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CBright7831

Electoral Vote Predictor 2004.

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Guest MikeSC
Here's something I wouldn't mind seeing:

 

wcs.png

 

Now that's pretty damn interesting. It's possible, though not probable, that this would result in a Bush/Edwards White House.

Nah, it'd simply be four more years of Bush/Cheney.

-=Mike

...Bush will win 52% of the vote, at least. He'll get 300 EV at least...

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I'm putting that in my Sig, for future laugh material.

 

Tuesday is gonna be so awesome.

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Guest MikeSC
I'm putting that in my Sig, for future laugh material.

 

Tuesday is gonna be so awesome.

Yes it is. I need to find a good avatar to get whatever assorted idiots decided to bet me on this to use.

-=Mike

...If anybody has good ideas, PM me.

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Here's something I wouldn't mind seeing:

 

wcs.png

 

Now that's pretty damn interesting.  It's possible, though not probable, that this would result in a Bush/Edwards White House.

Nah, it'd simply be four more years of Bush/Cheney.

-=Mike

...Bush will win 52% of the vote, at least. He'll get 300 EV at least...

Here's what I don't get - why would we wind up with Bush & EDWARDS?!

 

The Republicans have control of the Senate now by....what? At least 51-49. If they have a majority, why would they choose Edwards?

 

Hell, even if it was a 50-50 split, Cheney is the deciding vote, and fat chance he's going to vote against himself.

 

How is that scenario even possible?

 

BTW, I agree with Mike that Bush will win but I'm not as optimistic on the vote totals. I think it'll be 51% popular and somewhere in the 280s electoral.

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Just wondering what's allowed come Tuesday in terms of election thread? Can we have individual state threads, or does it have to be General Election talk, Swing State talk, official EC thread, and other races being held that night.

We're just going to padlock the door of CE and put the results on pay-per-view. Only $49.95!!!!

 

Seriously, I'd recommend one thread for the Presidential election, and if someone wants to discuss a state election (Senate, House, mayoral, state propositions, etc.), they can start a separate thread.

 

But I think just locking the door and mopping up the blood in the morning would be the best course for everyone. Besides, we already bought some nice mops.

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Just wondering what's allowed come Tuesday in terms of election thread? Can we have individual state threads, or does it have to be General Election talk, Swing State talk, official EC thread, and other races being held that night.

We're just going to padlock the door of CE and put the results on pay-per-view. Only $49.95!!!!

 

Seriously, I'd recommend one thread for the Presidential election, and if someone wants to discuss a state election (Senate, House, mayoral, state propositions, etc.), they can start a separate thread.

 

But I think just locking the door and mopping up the blood in the morning would be the best course for everyone. Besides, we already bought some nice mops.

And then I can post the final electoral count in this thread.

 

:headbang:

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Nah, it'd simply be four more years of Bush/Cheney.

-=Mike

...Bush will win 52% of the vote, at least. He'll get 300 EV at least...

The Washington Post with a panel of "experts" (from Tucker Carlson to Anne Coulter to Kojo Nnamdi) predicting the outcomes of the election:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/opini...stalBall04.html

 

My prediction: Bush wins: 277 electoral votes, 49% popular vote, Kerry: 261 electoral votes, 48.5% popular vote.

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Nah, it'd simply be four more years of Bush/Cheney.

      -=Mike

...Bush will win 52% of the vote, at least. He'll get 300 EV at least...

The Washington Post with a panel of "experts" (from Tucker Carlson to Anne Coulter to Kojo Nnamdi) predicting the outcomes of the election:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/opini...stalBall04.html

 

My prediction: Bush wins: 277 electoral votes, 49% popular vote, Kerry: 261 electoral votes, 48.5% popular vote.

Oh boy, you're going to be disappointed in less than three days.

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Nah, it'd simply be four more years of Bush/Cheney.

      -=Mike

...Bush will win 52% of the vote, at least. He'll get 300 EV at least...

