Cheex Incarnate 0 Report post Posted December 13, 2004 With the movie year coming to an end, and all the final big oscar talk movies coming out within the next few weeks, and the golden globes announcing their nominations, who do you guys think is gunna get the nods at the academy? (note: you don't have to have seen the movie to post a prediction it will get nominated) Best Picture: The Aviator Sideways The Incredibles Closer Ray Actor: Jamie Foxx, Ray Paul Giamatti, Sideways Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland Liam Neeson, Kinsey Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator (I think that Bill Murray (Life Aquatic) and Jim Carrey (Eternal Sunshine) will be residing in Snubsville for the evening. Also if The Assassination of Richard Nixon comes out in time, i expect Sean Penn to get nominated above Giamatti.) Actress: Hillary Swank, Million Dollar Baby Annette Benning, Being Julia Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake Audrey Tatou, A Very Long Engagement Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind Director: Martin Scorsese, The Aviator Mike Nichols, Closer Alexander Payne, Sideways Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda Walter Salles, The Motorcycle Diaries Supporting Actor David Carradine, Kill Bill Vol. 2 Clive Owen, Closer Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby Thomas Haden Church, Sideways Billy Bob Thorton, The Alamo Supporting Actress: Natalie Portman, Closer Laura Linney, Kinsey Virginia Madsen, Sideways Cate Blanchett, The Aviator Ashley Judd, De-Lovely Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CBright7831 0 Report post Posted December 13, 2004 I take that back. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted December 13, 2004 I can tell you right now that you're absolutely wrong. Passion of the Christ divided too many people to get a Best Picture nomination, it's snub at the Globes showed that. Ditto Fahrenheit. The fact that Kerry lost the election only hurts Moore's chances Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cheex Incarnate 0 Report post Posted December 13, 2004 I would only accept it if BOTH Farenheit 9/11 and The Passion of the Christ were nominated. That way we have a ===><=== affect on their viewpoints -Cheex Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted December 13, 2004 Best Picture: The Aviator Sideways The Incredibles Closer Ray I don't think Ray will get nominated. It was a good movie but only cause of Jamie Foxx. If Nemo didn't get nominated then I don't see Incredibles getting a nod. I think it will be: Aviator, Sideways, Million Dollar Baby, Hotel Rwanda and a dark horse like Eternal Sunshine. Actor: Jamie Foxx, Ray Paul Giamatti, Sideways Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland Liam Neeson, Kinsey Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator (I think that Bill Murray (Life Aquatic) and Jim Carrey (Eternal Sunshine) will be residing in Snubsville for the evening. Also if The Assassination of Richard Nixon comes out in time, i expect Sean Penn to get nominated above Giamatti.) Kinsey has badly faded so I don't think Neeson will get a nod. Life Aquatic is getting poor reviews so out goes Murray. I'd take out Neeson for Cheadle. I think they have to throw Passion something so Cavaziel will get a nod over DiCaprio. Actress: Hillary Swank, Million Dollar Baby Annette Benning, Being Julia Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake Audrey Tatou, A Very Long Engagement Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind Surely there's someone who was better then Winslet? Director: Martin Scorsese, The Aviator Mike Nichols, Closer Alexander Payne, Sideways Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda Walter Salles, The Motorcycle Diaries Terry George directed Hotel Rwanda. Clint gets the nod over Salles. Supporting Actor David Carradine, Kill Bill Vol. 2 Clive Owen, Closer Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby Thomas Haden Church, Sideways Billy Bob Thorton, The Alamo Alamo being a huge flop means no to Billy Bob. Supporting Actress: Natalie Portman, Closer Laura Linney, Kinsey Virginia Madsen, Sideways Cate Blanchett, The Aviator Ashley Judd, De-Lovely I think Ashley is going for best actress and DeLovely bombing means no to her. Don't know who would replace her though. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted December 13, 2004 I would only accept it if BOTH Farenheit 9/11 and The Passion of the Christ were nominated. That way we have a ===><=== affect on their viewpoints -Cheex Well one film is about Bush sucks. The other is about Jesus getting killed. Not total opposites. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kahran Ramsus 0 Report post Posted December 13, 2004 It is a shame that they judge the BO instead of the performance, but that's the way the Academy has always acted. Since this is a poor year, I think they may finally give in to Scorsese, possibly the most gifted director of his generation. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted December 13, 2004 There were some really good-great films this year but it seems no film is really getting **** across the board from all the critics like last year which had dark horse films like In America. (I wish In America had done better too) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TheOriginalOrangeGoblin 0 Report post Posted December 13, 2004 "Million Dollar Baby" so far is at 96% on Meta Critic which is the best I've seen. I don't know anyone who's seen it yet but if it is that good maybe Morgan Freeman can finally get an Oscar. And for best actor I'm fairly certain it goes to Depp to make up for them snubbing for a decade. