Well, We Have Better Election Coverage

[Guest MikeSC]

Staff, Campaign 11:00 25-10-2004

LONDON - BBC World, the BBC's global commercial service, has unveiled details of its US election coverage.

 

The 24-hour news and information channel will provide analysis over the next two weeks, with live election night coverage fronted by David Dimbleby.

 

BBC World will also broadcast a special edition of 'Question Time' featuring film-maker and author Michael Moore, columnist Richard Littlejohn and former Bill Clinton adviser Sidney Blumenthal.

 

Other discussion programmes feature guests such as Madeleine Albright, George Soros and former CIA director James Woolsey.

 

Electon night coverage, on November 2, will include a live six-hour results programme including US and international reaction. Hourly news bulletins will support this coverage.

 

BBC World is broadcast in 200 countries worldwide and reaches 25m households.

http://www.brandrepublic.com/mediabulletin...igin=MB25102004

Blumenthal AND Moore on the same panel analyzing the election? Yeah, I'm glad the BBC isn't going to bother with that pesky balance thing.

-=Mike

[Dr. Tyler; Captain America 0]

Yeesh, you've posted more topics in the last day than I've posted at all in the last week.

[bob_barron 0]

I want to see Moore's face if Bush wins- that'd be funny.

[treble 0]

He probably wouldn't stick around (if we even know who's won that night).

[teke184 0]

I want to see Moore's face if Bush wins- that'd be funny.

"if" -> "when"

 

 

Given the way that the electoral votes are falling at the moment (not even going into rumors that Kerry is pulling out of Florida), Bush winning is becoming a greater possibility by the day.

[bob_barron 0]

Don't jinx it teke. Anything can happen

[Styles 0]

I want to see Moore's face if Bush wins- that'd be funny.

He'd likely drown his sorrows with a can of cool whip...

[Guest Cerebus]

I want to see Moore's face if Bush wins- that'd be funny.

He'd likely drown his sorrows with a can of cool whip...

A can?

 

(OMGMOOREFATJOKE~!)

[kkktookmybabyaway 0]

Too bad there's some hippie "discuss the issues" event in Pittsburgh that is featuring Al c-unt, some NY Slimes bitch and a few other Lefties who names escape me now. I lol in 2004 whenever I hear this ad being broadcast...

[Guest TJH]

A Bush win is the best thing for Moore. He can continue selling his books and movies, and rake it in. No one to hate = no sales.

[Guest INXS]

That is going to be some great coverage. As someone who enjoys MM's movies and books, i'm looking forward to it.

[Guest MikeSC]

A Bush win is the best thing for Moore. He can continue selling his books and movies, and rake it in. No one to hate = no sales.

His next film is attacking medicine. Stories are already popping up that he's hiring actors to portray pharmaceutical representatives.

-=Mike

[Guest BDC]

Oh GOOD. He can soil his reputation to the point that no one will buy his crap. We can only hope

[Guest MikeSC]

Oh GOOD. He can soil his reputation to the point that no one will buy his crap. We can only hope

Moore could put cow shit on the screen, say it's orange sherbert, and his fans would lap it up happily.

-=Mike

...Who probably couldn't actually tell the difference between orange sherbert and cow shit. Both are vile...

[Guest Salacious Crumb]

A Bush win is the best thing for Moore. He can continue selling his books and movies, and rake it in. No one to hate = no sales.

Oh, he'll just start attacking Kerry for whatever.

[Vyce 0]

A Bush win is the best thing for Moore. He can continue selling his books and movies, and rake it in. No one to hate = no sales.

His next film is attacking medicine. Stories are already popping up that he's hiring actors to portray pharmaceutical representatives.

-=Mike

You and I both know that if that's true and he's called on it, he'll mumble for a moment then come back with "Well, my films are meant to be satires..." and it won't matter a bit to his fans.

[Styles 0]

That is going to be some great coverage. As someone who enjoys MM's movies and books, i'm looking forward to it.

