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EVIL~! alkeiper

Comparable Baseball Players

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Vitamin X compared players of the past in the NFL to players in the present. I thought it would be fun to do the same thing for MLB, and with similarity scores, its easy to do so. Generally I take the most similar player, unless there's an obvious player right underneath. Sometimes, in the case of a player such as J.D. Drew, there are too many similar players to make a good comparison. Also, I avoid the comparison if the player is an obvious contempory, such as Scott Rolen = Chipper Jones. Finally, I also didn't list a comparison if there are no similar players. For example, the most similar player to Alex Rodriguez is Ken Griffey Jr., and they are really not similar at all. A similarity score below 900 indicates playes who are not very similar.

 

Todd Helton = Hank Greenberg

Albert Pujols = Jimmie Foxx

Adrian Beltre = Ron Santo

Juan Pierre = Willie Wilson

Adam Dunn = Reggie Jackson

Bobby Abreu = Bernie Williams

Carlos Beltran = Andre Dawson

Miguel Tejada = Vern Stephens

Vladimir Guerrero = Willie Mays

Johnny Damon = Claudell Washington/Tim Raines

Derek Jeter = Alan Trammell

Ben Sheets = Joe Niekro

David Ortiz = Tony Clark

 

Ok, Ortiz and Clark are not similar really, but that one was too good to pass up. At 28, Clark was just one year removed from a period where he hit 30+ home runs three seasons in a row.

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How about Jeff Bagwell=Mel Ott. Different positions, and ones a lefty the other a righty. But, they're both relatively undersized power hitters, with very unique batting styles.

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They're not too dissimilar as hitters, but they don't show up on each others' comp lists. The main difference, besides the position, is 89 steals for Mel Ott, compared to 202 stolen bases for Jeff Bagwell. Neither player is truly similar to any other player in baseball history.

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Miguel Cabrera - Hank Aaron

 

(Just by stats at age 21 alone)

Of course, Ruben Sierra looms one notch below, but Cabrera is a hell of a player.

 

As an aside, looking over Aaron's stats, its possible to make a case that he's actually underrated. When MLB changed the strike zone and killed offense in 1963, Aaron's raw stats barely moved. He had 240 career steals, at a 76% success rate. It's scary to think what numbers he would've posted had he not played in the second dead ball era.

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Some other comparisons as shown on BR...

 

Barry Larkin = Alan Trammell

Tom Glavine = Jack Morris

Trevor Hoffman = John Wetteland

Edgar Renteria = Johnny Logan

Jose Lima = Mark Clark

Jamie Moyer = Frank Viola

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The 2004 Kansas City Royals!

 

C: Benito Santiago = Lance Parrish (857)

1B: Ken Harvey = Reggie Jefferson [Harvey's #2 comparison is Andres Galarraga]

2B: Tony Graffanino = Bill Rigney

3B: Joe Randa = Jeff Cirillo

SS: Angel Berroa = Julio Lugo

LF: Dee Brown = Kevin Young

CF: Carlos Beltran = Andre Dawson

RF: Matt Stairs = Glenallen Hill

DH: Mike Sweeney = Fred Lynn

 

P:

Darrell May = Jake Wade

Brian Anderson = Sterling Hitchcock

Jimmy Gobble = Brian Meadows

Zack Greinke = Denny McLain

Mike Wood = Blake Stein

 

Hmm..

 

Greinke compares well

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Ironically enough for his career totals Mark McGwire's most similar batter is Jose Canseco, although they don't compare well at all with a score of just 807. McGwire's career numbers are very unique. Pete Rose has the most unique career numbers of any player with a similarity of score of just 674 with Paul Molitor.

 

I've posted this before but Albert Pujols most similar batter by age for every year of his career so far has been Joe DiMaggio. His current Top 10 through age 24 also has Jimmie Foxx, Ted Williams, Frank Robinson, and Hank Aaron.

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I've posted this before but Albert Pujols most similar batter by age for every year of his career so far has been Joe DiMaggio. His current Top 10 through age 24 also has Jimmie Foxx, Ted Williams, Frank Robinson, and Hank Aaron.

