishing in the Top 14 if they win out which also give them a BCS bid. All that being said the status of Colt Brennan could throw a lot of things in flux as he has to be doubtful for their game at Nevada on Friday. If he's out and they lose that game, then say Brennan comes back for the Boise State game and the Warriors win, then the WAC will screw itself out a BCS bid.
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There's a provision that no conference can have more than two teams in BCS bowls.