Right now, Bush supporters have PLENTY of reason to be confident, since AS OF RIGHT NOW, he'd stomp anyone on the Democratic side. However, after the primaries are over (and the lead candidate is pretty much sealed up by the middle of March), the Democratic party has seven months to make their man look like a million bucks. So to say that the election will be close is a very good possibility. A landslide or even fairly decided (3/5 to 2/3 of the electoral vote) victory for Bush won't happen. This nation is still in its trend of being right down the middle on most things, which has shown since the midterm 1998 elections. Now that the major conflict in Iraq is over and people are starting to pay attention to domestic issues again, Bush really really needs to show a focus on those again after being on almost exclusive foreign policy duty for two years now. So far, the only domestic initiative that the public at large will remember is the tax cut, but Bush won't be able to promise another one without throwing us deeper into debt. He's just going to have to find another way to satisfy the nation that doesn't involve warfare or further deficits.