 

Similarity scores carries a penalty for positional differences, and since Pujols has played a slim majority of games in the OF, he gets grouped there. His hitting stats are close to Dimaggio, but I couldn't see comparing a great defensive center fielder to a first baseman.

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Power hitting shortstop for the Browns and Red Sox during the 40's and 50's.

 

You want really obscure, Bobby Crosby's most similar player thru age 24 is Jim Canavan, a utility player who lasted just five years in the late 19th century.

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Good idea, Rob E. Dangerously

 

2005 Florida Marlins Most Similar:

1) Juan Pierre - Willie Wilson

2) Luis Castillo - Steve Sax (interesting)

3) Miguel Cabrera - Hank Aaron

4) Carlos Delgado - Willie McCovey (nice)

5) Mike Lowell - Carl Everett (T-Rex, no such thing)

6) Paul LoDuca - Brian Harper

7) Jeff Conine - Bob Watson

8) Alex Gonzalez - Alex Gonzalez (Whoa)

 

1) Josh Beckett - Chuck Dobson

2) AJ Burnett - Joe Decker

3) Dontrelle Willis - George Van Haltren

4) Al Leiter- Virgil Trucks

5) Ismael Valdez - Jamie Navarro

 

A few glaring things, Alex Gonzalez most similar player is the other Alex Gonzalez. What an anomaly!

 

Second, this just goes to show that the Marlins pitching staff is only young and full of potential and they really haven't accomplished anything yet. I haven't even heard of those guys.

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Miguel Tejada = Vern Stephens

 

I recognize every other compared to player on the list, except for Vern Stephens?

 

Who is he..?

I am glad you asked. Stephens was an excellent player for the St. Louis Browns in the 1940s, leading the team to its only AL pennant. Stephens reached the majors at 21, and played in his first All-Star game at 22. For six years while Stephens played for the Browns, he and Stan Musial were contemporary stars in St. Louis, and nearly equals in terms of baseball talent. In fact, through 1950, Stephens actually drove in more runs than Musial. As a shortstop. Unfortunately for Stephens, he developed back trouble and faded very quickly. He was done at 34. But Stephens had HOF talent, and was a heck of a player.

 

Please note that this does not mean Tejada is likely to find a quick end to his playing days. It simply means that Tejada's numbers were similar at this point in Stephens' career. Quite honestly, that Tejada is similar to Stephens is an accomplishment.

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PHILLIES

 

C- Mike Lieberthal (Jorge Posada)

1B- Jim Thome (Harmon Killebrew)

2B- Chase Utley (none available)

SS- Jimmy Rollins (Frankie Crosetti)

3B- David Bell (Steve Buchele)

LF- Pat Burrell (Jim Incagvilia)

CF- Kenny Lofton (Ken Griffey Sr.)

RF- Bobby Abreu (Bernie Williams)

 

SP- Randy Wolf (Ron Bryant)

SP- Jon Lieber (Shane Reynolds)

SP- Vicente Padilla (Pedro Astacio)

SP- Brett Myers (Jaret Wright)

SP- Cory Lidle (Paul Byrd)

CL- Billy Wagner (Mariano Rivera)

 

UT- Placido Polanco (Adam Kennedy)

 

Polanco's next best comp is Gil McDougald, a much more fun comparison.

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Alright I see where this thread is going.

 

2005 A's (not many have played long enough to even have a similarity score)

 

Pitchers

 

Chad Bradford (Age 29) - Jeff Nelson

Juan Cruz (25) - Shawn Hillegas

Octavio Dotel (30) - Antonio Osuna

Justin Duchscherer (26) - Paul Byrd

Rich Harden (22) - Jake Peavy

Ricardo Rincon (34) - Graeme Lloyd

Barry Zito (26) - Mike Hampton

 

Hitters

 

Jason Kendall (30) - Thurman Munson

Eric Chavez (26) - Scott Rolen

Bobby Crosby (24) - Jim Canavan

Keith Ginter (28) - Geoff Blum

Scott Hatteberg (34) - Tim Teufel

Marco Scutaro (28) - Jay Canizaro

Eric Byrnes (28) - Brian Jordan

Bobby Kielty (27) - Tom Grieve

Mark Kotsay (28) - Amos Otis

Erubiel Durazo (30) - John Jaha

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New York Yankees

 

