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Baseball Primer article dealing with sabermetrics involved

 

I've been working on this in Excel for most of today and figured I would post it. I wanted to see how much a player overachieved or underachieved compared to the hits a player hitting the league average and getting the same number of AB's would get.

 

Notes: This is only the American League, I'll have the NL done by tomorrow probably. American League average is .267. rHits is the residual hits(the difference) between the two.

 

The Residual Hitting Stats for the AL in 2003

 

Apparently I can't post it here since it won't line up properly so just click the link to see it. Some of it is surprising, an example being the Red Sox as the only team to have all it's players overachieving.

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LHP Terry Mulholland and OF Eric Owens agreed Feb. 10 to minor league contracts with the Mariners.

Christ, Rant, you must miss Pat Gillick more with each passing day...

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Only minor league deals. Besides Owens wasn't horrible two years ago has a 4th-5th OF in San Diego, and Mulholland's left-handed and can still be fairly affective.

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Vern's being too nice, they are both bad. But again they are minor league deals so there is no risk. Mulholland should just be there to fill out the Spring Training roster as every camp has some washed up veterans to just be warm bodies but Bavasi probably has some idea of him making the opening day roster. Owens I bet beats out Quinton McCracken for the final outfield spot which will be hilarious since Bavasi traded Greg Colbrunn to get McCracken.

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Some news from Rotoworld.com

 

According to the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, the Cardinals have agreed to terms with John Mabry on a minor league contract.

Mabry could get a chance to compete for the starting job in left field, but he's likely to be a bench player if he makes the Cardinals. His addition could push Steve Cox off the roster.

 

Devil Rays signed RHP Jorge Sosa and infielder Antonio Perez to one-year contracts.

Sosa was adequate as a starting pitcher last season, but the Rays intend to put him back into the bullpen this year. Since he'll probably return to the rotation at some point, AL-only leaguers should keep an eye on him. Perez, who spent too much of last year wasting away on the Tampa Bay bench, will play regularly for Triple-A Durham.

 

Mets signed RHP James Baldwin to a minor league contract and invited him to spring training.

Baldwin will get a chance to compete for a spot in the Mets' rotation, but if he makes the team, he'll probably be a middle reliever. The most likely scenario has him opening the season at Triple-A Norfolk. He's not much of a sleeper.

 

Orioles signed outfielder Jay Gibbons to a one-year, $2.6 million contract.

Gibbons asked for $2.8 million in arbitration and was offered $2.4 million. The Orioles have now avoided arbitration with all five of their players who had been eligible.

 

Expos re-signed first baseman-outfielder Joe Vitiello to a minor league contract.

Back in the majors for the first time since 2000, the 33-year-old Vitiello hit .342 with a 946 OPS in 38 games for the Expos last season. He might earn a spot on Montreal's bench, but he probably won't have any fantasy value.

 

Jack Wilson beat the Pirates in arbitration. He'll earn $1.85 million this year.

It's not often that a player looks overpaid in just his first year of arbitration, but that is the case with Wilson, who was offered $1.4 million by the Pirates. He's going to have to step it up offensively if he doesn't want to be non-tendered after the season.

 

David Eckstein won his arbitration case and will make $2.15 million this year.

Eckstein, who was eligible for arbitration for the first time after making $425,000 last year, had been offered $1.6 million by the Angels. He's expected back in the leadoff spot this year despite a disappointing 2003 season.

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I didn't want to create a seperate topic for this just yet but Yahoo Fantasy Baseball sign-ups should be starting anyday now (says mid-February) and I was thinking of creating a league for the baseball fanatics of the board. Anyone interested or did anyone already plan on creating a league for the board?

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News from my source

 

Phillies signed infielder Placido Polanco to a one-year, $3.95 million contract.

Polanco asked for $4.5 million in arbitration and was offered $3.4 million. He'll be eligible for free agency after the season, and with Chase Utley ready to step in at second base, he probably won't be back with the Phillies in 2005.

 

Diamondbacks signed third baseman Shea Hillenbrand to a one-year, $2.6 million contract.

