Vern Gagne Posted July 27, 2006 Report Posted July 27, 2006 How about Mike Cameron and Carlos Beltran, colliding in the OF last year.
Chuck Woolery Posted July 27, 2006 Report Posted July 27, 2006 al: are the devil rays better than their record would indicate, and do they have a chance at making a serious playoff run in the next five years?
Bruiser Chong Posted July 27, 2006 Report Posted July 27, 2006 - Is batting average the most overrated offensive stat? - Does Carlos Zambrano get any serious Cy Young consideration? At his current rate, he'll pile up 17 or 18 wins, which is impressive since he went winless in April. It's made even more impressive by the fact he plays for a team that could easily lose 100 games this season.
Masked Man of Mystery Posted July 27, 2006 Report Posted July 27, 2006 1 What in the heck happened to Keith Foulke that he lost all effectiveness as a closer? 2 What do you think of looking into stretching Papelbon into a starter? 3 Are the Red Sox screwed due to having to use so many young pitchers so suddenly?
Bored Posted July 27, 2006 Report Posted July 27, 2006 Is Derek Jeter the best player of all-time and is Alex Rodriguez the worst player of all-time? And if you your answer is "no" to both then how do you feel about spending the afterlife in the the firery pits of hell?
TheDevilAndGodAreRagingInsideMe Posted July 27, 2006 Report Posted July 27, 2006 Where do all of your stats come from?
EVIL~! alkeiper Posted July 27, 2006 Author Report Posted July 27, 2006 al: are the devil rays better than their record would indicate, and do they have a chance at making a serious playoff run in the next five years? Right now they are where they should be. They have some very nice pieces in the minors and offensively, could be as good as any team in the league in a couple years. Whether they make a playoff run depends on how much pitching they develop. Kazmir's a great start. - Is batting average the most overrated offensive stat? - Does Carlos Zambrano get any serious Cy Young consideration? At his current rate, he'll pile up 17 or 18 wins, which is impressive since he went winless in April. It's made even more impressive by the fact he plays for a team that could easily lose 100 games this season. 1. It's not. Look at Tony Gwynn. His batting average tells you something important about his hitting ability. I think RBIs are the most overrated "official" statistic, followed by strikeouts. 2. I think he's in the running considering his record is one of the best in the NL. He won't beat out Brandon Webb though unless he lowers his ERA.
CanadianChris Posted July 27, 2006 Report Posted July 27, 2006 Ray Chapman getting killed by a pitched ball. About a dozen more have died in the minors, but none in the last 50 years. Awesome. What about any recent injuries that could possibly be on video. Sorry for the stupid questions. The only one that comes to mind is Buck Martinez making a double play on a broken leg in 1985. Recently, Aaron Rowand's was pretty gruesome. Two words: Dave Dravecky.
EVIL~! alkeiper Posted July 27, 2006 Author Report Posted July 27, 2006 1 What in the heck happened to Keith Foulke that he lost all effectiveness as a closer? 2 What do you think of looking into stretching Papelbon into a starter? 3 Are the Red Sox screwed due to having to use so many young pitchers so suddenly? 1. Injuries. 2. I think if he can start and pitch effectively, he absolutely should be moved into the rotation next year. A starter is much more valuable than a closer. 3. Not at all.
Vern Gagne Posted July 27, 2006 Report Posted July 27, 2006 al: are the devil rays better than their record would indicate, and do they have a chance at making a serious playoff run in the next five years? Right now they are where they should be. They have some very nice pieces in the minors and offensively, could be as good as any team in the league in a couple years. Whether they make a playoff run depends on how much pitching they develop. Kazmir's a great start. - Is batting average the most overrated offensive stat? - Does Carlos Zambrano get any serious Cy Young consideration? At his current rate, he'll pile up 17 or 18 wins, which is impressive since he went winless in April. It's made even more impressive by the fact he plays for a team that could easily lose 100 games this season. 1. It's not. Look at Tony Gwynn. His batting average tells you something important about his hitting ability. I think RBIs are the most overrated "official" statistic, followed by strikeouts. 2. I think he's in the running considering his record is one of the best in the NL. He won't beat out Brandon Webb though unless he lowers his ERA. Follow up questions. 1.Why do you believe RBI's are overrated
Kahran Ramsus Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 Follow Follow Up Question: Where do you rank Runs Scored compared to RBIs as an individual statistic?
TheDevilAndGodAreRagingInsideMe Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 If the most important aspect of hitting is to get on base for the next guy to knock you in, then doesn't that make the RBI an important statistic?
Cheech Tremendous Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 If the most important aspect of hitting is to get on base for the next guy to knock you in, then doesn't that make the RBI an important statistic? Al will have a good explanation I'm sure, but I'd like to jump in on this one. RBIs and Runs Scored are a team based stat and have little reflection of the actual player's ability. The ability to drive in runs is entirely dependent on the number of opportunities presented. It doesn't really indicate how the person hit with runners on, just that a lot of runners made it home. Joe Carter routinely had 100+ RBI seasons, but he wasn't much of a hitter. A better representation would be to look at a player's avg./obp./slg. with RISP. Then we know what the actual player's performance with scoring opportunities.
TheDevilAndGodAreRagingInsideMe Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 Basically, getting RBIs is the most important thing. Except RBIs are meaningless.
treble Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 RBIs are a dumb way to determine how valuable a single player is because it's mostly dependant on the players who hit before them.
