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Oscar Nod Predictions Thread

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The nomminees are announced tomorrow and here are my predictions.

 

Best Picture

Cold Mountain

Lord of the Rings:ROTK

Lost in Translation

Mystic River

Seabiscuit

 

Best Director

Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation

Clint Eastwood, Mystic River

Peter Jackson, LOTR:ROTK

Anthony Minghella, Cold Mountain

Peter Weir, Master and Commander

 

Best Actor

Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean

Ben Kingsley, House of Sand and Fog

Jude Law, Cold Mountain

Bill Murray, Lost in Translation

Sean Penn, Mystic River

 

Best Actress

Diane Keaton, Something's Gotta Give

Nicole Kidman, Cold Mountain

Charlize Theron, Monster

Naomi Watts, 21 Grams

Evan Rachel Wood, Thirteen

 

Best Supporting Actor

Alec Baldwin, The Cooler

Benicio Del Toro, 21 Grams

Tim Robbins, Mystic River

Peter Sarsgaard, Shattered Glass

Ken Watanabe, The Last Samurai

 

Best Supporting Actress

Maria Bello, The Cooler

Patricia Clarkson, Piees of April

Holly Hunter, Thirteen

Scarlett Johansson, Lost in Translation

Renee Zellweger, Cold Mountain

 

Best Original Screenplay

Bend It Like Beckham

Finding Nemo

In America

Lost in Translation

21 Grams

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Splendor

Cold Mountain

Lord of the Rings:ROTK

Mystic River

Seabiscuit

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Best Picture:

Lord of the Rings: Return of the King

Cold Mountain

Lost in Tranlsation

Mystic River

Master & Commander: The Far Side of the World

 

Actor:

Ben Kingsley, House of Sand & Fog

Bill Murray, Lost in Translation

Jude Law, Cold Mountain

Russell Crowe, Master & Commander

Sean Penn, Mystic River

 

Director:

Sophia Coppola, Lost in Translation

Peter Jackson, LOTR: Return of the King

Clint Eastwood, Mystic River

Peter Wier, Master and Commander

Anthony Minghella, Cold Mountain

 

Actress

Diane Keaton, Somethings Gotta Give

Naomi Watts, 21 Grams

Charlize Theron, Monster

Nicole Kidman, Cold Mountain

Jennifer Connolly, House of Sand & Fog

 

Actor, Supporting:

Benicio Del Toro, 21 Grams

Albert Finney, Big Fish

Jeff Bridges, Seabiscuit

Tim Robins, Mystic River

Paul Bettany, Master & Commander

 

Supporting Actress:

Maria Bello, The Cooler

Renee Zellweger, Cold Mountain

Marcia Gay Harden, Mystic River

Jessica Lange, Big Fish

Scarlett Johanson, Lost in Translation

 

Screenplay (original):

Lost in Translation

21 Grams

The Cooler

In America

American Splendor (it wasn't really adapted from anything)

 

Screenplay (adaptation):

Mystic River

LOTR: Return of the King

Cold Mountain

Master & Commander

Seabiscuit

 

Score:

Last Samurai

Cold Mountain

Master & Commander

Seabiscuit

LOTR: Return of the King

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What I'm going to predict will be way off, but so be it.

 

Best Picture:

 

Kill Bill: Vol. 1

The Lord Of The Rings: The Return Of The King

Lost In Translation

Mystic River

Whale Rider

 

Best Director:

 

Tim Burton - Big Fish

Sofia Coppola - Lost In Translation

Clint Eastwood - Mystic River

Peter Jackson - The Lord Of The Rings: Return Of The King

Quentin Tarantino: Kill Bill: Vol. 1

 

 

Best Actor:

 

Tom Cruise - The Last Samurai

Johnny Depp - Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse Of The Black Pearl

Paul Giamatti - American Splendor

Bill Murray - Lost In Translation

Sean Penn - Mystic River

 

Best Actress:

 

Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider

Scarlett Johansson - Lost In Translation (why are people saying Supporting Actress? She was a lead role)

Nicole Kidman - Dogville

Uma Thurman - Kill Bill: Vol. 1

Naomi Watts - 21 Grams

 

Best Supporting Actor:

 

Sean Astin - The Lord Of The Rings: Return Of The King

Kevin Bacon - Mystic River

Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams

Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Ken Wantanabe - The Last Samurai

 

Best Supporting Actress:

 

Ellen DeGeneres - Finding Nemo

Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River

Chiaki Kuriyama - Kill Bill: Vol. 1

Lucy Liu - Kill Bill: Vol. 1

Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

 

Best Original Screenplay:

 

Dogville

Finding Nemo

In America

Lost In Translation

Love Actually

 

Best Adapted Screenplay:

 

Cold Mountain

The Lord Of The Rings: Return Of The King

Master & Commander: The Far Side Of The World

Mystic River

Whale Rider

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I am always off on these things, plus I haven't seen 3/4 of these movies. One year I vow to see every movie up for an Oscar nod, I said that this year but it didn't happen. Out of all my guesses for nods, the last pick is the spoiler. The italics are what I think will win.