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bobobrazil1984 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 I'd rather neither Passion or F9/11 be nominated. Maybe Passion for best directing or cinematography... but as a film, its just two hours of torture. Literally (not as in "it's sooo bad"). Personally I think Spider-Man 2 should be nominated but it would never happen. *sigh* A Spidey and Incredibles nomination would make it the coolest oscars in years. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest sek69 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 I doubt the Incredibles will get a Best Picture nod when they have a separate Best Animated Film category now. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Downhome 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 When I heard that a film was coming out called Million Dollar Baby, I thought I was in store for a true pile of feces. I thought we were going to be dealing with another Baby Geniuses 2 or Son of the Mask. All I could think about in terms of what the plot could possibly be about, based only on the title, is a film built around the same idea that the TV show The Six Million Dollar Man was about: We can rebuild the child. We have the technology. We have the capability to make the world's first Bionic baby. ________ _________ will be that baby. Better than he was before. Better . . . stronger . . . cuter. So it's safe to say that I was totally wrong. After watching the actual trailer, now I want to check it out, even though it reminds me of The Next Karate Kid...only in Academy Award Winning form. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest The Shadow Behind You Report post Posted December 14, 2004 Best Picture *Aviator *Closer *Finding Neverland *Hotel Rwanda *Million Dollar Baby Best Actor *Jim Carrey-Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind *Leo DeCaprio-Aviator *Johnny Depp-Finding Neverland *Jamie Foxx-Ray *Morgan Freeman-Million Dollar Baby (won't hav to try selling this one, 3 historically snubbed actors, a popular name and the hot young star who'se so obviously winning it) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
genius33 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 where is the love for eternal sunshine?????? best movie i have EVER seen, let alone this year. plus carrey gives the performance of a lifetime (much better than any acting performance from any other male lead) and he isnt nominated?!?!?! please. and you need to find someone better than winslet? hello? have you seen the movie? winslet plays a part very different from anything shes done before and plays it TO PERFECTION! the chemistry between the two should win an oscar alone. even though it was released in march, PLEASE, DO NOT FORGET ETERNAL SUNSHINE! and if you haven't seen it, do so now please! ps, best original screenplay charlie kaufman? if theres a sure thing, thats it. plus, gondry deserves a nomination, i would think that eastwood or scorsese would win, but gondry deserves a mention. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 where is the love for eternal sunshine?????? best movie i have EVER seen, let alone this year. plus carrey gives the performance of a lifetime (much better than any acting performance from any other male lead) and he isnt nominated?!?!?! please. and you need to find someone better than winslet? hello? have you seen the movie? winslet plays a part very different from anything shes done before and plays it TO PERFECTION! the chemistry between the two should win an oscar alone. even though it was released in march, PLEASE, DO NOT FORGET ETERNAL SUNSHINE! and if you haven't seen it, do so now please! No one here is knocking Eternal Sunshine, least of all me, who LOVED the movie and thought Jim Carrey was tremendous. But we're making predictions on what the Academy will pick, not what we pick Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
genius33 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 understandable, i meant the no love comment FOR the academy, and the poster who mentioned winslet's performance. however, it still is the best movie out this year and if the academy snubs it, you will see one very very angry frustrated man! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest The Shadow Behind You Report post Posted December 14, 2004 It'll get the "sorry we snubbed you, here take a best original screenplay nom and like it". Winselt will get a nomination just for the fact she's Kate Winselt. Carey *might* get a sympathy "uh sorry bout fucking you over the last two times* nod that no one will care about since Foxx is written in stone and Carey won't bother to show up for because it'd be the ultimate fuck you and we know that's carey's intention. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 That was me. I thought she was good but I found Carrey to be much better. She was good- I just think there must be better performances out there Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Mandarin 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 I'm calling it now- Marty gets the Oscar he should have won for Goodfellas. It is a shame that they judge the BO instead of the performance, but that's the way the Academy has always acted. Body odor? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest The Shadow Behind You Report post Posted December 14, 2004 Box Office. Although the LOTR guy certaintly brought in alot of trophies last year and he had his BO stanking up the place. (anyone find it hilarious they put the fat guy next to the emergency exit?) