I would be shocked if A-Rod, Jeter, Mo Rivera, Randy Johnson, Greg Maddux, Kid Griffey, and Mike Piazza recieved less than 95% of the vote on their first ballot. Rivera especially, now that the way for closers has been paved by Sutter and Gossage, whose vote totals were only in the 80%'s.
I really hope MLB and the Hall stick to their guns on the Rose issue, also. All-time hit king or not, the guy a) broke the cardinal rule in baseball that hangs in every clubhouse, b) arrogantly signed his own lifetime ban agreement, assuming they would let him back within a year, and c) denied, denied, denied for 20 years until he finally admitted that he did it...when his book came out. He's a lowlife in my opinion. Sorry, Pete, you blew it on your own.
Shoeless Joe is in the same boat. His stats don't seem to show that he threw the 1919 Series, but he did take a few thousand bucks from the mobsters organizing the thing, whether he could read or not.