The Washington Post with a panel of "experts" (from Tucker Carlson to Anne Coulter to Kojo Nnamdi) predicting the outcomes of the election:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/opini...stalBall04.html

 

My prediction: Bush wins: 277 electoral votes, 49% popular vote, Kerry: 261 electoral votes, 48.5% popular vote.

Oh boy, you're going to be disappointed in less than three days.

I really don't think so. I'm not going to say landslide like Mike, because it will be close and probably disputed, but Bush will be re-elected.

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Nah, it'd simply be four more years of Bush/Cheney.

      -=Mike

...Bush will win 52% of the vote, at least. He'll get 300 EV at least...

The Washington Post with a panel of "experts" (from Tucker Carlson to Anne Coulter to Kojo Nnamdi) predicting the outcomes of the election:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/opini...stalBall04.html

 

My prediction: Bush wins: 277 electoral votes, 49% popular vote, Kerry: 261 electoral votes, 48.5% popular vote.

Whoa.....after looking at that link, I'd have to say that for those predicting a Bush win, Coulter & Kristol are ridiculously optimistic; for those predicting a Kerry win, Donna Brazil and Kojo are also exceptionally ridiculous in terms of by how much they expect their candidate to win.

 

I think your prediction is probably very close to what will actually happen, Slapnuts.

 

We haven't mentioned the Congressional races that much, I think. I personally see the Republicans probably gaining a couple seats (but certainly maintaining no less than the majority they now have) in the Senate, and I see them picking up a few House seats as well, to ensure that even if Kerry somehow wins he's rendered good and impotent right from the start......and unlike Clinton, he won't have the charisma or force of personality to do anything about it.

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Locked Up

 

Kerry 171 - CA, OR, WA, IL, NY, ME, VT, MA, RI, CT, DE, MD, DC

Bush 208 - AK, ID, MT, UT, AZ, WY, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, TX, MO, AR, MS, LA, AL, GA, SC, NC, VA, KY, IN

 

In Play

 

Kerry 102 - HI, NJ, NM, CO, MN, MI, PA, NH, WI, IA

Bush 57 - FL, WV, OH, NV

 

Kerry wins 273 to Bush's 255. The two keys for Kerry are New Hampshire and Iowa. If either goes to Bush, Bush gets re-elected (via the house if NH and only NH goes to Bush).

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I don't see NM or CO going for Kerry.

 

And I think Bush can probably count on getting Iowa as well.

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Ann Coulter must be mad that Bill Kristol found a way to give Bush more electoral votes than her

 

(Ann had Bush at 317, Kristol has Bush at 348.. I want some maps here)

 

[54-45 Bush in Florida? Mmmhmm...]

 

and the Bannaker school's prediction of 7% for Nader is fucking crazy as well

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Guest BDC

The thing that blows my mind is that Iowa has 2 polar opposite senators. One is rated as 100% conservative, one is rated 100% liberal. I'm just really boggled there.

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I don't see NM or CO going for Kerry.

 

And I think Bush can probably count on getting Iowa as well.

I was pretty torn on Iowa. I only put it with Kerry because Gore got it.

Bush is getting New Mexico, probably getting Colorado and Iowa is a tossup. I wouldn't put them with Kerry

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Kerry 314 Bush 234

Kerry 50.5% Bush 46.5% Badanarik .7% Nader .5%

 

Senate

---------

We win IL, CO, OK, AL, KY

Reps win GA, SC, NC, LA

 

House stays about the same. DeLay only wins by a few percentage points.

 

Of the battlegrounds, FL, OH, MI, MN, PA, WI goes Kerry

NV, MO, WV, AR, CO, IA goes Bush.

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Guest Cerebus

To tell you the truth, I wouldn't be surprised if the election surprises everyone here and swings one way or the other big time.

 

Hell, it has got to the point where I don't give a fuck who wins...I only hope whoever wins does so by a lot.

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Meh. It's a prediction. I could be totally wrong or right. I'm not saying that's what will happen, it's just my current feeling. At least I haven't been saying the race is over since August.

