bob_barron

I'm voting for Bush- no one in my Jewish family is though. Some are voting for Nader

I'm going to Pizza Pizza getting me a large pepperoni pizza and I'm just gonna pray all night

-------State Polls------- FL: CNN/USAT/Gallup: Bush 51, Kerry 43, Nader 1, Zogby: Bush 48, Kerry 47 Rasmussen: Bush 48, Kerry 48, Survey USA: Kerry 50, Bush 48 Zogby: OH: Bush + 1| PA: Kerry + 3| MI: Kerry + 9 | WI: Bush +2 | MN: Kerry +5 | IA: Bush +3 | CO: Kerry + 1| NM: Bush +8 | NV: Bush + 6 NH: Franklin Pierce: Kerry 50, Bush 41, Nader 1 | NC: SUSA: Bush 54, Kerry 44

Hahaha- that's funny

Monday,October 25 2004 ELECTORAL COLLEGE UPDATE: President Bush continues to maintain a structural edge in the Electoral College that has worked to his advantage this entire campaign. However, the states that are producing that advantage have shifted since the summer. In our initial electoral analysis we suggested that the election would boil down to Florida and Ohio, with Kerry having to win one of those two states and President Bush simply needing to carry them both to gain reelection. At the time we suggested that one of the President 's advantages was the possibility of offsetting a loss in Ohio or Florida by poaching some of the Gore states (IA, WI, MN NM, and OR), giving the President an alternate option of collecting an EC majority that Senator Kerry really never had. As of today this alternate option, if necessary, for President Bush is starting to look more and more like a very real possibility. Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota and New Mexico are fully in play: eight days before the election Bush holds leads in the RCP State Averages in all four of these states. This is seriously complicating Kerry's strategy in getting to 270 Electoral Votes. Conventional wisdom for months, including RCP's, had been that whoever won two of the "big three" Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida would almost certainly become President. While it may still be likely that whoever carries two out of those three will win the election, it is not the cut and dry proposition it was earlier. President Bush can offset a loss in Ohio (and New Hampshire) by carrying Wisconsin and either Iowa, New Mexico or Minnesota. He can offset a loss in Florida (and New Hampshire), by winning three of those four states. Winning Wisconsin, Iowa, Maine's 1 Electoral Vote and holding New Hampshire would also allow President Bush to gain reelection while losing Florida. Turning the conventional wisdom completely on its head President Bush could even lose all three of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida and still win, as long as he was able to flip Michigan. Granted, it's difficult to imagine a scenario where Kerry would win Pennsylvania and Ohio yet lose Michigan, but with a poll in Michigan showing the President ahead by five and Mason-Dixon calling it a one point race, coupled with a gay marriage initiative and Ralph Nader on the ballot (unlike PA and OH), it's not totally impossible. In this scenario Bush victories in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin could offset the loss of Florida's 27 Electoral Votes and Michigan would offset a loss in Ohio, leaving Kerry with a measly three electoral vote pick up. While the Michigan option is a little far-fetched the other two are not. The problem for Senator Kerry is he has no backup plan to not winning in either Florida or Ohio. The problem for President Bush is that Kerry is still very much alive in both those states. All of Bush's backup Electoral scenarios will be irrelevant if he loses FL and OH and Kerry hangs on to PA and MI. As the race sits today, the President holds roughly a three point lead in the national race. At the state level, using the RCP state averages to allocate the Electoral College, President Bush would win 306 - 232. However, the final movement in the national polls will have an exaggerated effect on that electoral tally. If Bush starts to pull away this week and can close strong building back toward his 5-7 point lead of September, that Electoral number could easily expand to 352 - 186. A small tightening towards Kerry in the final days from where we are today would indicate a dead heat race, where many of those electoral scenarios mentioned above could very well come into play. A strong break towards Kerry and most of these states would flip his direction leading to something like a 311 - 227 Kerry win. Keep an eye on the RCP National Average. Eight days out it shows Bush ahead by roughly three points. Where that number is a week from today will be the best tell on how this race will turnout. J. McIntyre 11:28 am Link | Email | Send to a Friend

I don't see how it's possible. I watched the show once, thought she was an untalented lump of suck, and had no desire to see her again. Apparently, Jessica has the looks AND the talent in that family. -=Mike ...Who hates Jessica Simpson's singing, but thinks her breasts are divine... Because she was Jessica's sister it got off to a good start and apparently it was a good show. Like the show or not- you can't deny that's the perfect way to promote an album

No she isn't TSA. That's a rerun from September 22nd

Ashlee's album sold well because of her hit show. It perfectly built up the anticipation for it and everyone knew when it came out and wanted to listen to it.

Their dad is pretty smart- I mean he made both his daughters very famous. You have to give Daddy Simpson credit for that

He's said it in several interviews that he badly wants Hilary back. He even surprised her at the Lizzie McGuire Movie premiere with flowers

Well there will be a bunch of musicians there who probably will be lip synching tonight so I don't think anyone is booing her.

In Mean Girls- Regina cheated on Aaron, Cady told Aaron and Aaron kissed her but doesn't ask her out. This would be- Aaron dumps Lindsay, Hilary goes with Aaron, Aaron cheats on Hilary, Aaron dumps Hilary.

Well didn't Janet Jackson not have the wardrobe (the thing covering her booby) and thus that was the malfunction?

I think talent malfunction is the new wardrobe malfunction

The latest thing is that Aaron Carter came out and said he wishes he'd never cheated on HiLary (One 'l' people) Aaron Carter also called LL a troublemaker and seemed to blame the whole feud on her.

Where did her parents defend her exactly? I'm having trouble wading through the Ashlee hates niggers posts

Never really got into Metallica. The one song Raine Maida co-wrote is really really good.

The Red Sox are 9-0 when I don't watch the first inning. 0-3 when I do.

How can you feel sorry for her???

I voted today as well. Sending my ballot in tomorrow.

The Sox are basically taunting the Cards with these errors.

That's 'I'm With You.' She shows off her great voice on songs like Tomorrow, Things I'll Never Say, Why, Nobody's Home, Slipped Away and her Christian music. She actually was supposed to be more of a Faith Hill type singer since her demo tape was her singing Christian songs. She met with producers and told them the kind of songs she really wanted to sing and they wrote Complicated for her. The rest is history.

Avril wrote nothing on Let Go. She wrote Take Me Away, Don't Tell Me and Freak Out by herself. She wrote Breakway for Kelly Clarkson. Everything else on Under My Skin she wrote with someone else.

Shit- the board ate my post. I like some of the GoGos stuff but I don't like Our Lips. I was able to figure out the voices just cause Hilary has the younger higher voice. "Spreading rumours so far from true" is Hailey. I think the Duff's version is more energetic, and it's a lot of fun to listen to. The GoGos version is kind of dull.

Yea- Collaborating with the guy from Our Lady of Peace, Butch Walker, Ben Moody and Chantal has really helped out her music. So did ditching the Matrix. Hilary (with her sister) covered 'Our Lips Are Sealed' not 'We Got the Beat'. The original version of Our Lips is horrible and I thought despite Hailey's presence- the Duff's version is better