bob_barron 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 I figure with the success of the top 10 movies thread, I would start a thread where we could discuss who we think will be nominated for Oscars this year, and who we think will be nominated. So, have at it! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BifEverchad 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 The Dark Knight will be nominated for Best Picture. Yeah.... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 The Dark Knight will be nominated for Best Picture. Yeah.... I don't know, it sounds 50/50 at this point. EW says the 4 "locks" are Nixon, Button, Milk and Slumdog with TDK and Doubt gunning for the 5th slot. With declining ratings and interest, the Academy would be retarded to not give TDK its due. I know it would really make me look down on the Academy if they just dismiss it because it's a popcorn movie. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Ghost of bps21 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 I feel like Dark Knight is going to get that last spot too. I read an article somewhere while TDK was still out that basically said that the magic number was 500 million...and if TDK made that it would become too difficult to ignore given the high praise it recieved. Its funny that the main thing standing in its way IMO is less that it's a comic book blockbuster...and more that it was released in July when every other movie there was released in the awards months. But the fact is...if you ask people...many many many of them will say that TDK was the best movie of the year. And while there's no chance of it actually winning the award...I think NOT even nominating it will turn people off of the Oscars a little. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Red Baron 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Milk was boring. Somehow the academy likes boring movies and nominate them. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Epic Reine 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Best actor would be similar to the golden globe nominations with Rourke, Penn, Langella, Pitt and either DiCaprio and Eastwood fighting for the 5th spot. Either Penn or Rourke will win, it could go back and forth. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
4hartthreat 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 The five pics that will be nominated are locked at this point. It is Button, Frost, Slumdog, Milk, and Dark Knight. The best way to tell what will be nominated is to look at the various guild nominations. Usually there is some differences in there that leave some question for one or two spots, but this year that is not the case. Every guild has nominated those five films. So there is no doubt that those five will be your nominees. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Scroby 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Is there a date for the show? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CBright7831 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Heath Ledger, RDJ, and PSH will be nominated for Best Actor in a Supporting Role. I somehow get the feeling that Ledger may lose the award, but I hope I am wrong. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Milk was boring. Somehow the academy likes boring movies and nominate them. Given that you're the only one who didn't like Milk, that's pretty incorrect. I thought Milk was fantastic, with great performances by Penn and Brolin. Aside from the Penn-Luna relationship, not much to nitpick about. I somehow get the feeling that Ledger may lose the award, but I hope I am wrong. The Supporting categories are where they like to fuck around, so it wouldn't shock me. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ravenbomb 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 I actually thought Penn was fairly disappointing in Milk. In some parts he was pretty solid but there were times when he was flat out not very good, particularly in the scene where his boyfriend hanged himself. Brolin and Hirsch (sp?) were way better in that movie than Penn. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lord of The Curry 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Milk wins Best Picture, bet that shit. Hollywood be sendin' a message about the gays getting hitched. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lt. Al Giardello 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Nevermind... Even if TDK doesn't get nominated for Best Picture, Ledgers a lock to win supporting actor. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lt. Al Giardello 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 I somehow get the feeling that Ledger may lose the award, but I hope I am wrong. The Supporting categories are where they like to fuck around, so it wouldn't shock me. I like Michael Caine, but him winning in 1999 was bullshit. The other 4 candidates were more deserving, especially Tom Cruise and Michael Clarke Duncan. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lord of The Curry 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Ledger winning won't surprise me but I just hope he doesn't to see the internet have a collective aneurysm. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lt. Al Giardello 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 I fear if Ledger doesnt win we might get a "the room is spinning!" type post. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lord of The Curry 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Well, it WAS the greatest performance in the history of cinema. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lt. Al Giardello 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 I hope that is sarcasm... Also I know it's unlikely, but I really hope Colin Farrell gets nominated for In Bruges. Even though it's unlikely he'll win, he was still awesome. Problay his best performance ever. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bobobrazil1984 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 I'm rooting for Mickey Rourke in "The Wrestler" for Best Actor. That was one of those "i can't imagine anyone else playing this guy" performances after you saw it. Deserved the GG but deserves the Oscar more. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DMann2003 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 The 5 pics: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button The Dark Knight Frost/Nixon Milk Slumdog Millionaire Best Actor Clint Eastwood Gran Torino Frank Langella Frost/Nixon Sean Penn Milk Brad Pitt The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Mickey Rourke The Wrestler Best Actress Anne Hathaway Rachel Getting Married Sally Hawkins Happy Go-Lucky Meryl Streep Doubt Michelle Williams Wendy and Lucy Kate Winslet Revolutionary Road Best Supporting Actor Josh Brolin Milk Robert Downey Jr. Tropic Thunder Ralph Finnes The Reader Heath Ledger The Dark Knight Phillip Seymour Hoffman Doubt Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams Doubt Viola Davis Doubt Tajira P Henson The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Marissa Tomei The Wrestler Kate Winslet The Reader Best Director Danny Boyle Slumdog Millionaire David Fincher The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Ron Howard Frost/Nixon Christopher Nolan The Dark Knight Gus Van Sant Milk Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Craig Th 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 I have yet to finish Button and I haven't started Revolutionary Road yet, so I can't say who I think should/will be nominated. Unless the 2nd half of Button is amazing and RR left me amazed like American Beauty, then Slumdog should win. Hands down. Gran Torino should get some support as well. I liked it a lot more than Frost/Nixon. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2009 Predictions: Picture: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button The Dark Knight Frost/Nixon Milk Slumdog Millionaire Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon Sean Penn, Milk Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler Actress: Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married Sally Hawkins, Happy Go Lucky Angelina Jolie, Changeling Meryl Streep, Doubt Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road Supporting Actor: Josh Brolin, Milk Robert Downey, Jr. Tropic Thunder James Franco, Milk Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight Supporting Actress- Amy Adams, Doubt Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona Viola Davis, Doubt Kate Winslet, The Reader Rosemarie DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married Best Director- Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire David Fincher, Button Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon Christopher Nolan, TDK Gus van Sant, Milk Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ravenbomb 0 Report post Posted January 14, 2009 I fear if Ledger doesnt win we might get a "the room is spinning!" type post. If Ledger doesn't win we riot! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted January 14, 2009 Here would be my Oscar votes- Best Picture- The Dark Knight The Wrestler Cloverfield Tropic Thunder Gran Torino Best Actor- Jean Claude Van Damme, JCVD Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon Sean Penn, Milk Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler Best Actress- Amy Adams, Miss Pettigrew Lives For a Day Elizabeth Banks, Zach and Miri Make a Porno Anne Hathway, Rachel Getting Married Sally Hawkins, Happy Go Lucky Angelina Jolie, Changeling Supporting Actor- Russell Brand, Forgetting Sarah Marshall Robert Downey, Jr. Tropic Thunder Bill Irwin, Rachel Getting Married Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road Best Supporting Actress- Amy Adams, Doubt Penelope Cruz, Vicki Cristina Barcelona Rachel McAdams, The Lucky Ones Emily Mortimer, Transsiberian Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler Best Director- Darren Aranofsky, The Wrestler Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino Gus Van Sant, Milk Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight Best Adapted Screenplay- Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire Peter Morgan, Frost/Nixon Christopher and Jonathan Nolan, The Dark Knight Eric Roth, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Lorene Scafaria, Nick and Norah's Infinite Playlist Best Original Screenplay- Dustin Lance Black, Milk Nick Schenk, Gran Torino Robert D. Siegel, The Wrestler Kevin Smith, Zach and Miri Make a Porno Etan Cohen, Ben Stiller, Justin Theroux, Tropic Thunder Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ravenbomb 0 Report post Posted January 14, 2009 I won't bother with predictions, but here's what I'd pick: Best Picture: The Wrestler The Dark Knight In Bruges Let The Right One In Slumdog Millionaire Best Leading Actor: Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler Colin Farrell, In Bruges Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon Josh Brolin, W. Best Leading Actress: Meryl Streep, Doubt Lina Leandersson, Let The Right One In Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road Angelina Jolie, Changeling Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight Ralph Fiennes, In Bruges Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt Jeffrey Wright, W. Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road Best Supporting Actress: Clémence Poésy, In Bruges Marissa Tomei, The Wrestler Viola Davis, Doubt Amy Adams, Doubt Elizabeth Banks, W. Best Director: Darren Aronofsky, The Wrestler Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire Tomas Alfredson, Let The Right One In Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino Adapted Screenplay: Let The Right One In Frost/Nixon Doubt The Dark Knight Slumdog Millionaire Original Screenplay: The Wrestler In Bruges Wall E Gran Torino Forgetting Sarah Marshall Cinematography: Let The Right One In The Wrestler The Dark Knight In Bruges Revolutionary Road Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted January 14, 2009 Really good list, Ravenbomb. I have to ask though: Why the hype around Viola Davis? She's barely in the movie, and I don't remember anything standing out to me. Would love to hear your thoughts. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CBright7831 0 Report post Posted January 14, 2009 I somehow get the feeling that Ledger may lose the award, but I hope I am wrong. The Supporting categories are where they like to fuck around, so it wouldn't shock me. I like Michael Caine, but him winning in 1999 was bullshit. The other 4 candidates were more deserving, especially Tom Cruise and Michael Clarke Duncan. At least Michael Caine still has a respectable career, look what happened to Cuba Gooding Jr when he won. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ravenbomb 0 Report post Posted January 14, 2009 She was only in one scene, yes, but I think it was the best scene in the movie in terms of the writing and acting. I could get behind her character more than the others. Yeah, that credit should probably go to the writing, but I thought she made the most of the screentime she had and can't think of anybody who I would nominate over her. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted January 14, 2009 She was only in one scene, yes, but I think it was the best scene in the movie in terms of the writing and acting. I could get behind her character more than the others. Yeah, that credit should probably go to the writing, but I thought she made the most of the screentime she had and can't think of anybody who I would nominate over her. I kept hearing hype about her and then when the movie ended, I just kept thinking: Wait....she's in two scenes! I was having trouble thinking of deserving women as well, I loved Amber Tamblyn in the Sisterhood sequel and Olivia Thirlby in The Wackness, but I don't know if I'd put it on a nomination list. I also considered Julianne Moore for Blindness, but I figured that'd be lead actress. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ravenbomb 0 Report post Posted January 14, 2009 Blindness was the worst movie I saw last year. The only person I'd even consider nominating in that movie is the guy who played the villain. Speaking of which, I briefly considered the youngest version of Jamal's brother in Slumdog for supporting actor, but went with Wright instead. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