 

Yeah, I don't want eight weeks of lawsuits and counter lawsuits. Whoever wins, I hope wins by at least a few percentage points and by a healthy margin in the EC.

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To tell you the truth, I wouldn't be surprised if the election surprises everyone here and swings one way or the other big time.

 

Hell, it has got to the point where I don't give a fuck who wins...I only hope whoever wins does so by a lot.

It can, because there are so many states up for grabs, but I would consider it unlikely. Certainly not impossible.

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Guest BDC
Kerry 314 Bush 234

Kerry 50.5% Bush 46.5% Badanarik .7% Nader .5%

 

Senate

---------

We win IL, CO, OK, AL, KY

Reps win GA, SC, NC, LA

 

House stays about the same. DeLay only wins by a few percentage points.

 

Of the battlegrounds, FL, OH, MI, MN, PA, WI goes Kerry

NV, MO, WV, AR, CO, IA goes Bush.

Whoa whoa whoa, are you out of your damn MIND?

 

Not happening.

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BDC,

 

Bunning's numbers have been down since his odd behavior of late, which has people thinking upset.

 

I personally think he'll win easily, but a lot of people have their sights set on taking him out.

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Guest BDC
BDC,

 

Bunning's numbers have been down since his odd behavior of late, which has people thinking upset.

 

I personally think he'll win easily, but a lot of people have their sights set on taking him out.

Teke, let me fill you in a bit. I've got insight that very few in the state have.

 

Mongiardo is from my hometown. I worked for Bunning.

 

People know who Bunning is and they don't know who Mongiardo is. That's the first key. The second is that "Dr. Dan" has really REALLY gone the extra mile to piss people off and third, he has absolutely NO notoriety outside of his home area.

 

People are deadset on hitting Bunning just because he's a Republican. That's all.

 

As for Bunning's condition, it'd have to be present for the past few years. He's exhibited no change in his personal behavior when or since I worked for him and met him. Some of the things he's done, I admit, have even me baffled, but they won't cost him this election.

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Guest MikeSC

I'm loving watching the Kerry campaign melt down. He had his stepson give a speech and the kid was an unmitigated douche.

 

Bush is a cokehead? He can't prove it, though, because Bush didn't sell him anything. Bush treats Israel like our 51st state. Bush is the enemy.

 

Well, his father was a Republican who supported Israel. So, I wonder what person could have instilled these winning views in the young dork.

 

It was stated before and I'll say it again --- if you have any affection for Israel, you cannot vote for Kerry.

-=Mike

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I'm loving watching the Kerry campaign melt down. He had his stepson give a speech and the kid was an unmitigated douche.

 

Bush is a cokehead? He can't prove it, though, because Bush didn't sell him anything. Bush treats Israel like our 51st state. Bush is the enemy.

 

Well, his father was a Republican who supported Israel. So, I wonder what person could have instilled these winning views in the young dork.

 

It was stated before and I'll say it again --- if you have any affection for Israel, you cannot vote for Kerry.

               -=Mike

Interesting. Source?

EDIT: N/m, NYPost:

 

October 31, 2004 -- THIS campaign is ending just in time before someone gets hurt. John Kerry's stepson, Chris Heinz, 31, displayed his mother Teresa's famous lack of rhetorical restraint at a recent campaign event with a group of Wharton students. Philadelphia magazine reports: "Heinz accused Kerry's opponents - 'our enemies' - of making the race dirty. 'We didn't start out with negative ads calling George Bush a cokehead,' he said, before adding, 'I'll do it now.' Asked later about it, Heinz said, 'I have no evidence. He never sold me anything.'" Heinz also reminded writer Sasha Issenberg of Pat Buchanan by saying, "One of the things I've noticed is the Israel lobby - the treatment of Israel as the 51st state, sort of a swing state." Buchanan was blasted as an anti-Semite years ago when he cited Israel's "amen corner" in Congress.

 

Does this family all have turrets or something? Imagine if Teresa married Howard Dean, the absurdities would never stop!

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