Ed Wood Caulfield Posted April 28, 2004 Report Posted April 28, 2004 I found this on the BBC news website. It was originally posted on August 28, 2001. It's certainly interesting, and a little scary that something like this is possible. Although there is only a 5% possibilty that it would happen this decade or even the next decade, so that's comforting. The last time the volcano erupted was in 1971, and it only happens once or twice a century. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/1513342.stm Giant wave devastation feared By BBC News Online's environment correspondent Alex Kirby An immense wave could one day wreak havoc on the eastern seaboard of the US and elsewhere around the Atlantic. "It's entirely possible you'd see 50-metre waves coming ashore in Florida, New York, Boston, all the way up to Greenland, and in some cases reaching up to 10 km inland"-Dr Simon Day Scientists say a volcanic eruption on the Canary Islands, off West Africa, could trigger a vast undersea landslide. "This would set off a tsunami wave capable of inundating coastal regions thousands of kilometres away." But the disaster is unlikely to strike this century. The warning comes from Dr Steven Ward, of the University of California, US, and Dr Simon Day, of the Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre at University College London, UK. Writing in Geophysical Research Letters, they refine an earlier estimate of the likely consequences of the collapse of the western flank of the Cumbre Vieja volcano on the island of La Palma in the Canaries. Record heights They believe a build-up of groundwater could destabilise a block of rock up to 500 cubic km in size, which could break off in a future eruption, rushing into the sea at up to 350 km an hour (220 mph). The energy released by the collapse would equal the entire US electricity consumption for six months. The dome of water it caused would be 900 metres (2,950 feet) high, and the resulting tsunami, higher than any in recorded history, would travel outwards, reaching speeds of 800 km an hour (500 mph). Waves 100 m (330 ft) from crest to trough would strike the African coast, while north-eastwards they would affect Spain, Portugal and France, and could still be approaching 12 m (40 ft) when they hit the UK. That is almost three times the maximum recorded after the Lisbon earthquake of 1755. Dr Day said the waves striking the UK coast would not penetrate more than two or three kilometres inland. But he told BBC News Online: "Weird things happen when tsunamis enter harbours or estuaries. If those resonate at a certain frequency, that may substantially increase the damage." Across the Atlantic the damage would be far worse, with wave heights of more than 40 m (130 ft) expected in northern Brazil. Dr Day said: "It's entirely possible you'd see 50-m waves coming ashore in Florida, New York, Boston, all the way up to Greenland, and in some cases reaching up to 10 km inland. And that would be about nine hours or more after the initial collapse." Dr Simon Day: This may not happen for many centuries The ensuing economic losses would probably be in trillions of dollars, even if there were enough warning to evacuate threatened areas and avoid massive loss of human life. If the speed of the landslide proved to be 150 metres per second (490 feet per second), not the 100 m/s (330 ft/s) assumed, that could double the height of the waves reaching the US. But Dr Day had some reassurance on the probable timescale of the catastrophe. He said a collapse was unlikely this century, and perhaps for many centuries. It could take several eruptions to destabilise the volcano enough to dislodge the western flank, and collapse would occur only after days or weeks of seismic activity. He told BBC News Online: "We think you have to see some evidence of subterranean movement before there's a risk of collapse. The fact that we aren't seeing any movement gives us a lot of confidence Cumbre Vieja won't collapse spontaneously. But we've found that eruptions do tend to come in clusters. And there've been two in the recent past." And here's a map of how the tidal wave would travel:
Mik Posted April 28, 2004 Report Posted April 28, 2004 you can see it in theaters in a few months. It's called Day After Tomorrow.
MrRant Posted April 28, 2004 Report Posted April 28, 2004 Well no shit. This has been known for how many years?
Art Sandusky Posted April 28, 2004 Report Posted April 28, 2004 Eh, it'd give me enough time to drive well inland, so hurrah for tidal waves?
Guest Agent of Oblivion Posted April 28, 2004 Report Posted April 28, 2004 Indiana's going to be prime beachfront property someday.
Guest cobainwasmurdered Posted April 28, 2004 Report Posted April 28, 2004 Go away SKBF. Words.Outta.MOuth.
KingPK Posted April 28, 2004 Report Posted April 28, 2004 Will the Food Man and the $10 computers be ok? *Wonders if anyone will get that*
MrRant Posted April 28, 2004 Report Posted April 28, 2004 Will the Food Man and the $10 computers be ok? *Wonders if anyone will get that* The bigger question will be.... after the flood... what will we need to burn a cd?
Bruiser Chong Posted April 29, 2004 Report Posted April 29, 2004 Will the Food Man and the $10 computers be ok? *Wonders if anyone will get that* God damn you, I was going to bring up the well-being of the $10 computers. Oh well, I guess it wasn't as clever as I thought it was.
KingPK Posted April 29, 2004 Report Posted April 29, 2004 Just in case you don't know/couldn't remember what we're talking about (and I was debating wether or not to do this), read these threads: Is There Anyway To Create Audio CD's..., Without Needing a CD Burner The U.S. Empire Is Falling!, Ain't It Sweet?
Bruiser Chong Posted April 29, 2004 Report Posted April 29, 2004 I don't think the poor guy's ever going to live those two threads down. It's what he'll always be associated with, regardless of what he does. Kinda like Bret Hart and Montreal.
Guest cobainwasmurdered Posted April 29, 2004 Report Posted April 29, 2004 PLease. The best SKBF thread is from when TMO tricked him into thinking he was the poster of the week. It was beautiful.
The Czech Republic Posted April 29, 2004 Report Posted April 29, 2004 You know I'm thinking "Ooh, 14 replies, there's still enough time to sneak in references to the Food Man or the $10 computer!" But I was wrong. Dead wrong. I've gotta be quicker and post more during school hours.
Slayer Posted April 29, 2004 Report Posted April 29, 2004 Just in case you don't know/couldn't remember what we're talking about (and I was debating wether or not to do this), read these threads: Is There Anyway To Create Audio CD's..., Without Needing a CD Burner The U.S. Empire Is Falling!, Ain't It Sweet? DETFJ Anyway, these kind of theories make me glad I live in the dead center of the US. Now if we could do something about them tornados...
NoCalMike Posted April 29, 2004 Report Posted April 29, 2004 with continental drift taking place since the dawn of time, wouldn't that also eventually mean the world will once again be one big land mass with a few islands that went around the big mass?
KingPK Posted April 29, 2004 Report Posted April 29, 2004 Well suffice to say, the Atlantic is going to become one big-ass ocean in a few million years while the Pacific continues to shrink. And you can say goodbye to that Mediterranean beachfront property in about 60 million years, since there won't BE a Mediterranean Sea.
Slayer Posted April 29, 2004 Report Posted April 29, 2004 with continental drift taking place since the dawn of time, wouldn't that also eventually mean the world will once again be one big land mass with a few islands that went around the big mass? Not in your lifetime
Recommended Posts
Please sign in to comment
You will be able to leave a comment after signing in
Sign In Now