 

Best Picture

Lords of the Rings: Return of the King

Cold Mountain

Lost in Translation

Mystic River

21 Grams

 

Best Actor

Jude Law - Cold Mountain

Sean Penn - Mystic River

Bill Murray - Lost in Translation

Russell Crowe - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Johnny Depp - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

 

Best Actress

Nicole Kidman - Cold Mountain

Namoi Watts - 21 Grams

Charlize Theron - Monster (my sister swears she'll win)

Jennifer Connelly - House of Sand and Fog

Uma Thurman - Kill Bill Vol 1

 

Best Supporting Actor

Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams

William H. Macy - Seabiscuit

Paul Bettany - Master and Commander: Far Side of the Sea

Sean Astin - Lords of the Rings: Return of the King

 

Best Supporting Actress

Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River

Scarlett Johnson - Lost in Translation

Holly Hunter - Thirteen

Ellen DeGeneres - Finding Nemo

 

Orginal Screenplay

21 Grams

Lost in Translation

In America

Something's Gotta Give

Finding Nemo

 

Adapted Screenplay

Lord of the Rings: Return of the King

Mystic River

Master and Commander: Far Side of the World

Cold Mountain

Seabiscuit

 

Best Director

Clint Eastwood - Mystic River

Sofia Coppola - Lost in Translation

Anthony Minghella - Cold Mountain

Peter Jackson - Lord of the Rings: Return of the King

Edward Zwixk - The Last Samurai

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Guest El Satanico
Charlize Theron - Monster (my sister swears she'll win)

It would be a total surprise if she doesn't. It'll take a miracle for anyone else to win.

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I am always off on these things, plus I haven't seen 3/4 of these movies. One year I vow to see every movie up for an Oscar nod, I said that this year but it didn't happen. Out of all my guesses for nods, the last pick is the spoiler. The italics are what I think will win.

 

Best Picture

Lords of the Rings: Return of the King

Cold Mountain

Lost in Translation

Mystic River

21 Grams

 

Best Actor

Jude Law - Cold Mountain

Sean Penn - Mystic River

Bill Murray - Lost in Translation

Russell Crowe - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Johnny Depp - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

 

Best Actress

Nicole Kidman - Cold Mountain

Namoi Watts - 21 Grams

Charlize Theron - Monster (my sister swears she'll win)

Jennifer Connelly - House of Sand and Fog

Uma Thurman - Kill Bill Vol 1

 

Best Supporting Actor

Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams

William H. Macy - Seabiscuit

Paul Bettany - Master and Commander: Far Side of the Sea

Sean Astin - Lords of the Rings: Return of the King

 

Best Supporting Actress

Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River

Scarlett Johnson - Lost in Translation

Holly Hunter - Thirteen

Ellen DeGeneres - Finding Nemo

 

Orginal Screenplay

21 Grams

Lost in Translation

In America

Something's Gotta Give

Finding Nemo

 

Adapted Screenplay

Lord of the Rings: Return of the King

Mystic River

Master and Commander: Far Side of the World

Cold Mountain

Seabiscuit

 

Best Director

Clint Eastwood - Mystic River

Sofia Coppola - Lost in Translation

Anthony Minghella - Cold Mountain

Peter Jackson - Lord of the Rings: Return of the King

Edward Zwixk - The Last Samurai

I think your choices are very astute.

 

I only hope that you're predictions on who wins are accurate.

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I'm betting "In America" gets a Best Picture nod, along with LOTR, Lost in Translation, Mystic River, and Cold Mountain.

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Well let's see how I did. I was hoping to get 4 out of 5 in most catagories so I could avg. 80%

 

Best Picture

Cold Mountain

Lord of the Rings:ROTK

Lost in Translation

Mystic River

Seabiscuit

 

4/5

I thought the Miramax Oscar machine would carry Cold Mountain. I didn't think there was enough buzz for Master and Commander

 

Best Director

Sofia Coppola, Lost in Translation

Clint Eastwood, Mystic River

Peter Jackson, LOTR:ROTK

Anthony Minghella, Cold Mountain

Peter Weir, Master and Commander

 

4/5

See above for why I predicted Minghella.