INXS is like the litmus test for stupidity. If INXS says he "enjoys" something, you can be confident in calling it complete crap...

[AndrewTS 0]

A Bush win is the best thing for Moore. He can continue selling his books and movies, and rake it in. No one to hate = no sales.

Oh, he'll just start attacking Kerry for whatever.

Like he did during the Clinton years, but no one gave a shit then.

[Guest MikeSC]

A Bush win is the best thing for Moore. He can continue selling his books and movies, and rake it in. No one to hate = no sales.

Oh, he'll just start attacking Kerry for whatever.

Like he did during the Clinton years, but no one gave a shit then.

The right would be too humiliated to embrace him.

 

Well, they also lack the wingspan to do so.

-=Mike

[CBright7831 0]

I want to see Moore's face if Bush wins- that'd be funny.

"if" -> "when"

 

 

Given the way that the electoral votes are falling at the moment (not even going into rumors that Kerry is pulling out of Florida), Bush winning is becoming a greater possibility by the day.

You sure about that?

[Vyce 0]

I want to see Moore's face if Bush wins- that'd be funny.

"if" -> "when"

 

 

Given the way that the electoral votes are falling at the moment (not even going into rumors that Kerry is pulling out of Florida), Bush winning is becoming a greater possibility by the day.

You sure about that?

Based upon the polls and the fact that the Democrats are now hanging ALL of their hopes on how many people they can persuade to actually vote - yeah, I think he has reason to be sure.

[Zorin Industries 0]

I've seen some of the roundtable discussions on the BBC already. I would say they have been pretty balanced, the one I was watching had some old Reaganites on it, plus some Liberals, 50/50 each side I would say.

 

It also had Bill O'Reilly on it. This was my first proper exposure to the man, and I hope it is my last

[teke184 0]

I want to see Moore's face if Bush wins- that'd be funny.

"if" -> "when"

 

 

Given the way that the electoral votes are falling at the moment (not even going into rumors that Kerry is pulling out of Florida), Bush winning is becoming a greater possibility by the day.

You sure about that?

Based upon the polls and the fact that the Democrats are now hanging ALL of their hopes on how many people they can persuade to actually vote - yeah, I think he has reason to be sure.

Looking at the polls AS THEY STAND right now:

 

Bush has 176 EVs completely tied up. These include Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and Wyoming.

 

(Tennessee is in this column based off the average polls, not the one outlying poll showing a close race)

 

 

Bush has an additional 58 EVs leaning to him by more than the 3.5% Margin Of Error. These include Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, North Carolina, and West Virginia.

 

That makes 234 EVs out of 269 that he needs (Bush will win if it goes to the House of Representatives)

 

 

Of the 35 other votes he needs at the least:

 

LIKELY:

 

He could get 27 from Florida, which is trending towards him.

 

He could get 10 from Wisconsin, which is trending towards him.

 

He could get 5 from New Mexico, which is trending towards him.

 

He could get 20 from Ohio, which is virtually tied but has trended Republican over time.

 

LESS LIKELY:

 

He could get 10 from Minnesota, but that would require a pretty strong turnout in a traditionally Democratic state.

 

He could pick up 15 from New Jersey, but that would only happen IF the polls showing a dead heat are right and not just outlying polls.

 

He could pick up 4 from Hawaii. That would probably be a moot point, though, as Hawaii is still voting well after all mainland US states have closed the polls and turned in their results.

 

He could pick up 4 in New Hampshire, but that's in Kerry's backyard and many Mass. residents have moved to New Hampshire over the past few years.

 

He could pick up Michigan, but that would require great turnout by the Republican parts of the state and either low turnout in minority areas like Detroit OR a decent percentage of crossover voting due to a lack of enthusiasm for Kerry.

 

He could pick up Pennsylvania depending on the turnout.

 

 

 

 

 

Considering the way things are trending, Bush will pick up Florida and Wisconsin, which will be enough to seal the victory. There are enough other states out there in play that he can make up for the loss of Florida as long as he gets Ohio.