Hillenbrand asked for $2.875 million and was offered $2.4 million in his first year of arbitration eligibility. The 28-year-old is expected to start at third base and bat sixth for Arizona this season.

 

Athletics signed RHP Chad Bradford to a one-year, $965,000 contract.

Bradford, who had been eligible for arbitration for the first time, will remain a tremendous bargain for Oakland. He had asked for $1.125 million and was offered $850,000.

 

Johan Santana lost his arbitration case and will make $1.6 million this season.

He had asked for $2.45 million. It's very understandable that the Twins didn't want to sign Santana to a long-term deal now, but if the left-hander stays healthy and continues to establish himself as a top pitcher, the team better make a real effort to get a deal done next winter. With the way he's been treated so far, Santana probably doesn't have any real feelings of loyalty to the Twins.

 

Robert Person suffered a ruptured Achilles' tendon during a workout last week and is out for the season.

No Esteban Loaiza here. Person will undergo surgery next week. His elimination from the competition for a rotation spot in Chicago makes Dan Wright and Jon Rauch better sleepers.

 

Comments: Nothing real major although the loss of Person for the ChiSox means they'll plug somebody else into the rotation at the 5 spot(where Person may've ended up). The other news basically concerns the arby players although the A's got a steal by signing Bradford for the amount that they did.

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I was going to start a baseball league on Yahoo! We had 14 teams last year, and other than a few non-participants, everything went pretty well. It'd be 5x5, using OBP instead of BA, but the usual roto categories otherwise.

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Vern's being too nice, they are both bad. But again they are minor league deals so there is no risk. Mulholland should just be there to fill out the Spring Training roster as every camp has some washed up veterans to just be warm bodies but Bavasi probably has some idea of him making the opening day roster. Owens I bet beats out Quinton McCracken for the final outfield spot which will be hilarious since Bavasi traded Greg Colbrunn to get McCracken.

What can I say I'm a nice guy. Besides Mulholland is left-handed. There's always room for LH relievers.

 

 

Count me in for the Fantasy League.

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Guest Ghettoman

That would literally take the rivalry to a new level.

 

And mainly because both teams would be so god damn good they could only compete with eachother.

 

I think last years ALCS was simply game 1 in a much larger series to come.

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Guest FrigidSoul

Tom, I'd be interested in that league...otherwise I won't be playing Fantasy Baseball this year after last year's league I was in had 3 active members and 12 teams. Soured me on it big time.

 

They'll solve their 3rd base problem while creating a problem at second base, which will watch their payroll increase even more. The luxury tax will not be their friend if they go through with all of this.

 

Edit: Hey, this is written by Ken Davidoff...the man who said the Yankees were getting Schilling and Oakland was resigning Foulke. Not to mention his article last year that stated Arron Boone was the biggest deadline aquisition. He's a garbage writer.

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Guest Anglesault
That would literally take the rivalry to a new level.

Ya think?

 

The most beautiful thing is that this sticks it to the Sawx.

 

I think last years ALCS was simply game 1 in a much larger series to come.

 

This rivalry is absolutely going to become stonger than ever if this goes through. It's gonna be insane.

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Guest Anglesault
The luxury tax will not be their friend if they go through with all of this.

ooh, no, NOT THE LUXARY TAX~!

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Guest FrigidSoul

They paid out $60mill to the luxury tax last year with a lesser payroll.

 

Thus a payroll over $200mill will be about $75mill in luxury tax...after awhile you stop turning over a profit y'know

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Guest Anglesault

I'd like to see the Yankees' profit from last year.

 

And You say "not the Yankees' friend" like the tax was ever designed as anything BUT the Yankees' enemy.

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Guest OctoberBlood

This is such fucking bullshit if this goes down. I am getting plain out sick of this crap.

 

With that said, it wouldn't be that bad of a trade for TEXAS. Sori is the most OVERRATED player in the game, but - they'd be able to get them some pitching with the salary room, and hell - even turn around and trade Sori at the deadline for some big time top prospects, which would be the best thing to do if you're the Rangers.

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