The acadamy likes to give Peter Weir the "nominate the director, but not the picture" slot. I was right about Gary Ross being the Best Picture director who got snubbed.

City of God deserved it's nomination.

 

Best Actor

Johnny Depp, Pirates of the Caribbean

Ben Kingsley, House of Sand and Fog

Jude Law, Cold Mountain

Bill Murray, Lost in Translation

Sean Penn, Mystic River

 

5/5

Woo Hoo

 

Best Actress

Diane Keaton, Something's Gotta Give

Nicole Kidman, Cold Mountain

Charlize Theron, Monster

Naomi Watts, 21 Grams

Evan Rachel Wood, Thirteen

 

3/5

 

Kiesha Castle-Hughes deserved to get nominated. I didn't think she had a chance because Newmarket Films was campaigning to get her a Best Supporting Actress nod because they thought she had a better shot at that one.

In America is great, but I wasn't counting on Samatha Morton. I thought the movie would be overlooked. I would have perfered to have seen the

Bolger sisters recognized.

 

Best Supporting Actor

Alec Baldwin, The Cooler

Benicio Del Toro, 21 Grams

Tim Robbins, Mystic River

Peter Sarsgaard, Shattered Glass

Ken Watanabe, The Last Samurai

 

4/5

I'm happy with Djimon Honsou (sic) getting nominated, but I didn't see it coming.

 

Best Supporting Actress

Maria Bello, The Cooler

Patricia Clarkson, Pieces of April

Holly Hunter, Thirteen

Scarlett Johansson, Lost in Translation

Renee Zellweger, Cold Mountain

 

3/5

I thought they would overlook House of Sand and Fog. I didnt think Maria Gay Harden was showy enough to get nominated.

 

I think Focus Features (Universal) blew it for Scarlett Johansson by campaigning for supporting actress when she was the lead actress in the movie.

 

Best Original Screenplay

Bend It Like Beckham

Finding Nemo

In America

Lost in Translation

21 Grams

 

3/5

Dirty Pretty Things was nominated at the Writer's Guild awards, so I probably shouldn't be supprised.

I was supprised to see 21 Grams get snubbed here.

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Splendor

Cold Mountain

Lord of the Rings:ROTK

Mystic River

Seabiscuit

 

4/5

City of God deserverd it's nominaions.

 

Total

30/40

75% (oh well).

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Best Picture

Lords of the Rings: Return of the King

Cold Mountain

Lost in Translation

Mystic River

21 Grams

I got 3 right

 

Best Actor

Jude Law - Cold Mountain

Sean Penn - Mystic River

Bill Murray - Lost in Translation

Russell Crowe - Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World

Johnny Depp - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl

I got 4 right

 

Best Actress

Nicole Kidman - Cold Mountain

Namoi Watts - 21 Grams

Charlize Theron - Monster (my sister swears she'll win)

Jennifer Connelly - House of Sand and Fog

Uma Thurman - Kill Bill Vol 1

I got 2 right

 

Best Supporting Actor

Tim Robbins - Mystic River

Benicio Del Toro - 21 Grams

William H. Macy - Seabiscuit

Paul Bettany - Master and Commander: Far Side of the Sea

Sean Astin - Lords of the Rings: Return of the King

I got 2 right

 

Best Supporting Actress

Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain

Marcia Gay Harden - Mystic River

Scarlett Johnson - Lost in Translation

Holly Hunter - Thirteen

Ellen DeGeneres - Finding Nemo

I got 3 right

 

Orginal Screenplay

21 Grams

Lost in Translation

In America

Something's Gotta Give

Finding Nemo

I got 2 right

 

Adapted Screenplay

Lord of the Rings: Return of the King

Mystic River

Master and Commander: Far Side of the World

Cold Mountain

Seabiscuit

I got 3 right

 

Best Director

Clint Eastwood - Mystic River

Sofia Coppola - Lost in Translation

Anthony Minghella - Cold Mountain

Peter Jackson - Lord of the Rings: Return of the King

Edward Zwixk - The Last Samurai

I got 3 right

 

Bah, I did alright but picking these nods are tough. Plus the fact I haven't seen 3/4 of the movies.

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