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GreatWhiteNope

CNN Live projections

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Stranger's in the Whiny Bitch Folder indefinitely.

 

That will last until the end of the election at the absolute least.

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Guest MikeSC
If there's a big surprise it'll be Bush winning something like New Jersey. I don't think Kerry can pull off any surprises in the South or Mid-West. He'll have to win on battleground states and DNC strongholds.

I think Bush winning a clear majority would be surprising to many.

-=Mike

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Guest MikeSC

OK, Bush is up by 20 in SC early on. No poll had the state within single digits.

 

Do I ask why the hell they won't call it for him?

-=Mike

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OK, Bush is up by 20 in SC early on. No poll had the state within single digits.

 

Do I ask why the hell they won't call it for him?

-=Mike

"Now now, just because we can't call it doesn't mean it's close..."

 

I don't get it either Mike

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OK, Bush is up by 20 in SC early on. No poll had the state within single digits.

 

Do I ask why the hell they won't call it for him?

-=Mike

Maybe they really ARE being a lot more cautious this year. Only 3% of the precincts are in, but let's face it, Bush is going to win SC and Virginia.

 

Even FNC hasn't called it yet?

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Guest MikeSC
OK, Bush is up by 20 in SC early on. No poll had the state within single digits.

 

Do I ask why the hell they won't call it for him?

            -=Mike

"Now now, just because we can't call it doesn't mean it's close..."

 

I don't get it either Mike

That was one of the dirty secrets of 2000. The MSM was quite willing to call states early for Gore left and right, but almost never did the same for Bush.

-=Mike

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Guest MikeSC
OK, Bush is up by 20 in SC early on. No poll had the state within single digits.

 

Do I ask why the hell they won't call it for him?

            -=Mike

Maybe they really ARE being a lot more cautious this year. Only 3% of the precincts are in, but let's face it, Bush is going to win SC and Virginia.

 

Even FNC hasn't called it yet?

FOX is calling EVERYTHING after anybody else does.

-=Mike

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OK, Bush is up by 20 in SC early on. No poll had the state within single digits.

 

Do I ask why the hell they won't call it for him?

            -=Mike

"Now now, just because we can't call it doesn't mean it's close..."

 

I don't get it either Mike

That was one of the dirty secrets of 2000. The MSM was quite willing to call states early for Gore left and right, but almost never did the same for Bush.

-=Mike

That's actually one of the things I'm studying in my research paper. I'll be looking for any bias of when states are called, things like that.

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Guest MikeSC
OK, Bush is up by 20 in SC early on. No poll had the state within single digits.

 

Do I ask why the hell they won't call it for him?

            -=Mike

"Now now, just because we can't call it doesn't mean it's close..."

 

I don't get it either Mike

That was one of the dirty secrets of 2000. The MSM was quite willing to call states early for Gore left and right, but almost never did the same for Bush.

-=Mike

That's actually one of the things I'm studying in my research paper. I'll be looking for any bias of when states are called, things like that.

I know their refusal to call NC for HOURS in 2000, which Bush won quite comfortably, was a major sticking point.

-=Mike

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Larry King: How can Ralph Nader have zero percent of the vote?

 

Wolf Blitzer: That means he's just shy of 1%, Larry.

 

Larry King: Oh.

 

Fetch the stick Larry, fetch the stick.

Goood boy.

 

 

Ok, how about WE just call SC. The race is over, we all know it. South Carolina to Bush so just tack on his points.

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OK, Bush is up by 20 in SC early on. No poll had the state within single digits.

 

Do I ask why the hell they won't call it for him?

            -=Mike

"Now now, just because we can't call it doesn't mean it's close..."

 

I don't get it either Mike

Because unless they have absolutely no scruples (i.e. "We're going to call Ohio right after the polls close!"), they're paranoid about calling any state until they've checked, double-checked and triple-checked the results.

 

Man, whoever wins, I'll be glad it's over so my father doesn't keep calling me up and bugging me.

 

He's paranoid that Kerry will win......and frankly, I can't take his rantings.

 

It wouldn't be so bad if he could pronounce Kerry's name right....but he's from Georgia, so he pronounces it more like "Curry".

 

......I'm rambling, aren't I.

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Guest MikeSC
regarding SC, i think they set up some specific internal standard relating to # of votes, or percentage of precints reported in conjunction with a certain lead, etc, that have to be in before they make a call...

Thing is, the exit polls has Bush up big, the early votes has Bush up big --- and they called VT for Kerry with, if the screen is to be believed, 0% of the precincts reporting.

 

Why it's "insufficient" is lost on me.

-=Mike

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Guest MikeSC
OK, Bush is up by 20 in SC early on. No poll had the state within single digits.

 

Do I ask why the hell they won't call it for him?

            -=Mike

Here's the CNN page for South Carolina:

 

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/res...P/00/index.html

 

Doesn't appear that many counties are reporting yet

If they don't call it after Orangeburg or Berkeley county report, there is a monumental problem.

-=Mike

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regarding SC, i think they set up some specific internal standard relating to # of votes, or percentage of precints reported in conjunction with a certain lead, etc, that have to be in before they make a call...

Thing is, the exit polls has Bush up big, the early votes has Bush up big --- and they called VT for Kerry with, if the screen is to be believed, 0% of the precincts reporting.

 

Why it's "insufficient" is lost on me.

-=Mike

I think they said that they're also using lots of other info to call the races...we're just seeing the raw data of actual votes counted here, but they have lots of other info at their disposal.

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Guest MikeSC

Isakson won Zell's old Senate seat.

 

Can we actually call that a Republican pickup?

-=Mike

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Guest The Shadow Behind You

why are you so concerned about it? it'll come up soone or later. nothing to be bothered by.

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Isakson won Zell's old Senate seat.

 

Can we actually call that a Republican pickup?

-=Mike

Anyone know if Burr is expected to beat Bowles in North Carolina?

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Guest MikeSC
the weighting of the exit polls in South Carolina says it's 51-45 Bush, which is probably closer than the states they've called

I'm getting 58-41 presently, Bush.

-=Mike

...Go ahead and award the seat to DeMint, too...

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Guest MikeSC
Isakson won Zell's old Senate seat.

 

Can we actually call that a Republican pickup?

            -=Mike

Anyone know if Burr is expected to beat Bowles in North Carolina?

Until about 2 weeks ago, no. Now, he is likely going to win a squeaker.

-=Mike

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the weighting of the exit polls in South Carolina says it's 51-45 Bush, which is probably closer than the states they've called

I'm getting 58-41 presently, Bush.

-=Mike

...Go ahead and award the seat to DeMint, too...

no way they award the seat to DeMint.. considering Inez has a lead in the exit polling.

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