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Poll Shows George W. Bush's Job Approval Falling


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Guest Cerebus
Posted

According to OMGTHENEWREPUBLICBIASEDLIBERALSOURCESLOL2004!!!!1:

 

The Pew Research Center finds that it has sunk to an all-time low of 48 percent. That confirms the trend we've been seeing in other polls this month, but even more alarming for the White House has to be the fact that Bush's personal favorability rating has dropped from 73 percent after the fall of Baghdad last spring to 53 percent today.

 

Lots of interesting tidbits, the most telling I thought was:

 

The level of polarization in the president's favorability exceeds that for President Clinton in September 1998, during the impeachment battle.
Posted

Polls told us how close the Iowa Cauceses would be, the South Carolina primary would be, and how easily Kerry would win Wisconsin. Not to mention being wrong about the Republican domination last elections.

Posted

Those polls had a lot of different factors.

 

For instance, the reason the Wisconsin poll turned out wrong was because of independents and people who had remained No Opinion until the very last second.

 

Now, we're talking about a guy who's been President for three years. I doubt there's a lot of people left who haven't formed an opinion on him.

Guest Cerebus
Posted
I'd be willing to guess alot of people haven't formed an opinion on the President. Remember only like 50% of the population votes.

Well since nearly every poll about the elections are done among LIKELY voters, the people who aren't likely to vote don't really affect it one way or another.

Guest wildpegasus
Posted

Up here in Canada I just read today something along the lines of 85% of the Canadian public don't approve of Bush. Interesting to see the difference between Canada and the States.

Guest Cerebus
Posted
That's true. However polls aren't always reliable, and besides elections aren't determined by polls.

True enough, but its the best way to gauge public opinion though when numbers are as close as this, the margin of error can make it seem pretty much 50/50.

Guest thebigjig
Posted

feh... I believe the results, but I wouldn't place emphasis on them... Clinton's approval rating near the end of his first time was low too, and he got re-elected in a landslide, so unless the approval rating comes back two months from now at below 40%, then I think it's pretty useless...

 

besides, the real election season hasn't even begun yet. ALOT of things can happen in 9 months

Posted
Up here in Canada I just read today something along the lines of 85% of the Canadian public don't approve of Bush. Interesting to see the difference between Canada and the States.

You also have Frenchies up there, thus, we tend to discount Canadian opinion.

-=Mike

Posted
Up here in Canada I just read today something along the lines of 85% of the Canadian public don't approve of Bush. Interesting to see the difference between Canada and the States.

You also have Frenchies up there, thus, we tend to discount Canadian opinion.

-=Mike

I think it's more because one of Bush's main selling points to the American public is his patriotism and the fact that he's fighting a war that's based around American security (IMHO). Also, a lot of what is reported in the foreign press are the major events in Bush's tenure that have relevance on world politics, and they have been less than favorable. Therefore, Bush's popularity is going to be a lot lower in other countries that the US.

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