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GreatWhiteNope

CNN Live projections

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It saddens me that this country is filled with a bunch of clueless morons who vote like sheep for that idiot named Bush.  It's going to be along 4 years if Bush wins.

Many, myself included, could be asking individuals like you "How can you vote for John Kerry?!?!", but we do not, because we are civil enough to respect your choice of candidates.

 

I ask that you have that same respect for those who support Bush.

 

I doubt you will.

 

No sour grapes if Kerry loses, okay?

Vyce, I voted for Kerry (in Ohio), I want him to win

 

No sour grapes if he loses

You don't even need to tell me that - I can expect you to be well-behaved, civilized gentleman.

 

This other guy, obviously I have my doubts.

 

In an unrelated note, Larry King adds absolutely NOTHING.

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Just out of curiousity

 

How close was Illinois race between up and comer and the man Jesus would vote for?

Obama & Keyes?

 

Obama has won with something like 81% of the vote. Keyes was in the LOW teens.

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Guest MikeSC
And now they're debating the accuracy of exit polls.

 

This is just silly.

I still don't fully understand this. People keep mentioning exit polls, and how they could be inaccurate. Can someone explain that to me?

Exit polling's accuracy is questionable for a few reasons:

 

1. Location of precincts chosen- Urban precincts are more likely to break for Dems than suburban or rural precincts

 

2. Cherry-picking of precincts- Are they picking heavily Dem or Republican precincts or are they picking middle-of-the-road ones?

 

3. Absentee balloting- The polling only counts walk-up voters, NOT absentee voters.

 

4. Early voting- Exit polling tends to cover only ELECTION DAY voting and not early voting.

To give an idea, SC, NC, and VA were Kerry states in the exit polls.

-=Mike

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Depends if Vitter hits 50%... which I think is likely.

 

I know, but right now he is holding steady at 55%.

It depends which parishes those votes are coming from...

 

 

East Baton Rouge, West Baton Rouge, Jefferson, Livingston, Ascenscion, Assumption, etc. are all pretty Republican, as those are where the white people from Baton Rouge and New Orleans live.

 

Vitter's Congressional district was in Jefferson Parish, so he'd do well there no matter what.

 

 

John's Congressional district is in the Acadiana area (Cameron, St. Landry, Acadia, etc.) so he'll do well there.

 

 

Kennedy doesn't have a true base, so his support will be patched together from all over the state.

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Here's a question for those who are more familiar with third parties - will Badnarik wind up with a larger percentage of votes than Nader? Nobody's really covering his numbers, given that Nader is more well known, but I have to figure that Badnarik's results have to be quite close to Nader's.

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Bunning is now up by 12,000 with 9% remaining.

 

Barring a late break by Mongiardo, Bunning will retain his Senate seat.

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Here's a question for those who are more familiar with third parties - will Badnarik wind up with a larger percentage of votes than Nader? Nobody's really covering his numbers, given that Nader is more well known, but I have to figure that Badnarik's results have to be quite close to Nader's.

Badnarik is likely to perform better than Nader for a few reasons:

 

1. Nader has been removed from the ballot in several states

 

2. Nader has a Democratic backlash from people blaming him for Gore's loss in 2000

 

3. Badnarik is likely to pick up votes in Republican states that are safely going for Bush.

 

 

Don't be surprised if Badnarik gets twice as many votes as Nader.

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Everything's pretty much exactly as expected.. if you add California to Kerry, the EVs are pretty close (what, 167 to 171?), and that brings us back to the big 4, Michgian, Ohio, Penn, and Florida. Michigan is useless until Wayne County checks in, Ohio has lines that have gone for 4 or 5 hours, etc, this is gonna go until tomorrow morning imo.

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Daschle / Thune race is still pretty razor thin.

I'm wondering what precincts are reporting in there...

 

 

What I *DO* know is that if Thune has a slim lead when the Native American vote comes in, Thune will come out behind and we'll have lawsuits flying everywhere.

 

That's what happened to Thune two years ago and he held off on suing then because he set his sights on Daschle.

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Badnarik is likely to perform better than Nader for a few reasons:

I don't dispute these reasons although I think both guys are running campaigns to lose. Neither is compromising their agenda to try and gain votes, and so Badnarik's claim to shut down the treasury is more scary than a lot of things about Nader.

 

 

I've just been hanging around listening to Air America. So far, things have been pretty predictable.

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Everything's pretty much exactly as expected.. if you add California to Kerry, the EVs are pretty close (what, 167 to 171?), and that brings us back to the big 4, Michgian, Ohio, Penn, and Florida. Michigan is useless until Wayne County checks in, Ohio has lines that have gone for 4 or 5 hours, etc, this is gonna go until tomorrow morning imo.

It depends how things fall...

 

If Bush picks up Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, New Mexico and another state such as New Hampshire, Hawaii, Oregon, or Washington, he wins before all the votes are counted in the Big Four.

 

 

There's also the chance of a big bump for Bush in a close Kerry state like New Jersey or New York that will see the projected Kerry win overturned.

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Which Kerry daughter is on CBS right now?

 

The non-crazy one? Does he have a non-crazy daughter?

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Civil suit against Jackson for "repressed" memories of sexual abuse from 20 years ago.

 

What a crock.

 

Oh boy, here comes a fat socialist weasel.

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Jim Demint was declared the winner in the SC Senate race over Inez Tennenbaum.

 

That's another pickup for the Republicans, as that seat belonged to Fritz Holling (D, SC) before he retired this year.

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You know, this is a total non sequitur, but Barbara Bush (the daughter, of course, not the ex-First Lady) has gotten really, really hot.

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So is Nader hurting Kerry AT ALL in this thing?

Very doubtful. I'd figure Badnarik probably took more votes away than Kerry than Nader, but neither will have THAT much of an influence.

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Guest MikeSC
You know, this is a total non sequitur, but Barbara Bush (the daughter, of course, not the ex-First Lady) has gotten really, really hot.

TESTIFY!

-=Mike

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This election has little bearing on me being Australian, but god, it's fun to watch.

 

I don't know if that's sad or not.

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Jesus, Carville is on CNN, thus making the channel unwatchable again.

 

You know, he looks like one of those Grays from the film "Communion."

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Guest The Shadow Behind You
Which Kerry daughter is on CBS right now?

 

The non-crazy one? Does he have a non-crazy daughter?

ummm...The Kerry girls are basically normal...for the most part.

 

It's Jenna Bush that's the crazy and totally fuckable one. So is Barbra. Who did Laura cheat on George with to produce those babes?

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