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gary Floyd 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 No Incredibles for best film? I'm outraged. Anyways my prediction for the movie that will sweep the awards, none other than http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0365957/ YOU GOT SERVED! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DMann2003 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 I'm betting "The Aviator" snags both Picture and director for Scorsese, and from what I've been hearing, DiCaprio deserves to be nominated if nothing else. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CBright7831 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 http://oscarwatch.com/ Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ravenbomb 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 I still say Bale deserves a nomination for The Machinist, but w/e. As long as Scorsese gets Best Director I'll be happy Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MDH257 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 I would only accept it if BOTH Farenheit 9/11 and The Passion of the Christ were nominated. That way we have a ===><=== affect on their viewpoints -Cheex Well one film is about Bush sucks. The other is about Jesus getting killed. Not total opposites. But being how the media simplifies things, those movies came to encompass the red state vs blue state theory and what the movies are really about ceased to matter. The Passion is viewed as having gotten it's box office take due to the support of cultural and religious conservtives who supported Bush. Farenheit 9/11 is viewed as having gotten it's box office take due to the support of liberals who were against Bush. Regardless of content, if both were nominated what you for certain wouldn't hear is that the acadamy didn't let one get nominated due to bias. I think it's too soon to be making any sort of accurate predictions because ther's still a lot of time and political manuvering by the studios to go. That having been said, it should be noted Farenheit 9/11 was disqualified from all Golden Globe catagories because it was considered a documentary. The Passion was disqualified for Best Picture because any movie that's not in english has to compete in the foriegn film catagory (but it got snubbed there too). I don't think Farenheit 9/11 has any chance fr a Best Picture nod. It may have a chance at director or screenplay nods if Moore get nominated at the guild awards (Bowilng for Columbine won the Writer's Guild award for Best Original Screenplay). The Passion has a better shot at a Best Picture ( I think there's more support from within the acadamy). I pretty sure it will get technical nods like Best Cinimatography. If Gibson and Caviezal get DGA or SAG nominations then they have a chance. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest Cerebus Report post Posted December 14, 2004 Wow I havn't seen hardly any of this crap you guys are talking about. Go me. Also Gibson has made noise about not having an ad blitz before the Academy selection which got him the good will of a lot of people there. That's a plus for him. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cabbageboy 0 Report post Posted December 14, 2004 Am I the only one who didn't think "Oh my god, Eternal Sunshine was the best movie ever?" It was okay I suppose. Ironically I thought Winslet would get the nomination here, and likely the script will get nominated since it's a nice gimmick and all. But the best movie I've ever seen? Wouldn't even make the top 100. Incidentally there are a bunch of no name indie art house movies that look to be nominated this year: ESOFSM, Sideways, Kinsey, Finding Neverland, etc. I do want to see Finding Neverland but it hasn't been on at a convenient theater near me. Whatever happened to movies getting released to a lot of theaters? Do we really need 3 theaters taken up for Blade: Trinity? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bob_barron 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2005 EW picks the following to be nominated: Best Actor: Don Cheadle Johnny Depp Leonardo DiCaprio Jamie Foxx Paul Giamatii Best Actress: Annette Bening Catalina Sandino Moreno Imelda Staunton Hilary Swank Kate Winslet Supporting Actor: Thomas Haden Church Jamie Foxx Morgahn Freeman Clive Owen Peter Sarsgaard Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett Laura Linney Virginia Madsen Natalie Portman Kate Winslet Best Picture: Aviator Finding Neverland Million Dollar Baby Ray Sideways Originial Screenplay: Aviator Eternal Sunshine Hotel Rwanda Incredibles Kinsey Adapted Screenplay: Closer Finding Neverland Million Dollar Baby Motorcycle Diaries Sideways Director: Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Bavy Marc Forster, Finding Neverland Alexander Payne, Sideways Martin Scorsese, Aviator Zhang Yimou, House of Flying Daggers Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
genius33 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2005 well working off those i pick foxx, swank, hayden church (YEAH!), portman, million dollar baby, eternal sunshine (if there's a god), sideways, and eastwood Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kahran Ramsus 0 Report post Posted January 13, 2005 Million Dollar Baby is going to win. Especially since Eastwood lost last year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