C: Jorge Posada (Mike Lieberthal)

1B: Tino Martinez (Lee May)

2B: Tony Womack (Mickey Morandini)

SS: Derek Jeter (Alan Trammell)

3B: Alex Rodriguez (Ken Griffey Jr)

LF: Hideki Matsui (Charlie Maxwell)

CF: Bernie Williams (Dave Parker)

RF: Gary Sheffield (Jeff Bagwell)

DH: Jason Giambi (Mo Vaughn)

 

Bench Player: Ruben Sierra (Paul O'Neill)

 

SP: Randy Johnson (Roger Clemens)

SP: Mike Mussina (Dwight Gooden)

SP: Carl Pavano (Oil Can Boyd)

SP: Kevin Brown (Orel Hershiser)

SP: Jaret Wright (James Baldwin)

CL: Mariano Rivera (Trevor Hoffman)

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2005 Mets

C - Mike Piazza (Yogi Berra)

1B - Doug Mientkiewicz (Sid Bream, hah!)

2B/SS/3B - too inexperienced for similarity scores

LF - Cliff Floyd (Carl Everett - nice comparison)

CF - Carlos Beltran (Andre Dawson/Bobby Bonds)

RF - Mike Cameron (Ruppert Jones)

 

SP - Pedro (Sandy Koufax or Roger Clemens)

SP - Tom Glavine (Jack Morris)

SP - Kris Benson (Jon Lieber)

SP - Steve Traschel (Walt Terrell)

SP - Victor Zambrano (Ramiro Mendoza)

 

RP - Mike DeJean (Darren Holmes)

RP - Felix Heredia (Alan Embree)

RP - others are too inexperienced

RP - Braden Looper (Kerry Ligtenberg/Keith Foulke)

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Yeah, I wasn't really talking about him. I was talking about the top three who haven't proven anything yet - but everyone will conceed they have the potential. You would have expected them to have better comparable players.

 

Way to totally miss the point.

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Twins. Please note Mauer, Morneau, and Punto have no similiar players. So I'll use backups instead.

 

C-Mike Redman-(Harry McCurdy)

1B-Mathew LeCroy-(Robert Fick)

2B-Luis Rivas-(Tony Taylor)

SS-Juan Castro- (Chuck Cottier)

3B-Eric Munson- (Mike DiLonardo)

LF-Lew Ford- (Charley Abbey)

CF-Torii Hunter- (Kevin McReynolds)

RF-Jacque Jones-(Ivan Calderon)

DH-Shannon Stewart- (Darin Erstad)

 

Utility-Mike Cuddyer-(Hal McRae)

 

SP-Johan Santana-(Roger Moret)

SP-Brad Radke (Scott Erickson)

SP-Carlos Silva (Bob Wickman)

SP-Kyle Lohse (Chris Carpenter)

SP-Joe Mays (Pete "Were the Redfern Grows")

 

Closer-Joe Nathan-(John Wyatt)

RH Setup-Juan Rincon-(Manny Sarmiento)

LH Setup-J.C. Romero (Mike Kilkenny)

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Yeah, I wasn't really talking about him. I was talking about the top three who haven't proven anything yet - but everyone will conceed they have the potential. You would have expected them to have better comparable players.

 

Way to totally miss the point.

I got your stupid point, I just had to get the obvious jab in, geez

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Yeah, I wasn't really talking about him. I was talking about the top three who haven't proven anything yet - but everyone will conceed they have the potential. You would have expected them to have better comparable players.

 

Way to totally miss the point.

I got your stupid point, I just had to get the obvious jab in, geez

Have you been watching Napoleon Dynamite or something?

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Yeah, I wasn't really talking about him. I was talking about the top three who haven't proven anything yet - but everyone will conceed they have the potential. You would have expected them to have better comparable players.

 

Way to totally miss the point.

I got your stupid point, I just had to get the obvious jab in, geez

Have you been watching Napoleon Dynamite or something?

maybe

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