Guest Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 The ability to drive in runs is entirely dependent on the number of opportunities presented. That's the way I look at the stat. Runs scored can show a players ability to get on base, but that's really all from an individual side.
Precious Roy Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 RISP OPS is probably a better indicator
CanadianChris Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 RISP OPS is probably a better indicator Probably, but you're still looking at a small sample size for those further down in the order due to fewer opportunities. Any stat that's outside the player's immediate control to a large degree is not useful as a measurement of ability. RBIs for batters and wins for pitchers are the two most obvious.
vivalaultra Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 Quick! Before it happens...what do you see happening to Alfonso Soriano, Carlos Lee, and Miguel Tejada? And who would my beloved Stros be best off acquiring?
EVIL~! alkeiper Posted July 28, 2006 Author Report Posted July 28, 2006 To answer the querys regarding RBIs. Yes, the main reason is that it is a team dependent statistic. When you look at offensive statistics, Batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, even walks, doubles, etc. are measuring something the batter did directly. Only RBIs, runs scored and sacrifices are really team dependant. Sacrifice flies are less revealing than anything else, but no one pays much attention to them anyway. Runs scored are the same way, but the batter does have more control, because he can use his baserunning skills. But people don't overrate runs scored the way they do RBIs.
Precious Roy Posted July 28, 2006 Report Posted July 28, 2006 To answer the querys regarding RBIs. Yes, the main reason is that it is a team dependent statistic. When you look at offensive statistics, Batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, even walks, doubles, etc. are measuring something the batter did directly. Only RBIs, runs scored and sacrifices are really team dependant. Sacrifice flies are less revealing than anything else, but no one pays much attention to them anyway. Runs scored are the same way, but the batter does have more control, because he can use his baserunning skills. But people don't overrate runs scored the way they do RBIs. Devil's advocate....aren't OBP and BA directly affected by the guys surrounding a hitter in the lineup? And isn't slugging affected by parks? I'm sure there are crazy stats out there that take park factors and lineup protection and the opposing pitchers and other shit into account as well though
EVIL~! alkeiper Posted July 28, 2006 Author Report Posted July 28, 2006 Devil's advocate....aren't OBP and BA directly affected by the guys surrounding a hitter in the lineup? And isn't slugging affected by parks? I'm sure there are crazy stats out there that take park factors and lineup protection and the opposing pitchers and other shit into account as well though The effect of lineup protection is minimal, if not non-existant. Yes, statistics are effected by their run-scoring environment. The effects are across the board, so they don't make one statistic more or less important than the other.
the pinjockey Posted July 29, 2006 Report Posted July 29, 2006 Dear Ask Al, Do you have the same nagging sense of dread that I do about the next 48 hours? I am thinking there is a little too much smoke about a lesser Abreu deal for there not to be some fire nearby.
EVIL~! alkeiper Posted July 29, 2006 Author Report Posted July 29, 2006 Dear Ask Al, Do you have the same nagging sense of dread that I do about the next 48 hours? I am thinking there is a little too much smoke about a lesser Abreu deal for there not to be some fire nearby. For some reason this is the most fun deadline as a Phillies fan that I can remember. I guess that's the minor league fan in me. Anyway, you'll hear a lot of rumors and speculation that are maybe 10% fact. Abreu's under contract through 2007 and there is no reason whatsoever for Pat Gillick to accept a lesser offer because of the deadline. If a deal isn't done, there's still the offseason.
KingPK Posted July 29, 2006 Report Posted July 29, 2006 What's your stance on left/right-handed specialists (i.e. Mike Myers)coming out of the bullpen for one batter and being replaced right after, no matter the outcome of the at-bat? Are managers using them correctly or is it just a waste of a bullpen spot?
EVIL~! alkeiper Posted July 29, 2006 Author Report Posted July 29, 2006 What's your stance on left/right-handed specialists (i.e. Mike Myers)coming out of the bullpen for one batter and being replaced right after, no matter the outcome of the at-bat? Are managers using them correctly or is it just a waste of a bullpen spot? It's a good question. I think having a lefty reliever on the roster solely for one at bat is a waste. Right handers have a career OPB of .408 against Mike Myers, and the last two years he has made them look like Rogers Hornsby. I do think there's an advantage to playing the matchups though. In many cases, particularly David Ortiz, the difference between a righty and a lefty are staggering. The question is whether or not you have the pitching horses. The Phils, who have Arthur Rhodes, Rheal Cormier and Aaron Fultz, are well served by matching up batters. However, if you're taking out your better relievers to put in your 12th man because he happens to be a lefty, you're wasting time and making an artificial demand for pitching. IMO, this is one of the most enjoyable aspects of minor league baseball. Managers almost never fret about matchups.
Guest Posted July 30, 2006 Report Posted July 30, 2006 Who do you think is the most likely candidate to win Rookie of the Year in the National League?
EVIL~! alkeiper Posted July 30, 2006 Author Report Posted July 30, 2006 Who do you think is the most likely candidate to win Rookie of the Year in the National League? Ryan Zimmerman. Suddenly my pick for the 2009 USA team doesn't look too shabby.
tominator89 Posted July 30, 2006 Report Posted July 30, 2006 What do you think the chances are of Utley's hitting streak existing beyond tomorrow's double header?
EVIL~! alkeiper Posted July 30, 2006 Author Report Posted July 30, 2006 What do you think the chances are of Utley's hitting streak existing beyond tomorrow's double header? About 47.6%.
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