 

 

 

Kerry, OTOH, has 228 EVs right now, but that includes states in question such as Michigan, Hawaii, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey.

 

Kerry would have to get all of the above plus 42 more EVs to total 270 EVs (Kerry would lose if it went before Congress).

 

Florida (27)

Minnesota (10)

New Hampshire (4)

New Mexico (5)

Ohio (20)

Wisconsin (10)

 

 

Kerry pretty much has to hold all of his states PLUS one of the following:

 

1. Ohio AND Florida

 

2. Florida, New Mexico, and either Minnesota or Wisconsin

 

3. Ohio, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and either New Hampshire or New Mexico

 

 

 

If Kerry doesn't take Florida or Ohio, he's done. If he only takes one of them, he's still way behind because he has to dig up between 15 and 22 more Electoral Votes.

 

 

 

 

Considering that the average of all the current polls has Bush up by 1.2% in Florida (up as much as 8 or behind as few as 3), Florida's definitely trending against Kerry.

 

Ohio is about dead even, but is a traditional Republican stronghold.

 

Wisconsin's average poll has Bush up by 1% (up as much as 6 or down by as few as 1)

 

Minnesota's average poll has Bush up by 0.7% (Two of them up by 2, one down by 2)

 

New Mexico has Bush up by 3% (Up by as much as 5 or down by as few as 2)

 

 

It pretty much means that Kerry has to buck the trend in quite a few states that he's behind in. I don't see that happening barring a major change in momentum over the next 6 days.

[cbacon 0]

Meh. I'll be watching Jon Stewart's all-day election coverage. At least that way i'll get some laughs before hearing of the continued reign of terror as my faith in humanity falls a little bit lower.

[Guest MikeSC]

Meh. I'll be watching Jon Stewart's all-day election coverage. At least that way i'll get some laughs before hearing of the continued reign of terror as my faith in humanity falls a little bit lower.

Because political satire without basic knowledge is kewl.

-=Mike

...Phil Hendrie does Jon Stewart's schtick better than Jon Stewart...

[kkktookmybabyaway 0]

But I bet Stewart could sell Corda-Slim (or whatever it's called) better. I don't know what's more annoying, election commercials or Phil pimping that product...

[Guest MikeSC]

But I bet Stewart could sell Corda-Slim (or whatever it's called) better. I don't know what's more annoying, election commercials or Phil pimping that product...

Well, I imagine the Corda-Slim ads have more factual basis than a moveon.org piece.

-=Mike

...PA is going for Kerry. I blame you for that...

[Hogan Made Wrestling 0]

But I bet Stewart could sell Corda-Slim (or whatever it's called) better. I don't know what's more annoying, election commercials or Phil pimping that product...

Well, I imagine the Corda-Slim ads have more factual basis than a moveon.org piece.

-=Mike

...PA is going for Kerry. I blame you for that...

Shouldn't you be blaming everyone's favorite RINO?

[Jobber of the Week 0]

Al c-unt

Is this your new name for Sharpton or have I not been keeping up?

 

Also, some of you people really need to go air out your venting at FreeRepublic or Lucianne and then come back here. I'm no longer taking any claims that I've changed this close to the election seriously now, since the people who are saying that are now going on about hippies, NY Slimes, RINO, etc.

 

Teke's post, while continuing the right-wing circle jerk, was actually analytical. The rest of this has been tired name calling.

[2GOLD 0]

Teke's post, while continuing the right-wing circle jerk, was actually analytical. The rest of this has been tired name calling.

 

The sad thing is the name calling hasn't even really kicked into high gear. It's just going to build and build and build. I can't wait till election night when I bunch of people are treating it like the damn Super Bowl.

 

"YEAH! KERRY GOT DELAWARE! EAT THAT BABY KILLER!"

 

"ALABAMA TO BUSH! F*CK OFF HIPPIE!"

 

I'm just looking at all of this as the calm before the 5.0 Twister known as November 2nd.